VRT本周可能因绿色锤子线、通道支撑以及RSI试图从超卖中回升而小幅反弹,但预计任何缺口回补之后,日线下跌趋势仍将延续;它高点下移,位于200日均线下方,并已跌破20周和50周均线,周线MACD偏空。
逐段跳播
你今天选的第一只股票是Vertiv。他们参与建设AI数据中心,所以关于其可持续性有很多讨论。不过,自年初以来,它一直保持了约30%的盈利。
You chose Vertiv as your first stock today. I mean, they are involved in building AI data centers. So there is a lot of discussion about its sustainability. However, it has maintained a profit of about 30% since the beginning of the year.
是的,我打算做非常短线的操作,因为他们的财报将在下周发布。但如果你看年初,也就是2月,你会看到在199到200美元附近有一个很大的技术缺口。所以我现在不采取任何行动,因为这只股票目前交易在208或209美元。
但如果股价很快跌入那个区域,我考虑卖出一个本周到期的看跌期权价差。也就是说,这要在他们发布财报之前完成。我计划通过卖出197.5和192.5的看跌期权价差来收取约1.75美元。
Yes, I'm planning on this very short term because their earnings report will be released next week. But if you look at the beginning of the year , February, you will see that there is a large technical gap around $199 to $200.
So I'm not taking any action right now as the stock is now trading at $208 or $209. But if the stock drops into that area soon , I'm thinking of selling a put spread that expires this week.
That is, this is before their earnings report is released. I plan to raise about $1.75 by selling the 197.5 and 192.5 put spreads.
现在正在看的人,他们现在拿不到这个信用,但如果股价跌入那个缺口区域,我才会考虑这么做。是的,当然。你可以说股价本周可能会小幅上涨。你可以看到,过去一年左右,这只股票一直在尝试盘整,然后走高,而就在一年前的这个时候,它的交易价大约在150到200美元之间。
我们用一种类似阶梯的方式爬到了顶部,而现在到了5月,我们看到了一种“冲高见顶”的形态。此后我们一直看到更低的高点,不幸的是,下跌趋势在200日移动平均线下方继续,这算是一个警告信号。
但为什么我说下周可能会有一些上行空间,是因为在最近的15日,我们看到了一根大绿锤子线,而且我们有一个尚未完全验证的缺口。而且我们在日线图上正触及这个通道的关键支撑区域。RSI正试图升破超卖水平。
MACD仍处于看跌位置。如果我们回到周线图,你可以看到过去3年的回调或下跌趋势,我们现在处于该趋势线的下端,同时也跌破了20周和50周移动平均线。RSI处于略微看跌的位置;MACD处于看跌位置。
但再次说,Scott谈到的短线交易,也许我们会回补日线图上的那个缺口,然后主趋势,也就是日线图的下跌趋势,将会继续。
Those who are watching this now, they won't get this credit now, but if the stock drops into that gap area , then I'm only thinking about doing so. Yes, of course. I mean, you could argue that the share price could go up a little bit this week.
You can see that for the past year or so the stock has tried to consolidate and then move higher , and just a year ago at this time it was trading around $150 to $200. We used a kind of ladder-like approach to climb to the top, and now in May we are seeing a kind of ' blow off top' pattern.
We have been seeing lower highs ever since and unfortunately, the downtrend continues below the 200-day moving average, which is a bit of a warning sign. But why am I saying that there could be some upside next week , is because on the last 15th we saw a big green hammer candle and we have a gap that has not yet been fully verified.
And we are touching the key support area of this channel here on the daily chart. The RSI is trying to rise above that oversold level. The MACD is still in a bearish position. If we go back to the weekly chart, you can see a pullback or downtrend over the last 3 years and we are now at the lower end of that trend line , as well as having lost the 20-week and 50-week moving averages.
RSI is in a slightly bearish position; The MACD is in a bearish position. But again, the short-term trade that Scott is talking about, maybe we will fill that gap on the daily chart and then the main trend, i.e. the daily chart's downtrend, will continue.
嗯,我们在28日有财报,但这笔交易并不包含这个潜在影响因素,Vertiv在今天盘中上涨,涨幅超过1.5%。
Well, we have earnings or earnings reports on the 28th , but this trade does not include that potential influencer of Vertiv, which is up in today's session. They increased by more than one and a half percent.