$IAU

The speaker entered a buy position in IAU (iShares Gold Trust) today via options expiring in about 30 to 40 days in November, expecting a bounce in gold. He sees a speaker pattern with near coin-toss odds that is slightly more likely to move gold down, so he is not ready to short and puts little weight on it.

BullishHe framed it in months
“The Gold And Silver Trades I Just Took”
Verified InvestingPublished Oct 13 · 1 passage

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I'm in a gold deal, I made a gold deal, and I took a very small position in a silver deal. Now, I'm going to tell you exactly what my strategy is, guys. So, let's move on and turn to the gold chart .

Now, we have a " speaker" pattern starting to take shape here. So, the speaker pattern, as you know, you can see it expanding and becoming slightly larger. The movements get louder, just like a loudspeaker.

Now, I have written the probability. It's very close to tossing a coin, so, you know, I don't attach much importance to this. We like to see multi- factor settings so that we can reach a probability of 80-85%.

This style is hardly better than flipping a coin. Now, the probability is, and again, this is very, very close to 50/50, so don't bet everything you have on this move, but when you do fall into the speaker pattern, it is likely to go down .

Now, again, this is very, very close to a coin toss, so don't put too much weight on it because I'm actually in a buying position here. I'm not sure, and I'm not ready to short sell in this move just yet, guys.

And so I think, as you know, we may get a nice, good bounce on the gold chart. What gold deal am I making ? They are not precious metals , you know, on the spot market. I don't go to a pawn shop to buy an unlucky man's ring, then show up two months later when the price of gold is a little higher .

This is not the kind of deal we make here. It's the IAU. This is the iShares Gold Trust. This is essentially a gold exchange-traded fund. We entered into a buy position today, so as you know, I got some options for this position with a future date of about 30 to 40 days, i.e., in November.

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