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$GOOGL

Stock Market Mentor on $GOOGL (Oct 30, 2026)

AI summary · Stock Market Mentor

The speaker thinks GOOGL's best days are over and it does not lead in any field worth owning; profits came in below expectations and free cash flow fell 9.1 billion versus 3.5 billion expected on heavy spending. The path of least resistance is downward and he expects further decline, though not a drop to $140 and with no view on a gap fill; he would drop the bearish view if the stock starts to rise.

BearishHe framed it in weeks
“Weekend Study Session - October 30, 2026”
Stock Market MentorPublished Oct 30 · 10 passages

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10 passages
13:1220:28

But here's the thing: you have to look at Alphabet , Meta, Amazon, and Intel. Alphabet had its worst day in 20 years.

And I'll tell you this, I talked to someone today who was saying, "Man, Google." Hey buddy, don't you think this is a good buying opportunity? I told them, "No, I don't think so."

Their response was, "Yes, but this is just, yes, bad SEO." It's as if no one uses Google for searching. "And oh, you know , they have lots of other things, they have Tensor Processing Units (TPUs), they have this and that."

So, they announced great profits and this and that. Um, but did they really do that? In fact, their profits came in lower than expected.

Oh, they have a lot of other things working in their favor. But guys, Google was once actually used in speech. Hello, just search for it on Google. Now, I think it looks like a star or something like that .

I don't know where they got the name Google from in the first place. It's very silly of you to ask me, but nobody has asked me. The point is , I can't remember the last time I clicked on a blue hyperlink on an advertising page, which is what it's like now.

I think the best days of this company are over. Yes, they do all of these other things. They are in the midst of competition, but being in competition is different from leading it , and they are not leading, at least not in any field I would want to be in.

Yesterday I mentioned earlier today that this is not for purchase. Well, you might say, "Oh, it only dropped by 1%." Yes, yes. Now, do I think it will drop further? I don't know, but I'm looking forward to next week as a good opportunity to buy for trading purposes.

But do I think he will do this? Only if they enter the field of biotechnology and find a cure for death . They won't do that, and I think this is a weekly chart. I think the best you can hope for is if you...

I don't recommend buying this, and I'm not interested in it at all, but everyone trades a little differently. If you're going to buy it next week, don't think, "Oh, it'll fill the gap." truly ?

Do you want to bet on that? How far will your bets go? Do I think it will eventually bridge the gap ? I have no idea. Seriously, I don't know . Don't misunderstand me, I'm not so pessimistic about Google that I think it will "drop to $140".

Seriously, I don't know. I don't know, and I won't tell you otherwise, and I don't usually like to give opinions on things that are really just an opinion. The last low here from March is located approximately at the current stock level.

Therefore, from a technical point of view , it would make sense for the price to rise. how far? I don't know. Um, that's all I wanted to say about it because I'm certainly not saying "buy on Monday".

That may be true , and it may not be. Also, depending on what happens over the weekend, if anything happens, because you know, Iran is very keen to make a deal. Nations. I won't say any more about that.

In any case, we may witness this rise, but it may fall with a gap first. So, what you should do is monitor the price movement, but don't get your hopes up for a huge move here.

Now, if you are a long-term investor, that's fine, you can buy if you want, but I was just talking to Brent about this a little while ago. And by the way, do you remember when I said "the price will be 500 by the fall" based on how it was trading at the time?

Well, it turns out that this was a mistake, a huge mistake in fact. Um, maybe it will reach 50 before it reaches 500. But I was saying that you can almost assume there is a head and shoulders pattern.

I'm looking at this, and I'm talking about a garden hose, and it looks like water is flowing from the end of the hose. Um, that's what I see, that's what I see. And I also want to say this.

This proves, this shows us that the decline in volatility can end in a downturn. Not every dip in volatility leads to an upward breakout, and I like upward breakouts of this pattern.

Therefore, it's easy to believe that "they will all do that ". No, you should realize that the decline in volatility means the absence of upward and downward movement, but at some point this absence of movement will disappear.

In other words, there will be upward and downward movements, and not always in an upward direction . So, this is one of those cases. If you say, "Oh, well, I'm a long-term investor, so this is my chance to buy."

I will not do that. I will not do that; Because what matters is not the length of time you hold the stock. What matters is what happens after you buy the stock. You can buy the stock here, and then eventually it will rise to here and you will be really happy.

But what if he hasn't done that up to this point? I mean, this is one of those things you guys need to take very seriously. You should look at this and say: "The path of least resistance is downward."

This thing fell from the side of a building and is searching for the ground but has not found it yet. So, don't misunderstand me again, like saying, "Oh, Dan is very pessimistic about Google."

I don't know. I think it will fall further, but if the stock starts to rise again, I won't be pessimistic about it . I know, the more experience I have in trading, the more neutral I become towards the market.

I just feel that the market ultimately knows a lot more than I do.

But you can see that they failed here. Their free cash flow decreased by 9.1 billion compared to the expected 3.5 billion. This means they spend huge amounts of money on things if their cash flow is three times what was expected.

This is a lot of spending on things that are basically useless, okay?

So, I feel like this is just me telling you that I think artificial intelligence is great for you. It's great for me . But all these fools are investing all these billions of dollars in it, hoping that things will go well, God willing.

I think watching this will be fun, that is, if you're a bit of a sadist.

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