Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D. 对 $RIG 的判断变化

2026-10-07看跌
《3 Positive Asymmetric Buys From The Bets Quadrant...》
Odeville Drilling基本面强劲,有上行至30美元的空间,但存在不可接受的合同落空风险;说话者回避该股。

Odeville Drilling,连同Transocean和Valaris,尽管股价高企,仍在继续购买那些钻井平台。合同方面,对那些挖掘设备就是有需求。市场正在走强,供应稳定,需求在上升。

这意味着更高的价格、更多的利润、更多的现金股息,以及其他一切更多的东西。公司财务业绩强劲。股息支付率为10%。现在,当我看这只股票时,它明显更高了。所以,这是来自“Babray”的一个典型押注。

当市场有压力时,股价很容易达到30,而这就是“Paprai”所押注的。然而,如果发生任何事情,那些合同落空,这种风险将始终存在。这是我根本不放心承担的风险。

Odeville Drilling, along with Transocean and Valaris, continues to purchase those drilling rigs despite the high share price. Contracts, there is simply a demand for those excavators.

The market is getting stronger, supply is stable, and demand is rising. This means higher prices, more profits, more cash dividends, and more of everything else . Strong financial results for the company.

Dividend payouts of 10 %. Now, when I look at the stock, it is noticeably higher. So, this is a typical bet from " Babray". When there is pressure in the market, the stock can easily reach 30, and that is what "Paprai" is betting on.

However, if anything happens and those contracts fall through, that risk will always remain. This is a risk I am simply not comfortable taking.