QQQ 这一页 8 条观点条目，其中 1 条方向发生变化。
QQQ基金往往继续走弱。我上周说过趋势仍然向下，并且与标普500脱钩，这已被证明是正确的。我们仍在向下走，但非常稳定。
QQQ funds tend to continue to weaken. I said last week that the trend was still downward and decoupled from the S&P 500, and that has proven to be true. We are still heading downwards, but very steadily.
今年，当所有人都在追逐英伟达和人工智能股票时，一只不起眼的小型股息ETF在2026年悄然超越了QQQ和标普500指数。
While everyone was chasing Nvidia and AI stocks this year, a boring little dividend ETF quietly passed up QQQ and the S&P 500 in 2026.
各位，如果QQQ和SPY随着时间的推移会创出更高的高点，我的猜测是它们长期来看可能会跑赢SCHD。但如果出现糟糕的熊市，我真的认为SCHD与标普和QQQ之间的表现差异将会非常大，SCHD将主导另外两个指数。
Guys, if QQQ and SPY have higher highs to make as time goes on, my guess is they'll probably outperform SCHD in the long run. But if we have a bad bare market, I really think the difference in the SCHD performance versus the S&P and the and the um and QQQ will be very very large with the SCHD dominating the other two indexes.
那么，我们先从今天的标普500和QQQ说起。它们都在下跌，对吧？标普和QQQ都在下跌，但我希望你们注意一些事情。
So, let's start with the S&P and the QQQ today. They're down, right? S&P and Q's are both down, but I want you to pay attention to something.
QQQ的成交量大约在1450万股，甚至不到，但接近1450万股，而过去30天的平均成交量是3600万股。
14 and a half, not even, but around 14.5 million shares traded on the Q's compared to 36 mil on the average for the past 30 days
如果这条上升趋势线最终被跌破，各位，我预计QQQ将至少跌至660附近，那将是相当可观的跌幅。过去几周我一直在说标普500和QQQ有点脱钩了。
If this ups sloping trend line ends up breaking, guys, I anticipate a fall closer to at least 660 on the Q's, which would be that would be pretty decent. I've spoken over the past couple weeks about how the S&P and the Q's have kind of decoupled.
所以，天哪，英伟达持续下跌，QQQ 也一样。
So, oh man, Nvidia keeps going down and so are the cues.
QQQ 正在暴跌。
The cues are tanking.
你在预测 QQQ 到 700 吗？嗯，今天早上在我们的 Alpha 报告中，我们确实做了记录。让我看看我……让我为你查一下。等等，让我看看 Alpha 报告我今早说了什么。所以，Alpha 报告说：“如果我们听到关于尽快恢复美联储信誉的长篇大论，我们就看跌至 QQQ 700。”
该死，这不好。呃，我的意思是，我们还没到那一步。我们仍然有 715 这条线，但这很有趣。嗯，是的，这就是我们在报告中的内容。我们仍然有 715，所以希望我们还能从那里反弹。
Are you calling 700 of the cues? Well, uh this morning in our alpha report, we did make a note. Let me see what I uh let me I'll go look for you. Hold on. Let me go look at the alpha report what I said this morning.
So, the Alpha Report said, "If we hear a long speech about how it's time to restore Fed credibility sooner rather than later, we go bearish down to 700 QQQ." Damn. It's not good.
Uh I mean, we're not there yet. We still We still have the 715 line, but that's funny. Um, yeah, that's that's what we had in the offer. We still have 715, so hopefully, you know, we can still bounce off of that.
现在，QQQ 开始形成更多看跌的盘整。过去大约六个交易日一直在对角线下行。这需要停止，进行某种形式的盘整，然后才能再次下探。
Into the queues, you can see here, too, much like on the S&P 500, didn't really do too much today. It did finish up .09% but really just kind of closing in line with price action yesterday.
Now, the queues are starting to start to form a little bit more bearish consolidation. The last six trading days or so have been diagonally moving down. This needs to end up stopping, put in some sort of consolidation, and then it can make another leg lower.
接下来看纳斯达克100指数，通过QQQ，你可以看到今天日线图上价格收在了8月4日这根大阳线下方，所以这一根K线就回吐了大量涨幅。如果今天低点下方出现两根K线收盘，那么价格下跌并触及这条水平支撑趋势线的概率就会增加。
当然，到那时我们会非常接近，但随着我们看到QQQ的下跌走势，概率在不断增加。我预计QQQ近期会在$695.25处出现反弹。
And up next on the Nasdaq 100 with the QQQ, you can see price action putting in today on a daily candle a close underneath this big green candle here on August 4th, so that's one candle unwinding a lot of that price action.
Two candles with a closing beneath today's low would increase probabilities of us coming down here and tagging this horizontal support trend line. Now, of course, we're going to be very close at that point, but we keep on increasing probabilities with this movement that we're seeing coming down for the Qs.
This is where I anticipate a near-term bounce at $695.25 on the QQQ.
QQQ中的708，我认为非常重要。我们今天早上跌破了它，现在我们已经重新夺回了这个水平。所以，我很好奇我们能否在收盘基础上回到708上方。如果我们能，如果我们能收在当前水平或更好，这个日线通道K线实际上将相当看涨。
Um 708 in the QQQ, I think is is pretty important. We got smoked beneath that this morning, and now we've recaptured the level. So, I'm really curious to see if we can get back above 708 on a closing basis or not.
If we can, if we can close where we are or better, this daily channel candle will actually be pretty pretty bullish.
对于纳斯达克这里的半导体板块，我们只是在上面小幅波动，实际上没有显示出多少反弹，如果有的话，但生物科技板块一直是更强的群体。
For the Nasdaq right here for the semiconductors, we're just kind of dancing on it, really not showing much bounce if any at all, but the biotechs have been the stronger group
如前所述，纳斯达克回落到了我们想要看到的区域，我在这里买入了一点仓位，就像我说的，因为我们有那个锚点。这里有20日和50日移动平均线。
Nasdaq, as noted, came down to the zone we wanted to see it come into, and I bought a little position in here, like I said, because we have that anchor. We have the 20 and the 50-day moving average in here.
