Parkev Tatevosian, CFA 对 $SBUX 的判断变化

2026-09-27
《Interesting News for Starbucks Stock Investors | SBUX Stock Analysis | BROS Stock》
SBUX 评级为中性;尽管对 CEO 的战略持正面看法,但估值过高(远期市盈率 30,股价 93,而 DCF 合理价值为 66)。

对于星巴克股票的投资者来说,有一条值得关注的消息:公司已宣布将再关闭250家门店。当然,如果你一直关注我对星巴克的报道,我一直在强调这是一个很可能出现的情形。

We have interesting news for Starbucks stock investors, as the company has announced the closure of an additional 250 stores. And of course, if you've been following my coverage of Starbucks, I've been emphasizing that this is a likely scenario .

我认为星巴克受困于我以及许多经济学家所称的“规模不经济”,即其规模导致了效率低下。这种情况发生在一家企业或其某个业务板块扩张得过大,以至于难以有效管理,成本开始以快于销售增长的速度上升。

I feel that Starbucks suffers from what I, and many economists, call "economies of scale," where its size leads to inefficiency. This happens when a business, or one of its sectors, grows so large that it becomes difficult to manage effectively, and costs begin to rise at a faster rate than sales growth.

2026-09-01
《Starbucks Stock Investors Have Reason to Cheer | SBUX Stock Analysis》
在新CEO领导下,SBUX基本面正在改善,但估值过高(前瞻市盈率34.6,公允价值68美元),评级为持有/等待更低价格。

首席执行官 Brian Niccol 再次施展了他的魔法。在被从 Chipotle 挖走后,Brian Niccol 在星巴克取得了显著成功,在最近一个完成的季度中,将可比门店销售额增长加速至 7.9%。

CEO Brian Niccol is working his magic again. After being poached away from Chipotle, Brian Niccol is achieving significant success at Starbucks, accelerating comparable store sales growth to 7.9% in the most recently completed quarter.

在星巴克,他已经推动了显著的改善。股价大幅上涨,销售额在增长,90 天活跃奖励会员增加到 3600 万,而且我喜欢在运营问题得到纠正之前放慢新店开发的策略,对吧?

At Starbucks, he's already facilitating significant improvement. The stock price is up meaningfully, sales are increasing, 90-day active rewards members are increasing to 36 million, and I like the strategy of slowing down new store development until you get the operations corrected, right?