WDC本季度表现优异:营收增长55%,利润率达58.1%,原因是长期云合同(占营收88%)转向利润率更高的20-30TB硬盘,且供应受限推高了价格。需求和利润率指引已覆盖至2027-2028年,而该股较6月高点下跌约50%,可能无需重新测试该高点。
逐段跳播
我们在科技聚焦板块中从西部数据财报里了解到的情况那么,你怎么看我们从“西部数据”那里听到的情况?这是观察人工智能架构演进的一个绝佳窗口,Nicole。这显然是一个出色的季度。我们本就预期如此。43.8亿,同比增长55%。
what we learned from Western Digital's earnings in our technology spotlight segment So, what do you think of what we heard from " Western Digital"? Well, this is a great window into the evolution of artificial intelligence architecture, Nicole.
It was clearly an excellent quarter. We expected nothing less. 4.38 billion, an increase of 55 % year-on-year.
每股收益超出预期。总利润率达到58.1%。所以,所有数字看起来都非常好。增长强劲、盈利能力出色,方向也很扎实。
Earnings per share exceeded expectations. Total profit margins amounted to 58.1%. So, all the numbers look really good. Strong growth, profitability, and solid direction.
不过,我们在股价上仍然看到挑战,不是吗?它自年初以来上涨过,但已大幅回落,较6月18日的高点下跌了约50%。所以,在我们关注一些正在进行的重新定价过程之际,这是一个有意思的市场。
However, we still see a challenge in stocks, don't we ? It has risen since the beginning of the year, but has fallen considerably, by about 50% from its peak on June 18. So, it's an interesting market while we monitor some ongoing repricing processes.
我们可能不需要西部数据股价回到夏季约800美元的峰值水平。增长、盈利能力以及整体出色的季度可能就够了。这够吗?
We may not need to return to the summer peak levels of around $800 for Western Digital stock. Growth, profitability, and an overall excellent quarter may be enough. Is this enough?
你看,西部数据在推动客户升级方面做得很好。他们有现有合同,这些长期协议锁定了价格,对吧?与主要客户签了很多年。
Look, Western Digital is doing a great job of moving its customers. They have existing contracts, these long- term agreements that set the prices, right? For many years with their major clients.
我还要补充一点,云业务占他们收入的88%,而其中,他们总收入的73%分布在10个客户身上。所以,想想这种客户集中度。难道不是吗?所有这些都受长期协议约束。其中一些协议将进入续约阶段,而他们正推动客户转向容量大得多的产品和利润率也更高的产品,比如20-30TB的硬盘。
所以,我认为他们做得很好。他们在谈增加产能,也在谈提高整体利润率。所以,对这家公司来说,所有数字看起来都不错。
I should add that the cloud accounts for 88% of their revenue, and of that, 73 % of their total revenue is distributed among 10 customers. So , think about this customer focus.
Isn't that so? All of these are bound by long-term agreements. Some of these agreements will reach the renewal stage, and they are moving customers to much higher capacities and products with higher profit margins as well, such as 20-30 terabyte disks.
So, I think they are doing a great job . They are talking about increasing capacity and improving their overall profit margins as well. So, all the numbers look good for the company.
存储需求本来就存在。人人都想存数据,价格更高的组件也是一个因素。感觉这家公司有很多事情都在往好的方向走,你不觉得吗?
I mean, the demand for storage already exists. Everyone wants to store data, and the higher price component is also a factor. I mean, it seems like a lot of things are going right for this company, don't you think ?
Nicole,我今天给你带了个东西。我说:“这是我2019年花大约100美元买的西部数据Passport硬盘。”同样的4TB硬盘现在二手卖200美元,新的卖大约229美元。所以,消费领域只占西部数据收入的大约5%,但要点是,由于供应受限,我们现在都面临这种价格上涨。
I brought you something today, Nicole. I said, "This is a Western Digital Passport disc that I bought in 2019 for about $100." The same 4TB hard drive is now being sold used for $200, and new for about $229.
So, the consumer sector represents only about 5% of Western Digital's revenue, but the takeaway is that we are all facing this price increase right now due to supply constraints.
这家公司能更好地获取利润率,因为他们的制造成本更低。因此,我认为华尔街关注的是生产1TB的成本与销售它的成本之间的差额,而这决定了整体利润率。
The company does a better job of extracting profit margins because their manufacturing costs are lower. Therefore, I believe that what Wall Street is looking for is the difference between the cost of producing one terabyte and the cost of selling it, and that is what determines the overall profit margins .
作为对比,西部数据出货了248EB,比上年增长22%。所以这是我们正在关注的数字之一。我只是在一般性地考虑竞争问题。比如,当你谈到西部数据,说云业务对该公司收入有多重要,但客户只有少数几个,也许10个,如果他们不续约或转投别处。
这可能就会导致公司垮掉。不是说西部数据,而是一般来说,如果你现在把所有鸡蛋都放在一个篮子里。
For comparison , Western Digital shipped 248 exabytes, a 22% increase over the previous year. So this is one of the numbers we are monitoring. I'm only thinking about the competition in general.
For example, when you talked about Western Digital and said how important the cloud story is to the company's revenue, but with only a few customers, maybe 10, if they don't renew their contracts or go elsewhere.
I mean, that could lead to the company's collapse. Not for Western Digital, but generally if you're putting all your eggs in one basket right now .
西部数据让我们对需求有了一些了解。他们说,预计需求和利润率将持续到2027年和2028年,甚至表示需求会延续到2030年和2031年。我们不知道届时价格和利润率会是什么样,但这告诉我们,人工智能基础设施的建设将会继续。
Well, Western Digital has given us some insight into the demand. They said they expect demand and profit margins to continue through 2027 and 2028, and even indicated that demand will continue into 2030 and 2031.
We don't know what prices and margins will look like at that time , but this tells us that the building of AI infrastructure will continue.
观察点
这个频道对 $WDC 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 7 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。