Verified Investing 对 $JBL 的判断变化

《Hot Jobs Data Spikes Yields: Markets Rally on Inflation Hope》

JBL 财报超预期（每股收益 +8.16%，营收 +9.3%），但股价跌破趋势线；下一根K线收盘将决定下行概率是否上升。

我们看了Jable。Jable实际上公布了一份不错的报告，各位。你可以看到，他们的每股收益超出预期8.16%，营收超出预期9.3%。漂亮的超预期，而且他们的指引也不算太差，但看看这下滑。

起初我们确实跳升，几乎涨到了这条下降趋势线的顶端，大约在330美元，但随后我们下滑，失守了这条长期下降或上升趋势线。现在，这是件大事，各位。我知道目前只是下跌了一根K线。如果你是Jable的多头，你必须关注下一根K线会走到哪里。

如果我们收出一根收盘价低于今天K线的K线，记住那张NAC天然气图表，正好是反向的，那将会让更多概率偏向JBL图表上的进一步下行。

We had Jable. Jable actually came out with a good report guys. You can see they beat on EPS by 8.16% and beat on revenue by 9.3%. Nice nice beat and their guidance wasn't that bad but look at the slip and slide.

Now, initially we did pop up and we nearly came to the top end of this declining trend line right around $330, but then we slipped lost this long-term decline or inclining trend line.

Now, this is a big deal, guys. Now, I know it's only one candle down for the moment. You need to follow if you're a bull on Jable, you have got to follow where the next candle is going to be.

If we put in a candle close underneath today's candle, remember that NAC gas chart just the inverse that's going to put more probabilities in favor of more downside uh on the chart of JBL.

看原视频15:28

《Inflation Data Cools, Bullish S&P Chart Remains Strong, Top Trades For Jobs Report And MU Earnings!》

JBL在技术面上较为脆弱；尽管财报表现良好，仍被视为“过高”，一旦上升趋势线被跌破，将面临显著的下行风险。

JBL 因财报小幅下跌。这不算大跌。该股昨天收在 319 左右，现在报 307。所以跌了大约 2% 到 3%。该股在这个较低区间里一直有些迷茫。我只想指出，这里确实有一条小幅上升趋势线。

看看这个。这是一条很棒的趋势线，也是我在更大时间框架上关注的东西。所以，重要枢轴、重要枢轴、重要枢轴。今天，我们因财报而下跌。如果这条线被跌破，那将是一个需要警惕下方风险的时刻，可能会真正开始大幅下挫。

JBL 的业务涉及与半导体相关的软件之类的东西。所以它算是处在半导体领域，随着半导体板块涨了不少。但话说回来，Micron 将在收盘后公布财报，我们只能拭目以待，看看会发生什么。

JBL down a little bit on earnings. This isn't a big drop. The stock yesterday closed around 9 uh 319. It's trading at 307. So, it's down about what is that 2 to 3%. The stock again was kind of befuddled in this lower range here.

I will just point out that you do have a little bit of a ascending trend line. Look at this. This is a great trend line and this is something I'm watching on a bigger time frame basis.

So, major pivot, major pivot, major pivot. Now, today we're trading down on earnings. If this line breaks, that would be a watch out below moment where this could really start to dump out significantly.

Now, JBL is involved in kind of software related to semiconductors and stuff like that. So, it's kind of in the semi space, it's rallied quite a bit with the semis. Um, but again, with Micron earnings after the bell, we'll have to watch and see what happens.

看原视频15:43