由于油价高企，XOM 当前估值偏高；除非高油价持续数十年，否则该持仓已被减持。
逐段跳播
最后是埃克森美孚，股票代码 XOM。这是我在 2020 年大量买入的一只股票。当时我投入的钱要少得多，而我在 2026 年实际上减持了一部分，因为我认为以当前的油价来看，它现在有点被高估了，除非油价在未来几十年里都保持这么高。
目前，我在这只股票上的总回报率是 393%。长期关注我的观众以前听我说过这一点。我喜欢在这些石油股不受待见的时候买入。那时油价低，人们认为它们要倒闭了，认为石油的时代结束了。而现在，我们正处于完全相反的状态。
我们正处于亢奋之中。没错，油价很高，但这不会永远持续下去。如果你看埃克森美孚的股息率，目前是 2.51%。而我当初买入时它的股息率是 9%。所以你可以看到，这是埃克森美孚过去 5 年来最低的股息率之一。
事实上，这是自 2007 年以来的最低水平之一。你可以看到 2020 年和 2021 年初出现的那个巨大的异常时期。事后回看，那大概是千载难逢的机会。但这是你可以长期拥有的一种模式识别能力。
我真希望当时买得更多，让它占到当时我持仓的 80%。那时我刚开始投资，还相当新手。我未必有足够的信念去买那么多。而且，我当时也并不具备今天这样的认知，不知道在石油和天然气领域还有比埃克森美孚更好的机会可以买，因为当时有大量公司简直是明显的买入标的。
And then finally, I have Exon Mobile, ticker symbol XOM. This is a stock that I bought a bunch of in 2020. Now, a bunch. I had a lot less money invested back then, and I actually trimmed it in 2026, and that's because I think it's kind of overvalued right now with how oil prices are, unless oil prices remain this high for decades to come.
Currently, I have a total return of 393% on that stock. And longtime viewers have heard me say this in the past. I like to buy these oil stocks when they are out of favor. The price of oil is low.
People think they're going to go out of business. People think oil is over. Right now, we're in the exact opposite of that. We're in exuberance. Yes, the price of oil is high, but that does not last forever.
And if you look at the dividend yield of Exon Mobile, it's currently 2.51%. I was buying this at a 9% dividend yield. So you can see this is one of the lowest dividend yields for Exxon Mobile over the past 5 years.
In fact, it's one of the lowest going back to 2007. And you can see the big outlier period that happened in 2020 and early 2021. And in hindsight when we look at that, that was probably a once- ina-lifetime opportunity.
But it's a little bit of pattern recognition that you can have for the long term. I wish I went even bigger and made it like 80% of my holdings at that time. And I was pretty new to investing back then.
I didn't have necessarily the conviction to buy that much. And also, I didn't really have the knowledge I have today about even better opportunities I could have bought than Exon Mobile in that oil and gas space because there were a ton of companies that were just screaming buys back then.
但这来自四家不同的公司。微软、谷歌、埃克森美孚和英伟达。
but that's from four different companies. Microsoft, Google, Exon Mobile, and Nvidia.
来自埃克森美孚，我收到了 112 美元。
From Exxon Mobile, I got $112.
这个频道对 $XOM 的历次判断
Dividend Data 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。