T3 Live 对 $AAPL 的判断变化

《Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update》

不买入 AAPL；技术结构显示在 344 处双顶失败，且价格低于 8 日与 21 日均线。

很多人会说：“嘿，Red Dog，你可以买 Versa，那 Apple 怎么了？”我说：“好吧，还是那句话，周末的时候，我尽量多给你们一些图表。”我说：“把这个收好或者打印出来。

那些图表上有双重顶、双重底、W 形、楔形、三角形，这个那个的。”那么，我问你一个问题。Apple 现在这里看起来像什么？它看起来像不像一个双重顶，位置在 344？当然，计算机会把你稍微推过去一点。

到了 34534，我当时就想：“嘿，各位，如果你是在博一个历史新高，结果它走出一个双重顶，那可就有点糟糕了。”结果它确实走出了一个双重顶。然后是 red dog reversal。

什么是 red dog reversal？冲过去，站不住。这意味着它的力度不足以站稳。它又回来了。那是另一个卖出信号。有些人说：“嘿，Red Dog，我在这里 341 做空。我在 345 有一个很轻松的止损。”

我说：“好吧，你知道，从历史上看，做空 Apple 长期并不能真正让你赚很多钱。在那里做投资者兼交易者更好，但你想怎么做就怎么做。我只是不买它。”然后昨天，我说：“如果它守不住 344，你知道，你真的必须调整。”

总之，Apple 一路跌到了 32870。所以现在它在 8 日线下方，在 21 日线下方。所以，我说的是，如果你卖出 8 日线，你可以去测试 50 日线，而不是坐在里面被套。但如果你不是那么活跃，而且你持有 Apple 已经两年了，那你其实并不在意。我在这里是想从战术角度谈。

a lot of people like, "Hey Red Dog, so you could buy Versa, what happened to Apple?" I'm like, "Well, again, on the weekends, I try and just give you a lot of charts." I say, "Put this in your pocket or print it out.

It has on that charts on those charts are double tops, double bottoms, W's, wedges, triangles, this, that." So, let me ask you a question. What does Apple look like right here?

Does it look like a double top where you have 344? Granted, the computers push you through a little bit. Went to 34534 and I was like, "Hey guys, this would kind of suck if you're playing for an all-time high if it puts in a double top."

And I put a double top in. And then red dog reversal. What's a red dog reversal? Pushes through. Doesn't hold. That means it wasn't enough strength for it to hold. It came back in.

That's another sell signal. Some guys said, "Hey, Red Dog, I'm shorting this here at 341. I have an easy stop at 345." I'm like, "Okay, well, you know, shorting Apple over time in history does not really make you a lot of money.

It's better to be an investor and a trader there, but you could do what you want to do. I'm just not buying it." And then yesterday, I'm like, "If it can't hold 344, you know, you really have to adjust."

So anyway, Apple went all the way down to 32870. So now it's below the 8day, below the 21day. So, what I say is if you sell the 8day, you could test the 50-day instead of sitting in it and going under water.

But if you're not that active and you've been in Apple for two years, then you don't really care. I'm trying to talk tactically here.

看原视频09:41

《Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update》

AAPL 相对 SPY/QQQ 表现出相对强势，值得关注，但买入回调或追强势需谨慎。

Phil 说 Apple 表现坚挺。这是真的。Apple 确实表现坚挺。Apple 只是小幅下跌。Apple 的交易方式有点奇怪。这些天它就像一只反向 ETF，当 SPY 上涨的时候，你知道，但当 SPY 和 QQQ 上涨时，Apple 也在上涨。

所以，在 QQQ 下跌750、SPY 下跌四美元的情况下，Apple 只下跌50美分，这相当令人印象深刻。所以，如果你想让我为你定义并框定这笔交易，我认为你可以在 Apple 下跌50美分时买入。

但问题是，你必须给它——你知道，你必须给它一些空间。你必须给它到这个参考点，330 445。所以，如果它碰巧突破34167，那最好小心尝试去追强势，我都不知道我有多久没追过强势了。

嗯，而且现在单纯买回调仍然很难。你知道，如果它能守住这里，突破那个位置，那会相当令人印象深刻。这是你的历史最高区域。他们在10月推出很多产品，很多人喜欢这些产品，而 Apple 表现坚挺。如果你今天早上持有 Apple，你没事。

Phil says Apple is holding up. And that is true. Apple is holding up. Okay. Apple is only down small. Apple is a little bit odd the way it trades. It's like a reverse ETF these days when when the spy, you know, but when the spies and the Q's were up, you know, Apple was also up.

So, pretty impressive that Apple's only down 50 cents while the Q's are down 750 and the spies are um down four bucks. So, I would think if you want me to define this trade for you and and frame it, you could buy Apple down 50 cents.

But the thing is, you have to give it you you you know, you have to give it some room. you have to give it to this point of reference right here. 330 445. So, and and if it happens to take out uh 34167, which better better be careful trying to play strength, I don't feel like I I played strength in I don't even know how long.

Um and it's still hard to just buy dips. You know, this would be pretty impressive if it holds here, takes that out. Here's your all-time high area. They're coming out with a lot of products in October and a lot of people like them and Apple is holding up. If you're an Apple this morning, you're okay.

看原视频09:56