XLF 因跌破 200 日均线而偏空/疲弱,建议空头在财报前回补,因其可能反弹。
逐段跳播
所以,我会百分之百认同这一点。银行股目前还没有得到青睐。你说得对。这就是为什么人们很难真正参与进去,因为他们会说:“天哪,看看XLF。XLF跌破了200日线。我的天。当XLF跌破200日线时,什么好事都不会发生,对吧?”
So, uh I would go with that 100%. Banks no love yet. You're right. That's that's why people are having problems, you know, really getting that involved because they're like, "Oh my goodness, look at the XLF. the XLF is below the 200 day.
Holy cow. When the XLF is below the 200 day, nothing good happens, right?"
你听过那句话,跌破200日线什么好事都不会发生。首先,如果你是一个动量型的主动参与者或交易者,在他们跌破821日线时就出场,你就不必担心200日线会发生什么。你可以去测试各个点位。
You've heard the saying, nothing good happens below the 200 day. Well, first of all, if you get out as a momentum active involved or trader when they broke the 821 day, you don't have to worry about what happens at the 200 day. You could test levels.
所以,如果你在这里出场了,我喜欢给你看图表上的这一部分,这样下次再发生这种情况时,你就能看到它,而不是被套住。我不想让我的狗被套在一波本可以避开、或者本可以做空的行情里,而那就是这里。
对。这就是821日线拐头向下的地方。这根K线给了你一个出场的位置,然后它甚至还回测了一下并被拒绝。
So, if you would have gotten out here, I like to show you the part of the chart so next time it happens, you'll see it versus be caught. I don't want my dogs caught in in a move that they could have got out of the way and or got short and that was right here.
Right. This is where the 821 they curled down. This bar right here gave you a spot to get out and then it even retested and got rejected.
看看这个。一个H型做空形态。还记得我几年前教过你们很多次,就是你有那根旗杆。你可以对着阻力位做空。然后当它跌破H的底部时,你可以加仓。所以,如果你是一个很擅长做空的人,这一直是一笔很好的做空。
Oh, look at this. An H cell setup. Remember that I taught you guys a bunch of years ago, too, where you have the pole. You know, you could short into resistance. Then when it breaks the bottom end of the H, you could add.
So, if you're a really good short, this has been a really good short.
我不喜欢做空,所以我至少没有做多它。我不会屏住呼吸潜到水下。我更愿意做主动的多头,去寻找那些机会。
I don't love to short, so I just I'm not long it at least. I don't hold my breath and go under water. I'd rather be in active long and find those situations.
不管怎样,这里的低点是多少?这里的低点是5337。财报大约会在一两周后开始发布。所以,你可能会看到某种超卖反弹。因此,我不会在这里做空。
But anyway, um what was the low here? The low here was 5337. Earnings are going to start coming out in like a week or two. So, you could see some kind of oversold bounce. So, um I would not be short here.
同样地,你不会想在连续四个上涨日之后买入,而是在一个、两个、三个下跌日之后。做空也更难。所以,如果你不做这笔交易,就不要去追求那点小利,对吧?你想要的是这笔交易里的肉和土豆,而XLF在我看来,是偏低的。
Same way you don't want to buy after four up days, after one, two, three down days. You know, it's harder to also be short. I mean, you know, so take that trade if you don't don't look for the juice, right?
you want the meat and potatoes of the trade and the meat of the potatoes trade and the XLF to me is, you know, kind of lower.
所以,如果你做空了XLF,我会平掉一部分,这是一笔很棒的交易。干得好。如果你想买入它,就像你刚刚在特斯拉身上看到的红狗反转一样,这在任何地方都适用。所以,你大概会想看到XLF重新收复5337。
所以,无论那个低点在哪里,它收复了它,也许就会给你一点破位反弹。
So, if you're short the XLF, I I would cover some, you know, great trade. Good job. Um, if you're going to buy it, like you just saw a red dog reversal in Tesla, works anywhere.
So, you're going to probably want to see the XLF reclaim 5337. So, wherever that low is, it reclaims it and maybe gives you a little bit of a of a broken bounce.
然后你看看那个破位反弹是否会引出一连串走势。有时候一个破位反弹可能会带来更好的走势,让你值得留在里面。对吧?你不喜欢能让你留在里面并获得回报的行情吗?这并不具有掠夺性。我们已经有一阵子没遇到这种情况了。
通常你并不能因为留在里面而获得回报。你是因为做了这笔交易而获得回报,然后说声谢谢。谢谢您,先生。能再来一份吗?你并不想要再来一份。
And then you see if that broken bounce leads to a sequence. Sometimes a broken bounce could lead to great better action that that pays you to stay there. Right? Don't you like to get paid to stay there?
It's not predatory. We haven't had that in a while. Usually you're not getting paid to stay there. You're getting paid to take the trade and say thank you. I thank you sir. Can I have another? You don't want another.
这个频道对 $XLF 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上只有这一条判断。