Meet Kevin 对 $TSLA 的判断变化

频道资料 →本频道有 4 位标注的说话人:Adam Jonas、Goldman Sachs、Mark Mahaney、Wells Fargo共 14 条
2026-09-25看涨
《We NEED to Discuss Tesla Optimus Robots NOW.》
特斯拉的估值反映了一种“巨型初创公司”模型:当前股价中约131美元/股归属于传统业务,约250美元/股归属于未来项目(Optimus、CyberCab、Semi),而这些项目目前正进入产能爬坡阶段。

关于特斯拉的“Optimus”机器人,信息正大量涌现,我个人非常兴奋。我对特斯拉在Optimus机器人方面正在发生的事情感到非常兴奋,这有点奇怪,因为我们的兴奋感正在不断累积。

Well, information is flowing in abundance about Tesla's "Optimus" robot , and I am personally very excited. I am very excited about what is happening at Tesla regarding the Optimus robot , which is somewhat strange as our excitement is increasingly building up.

这一点已经反映在特斯拉的估值中,我们稍后会讨论。现在Optimus机器人已经开始以我们此前认为需要数年才能实现的方式提升产量。内华达工厂的半挂卡车正在提高产量。我们还有一款正在提高产量的“Cyber Truck”。

This is already reflected in Tesla's valuation, which we will discuss shortly, Now the Optimus robot has begun to ramp up production in a way we previously thought would take years.

You have the semi-truck in the Nevada facility increasing its production rate. We also have a "Cyber Truck" that is increasing its production.

2026-09-21看涨
《HOLY TESLA SEMI TRUCK | Tesla Stock GAME CHANGER》
特斯拉 Semi 卡车是一项被低估的正面催化剂;到 2030 年达到年产 5 万辆,可能为股价带来约 10% 的增值。

我们需要谈谈特斯拉 Semi 卡车,因为 Top Gear 对它做了很出色的分析,我们会回顾其中的一些信息,看看这对特斯拉股价可能意味着什么。

We need to talk about the Tesla Semi truck because Top Gear has given a great analysis of it, and we'll review some of the information in it to see what that might mean for Tesla's stock.

提醒一下,特斯拉 Semi 卡车是在 2017 年底发布的。那大约也是我拿到我那辆黑色 Model X 的时候。我很喜欢它。我父亲现在还在开我那辆黑色的车,非常棒。但这辆卡车本应在一年半内、也就是 2019 年某个时候发布。

我们实际看到的却是一次又一次的延期,原因是供应链、这些车辆的效率,以及新冠疫情。所以,试验车队直到 2022 年才真正交付。那是在 2022 年 12 月。也就是说,我们拿到第一批试验车队已经是 4 年前的事了。

这些车队大多运往佛罗里达州的 PepsiCo。他们刚刚在 2026 年 4 月 29 日为这些卡车开通了高密度生产线。所以,从概念阶段到量产线,用了 9 年。

Just to remind you, the Tesla Semi truck was unveiled in late 2017. That was around the same time I got my black Model X. I loved it. My father still drives that black car of mine; it's fantastic.

But the truck was supposed to be released within a year and a half, sometime in 2019. What we really saw was one delay after another, due to supply chains, the efficiency of these vehicles, and the Covid pandemic.

So, a trial fleet was not actually delivered until 2022. That was in December 2022. That is, we are talking about 4 years ago when we got our first trial fleets. Those fleets were mostly destined for PepsiCo in Florida.

They just opened the high-density production line for these trucks on April 29, 2026. So, from concept stage to mass production line, it took 9 years.

2026-09-21看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-13看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-09看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-08
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-04看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-04
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-03
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-03
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-09-03看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-08-31看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
2026-08-27看涨
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
方向翻转
2026-08-26
订阅或试用后可见这一步的正文
更早的 12 条正文需要订阅
最近 2 条的正文公开可读。更早的条目保留日期与方向,正文随订阅解锁。
订阅 · 30 天完整试用