说话者今日通过11月到期、约30至40天的期权建仓做多IAU（iShares Gold Trust），预期黄金反弹。他认为存在一种接近抛硬币概率的说话者形态，略微更可能推动黄金下跌，因此他还不准备做空，也不太看重这一形态。
逐段跳播
我持有一笔黄金交易，我做了一笔黄金交易，还在一个白银交易上建了一个很小的仓位。现在，各位，我要确切告诉你们我的策略是什么。那么，我们继续，来看黄金图表。现在，这里开始形成一个“喇叭”形态。
这个喇叭形态，如你所知，你可以看到它在扩张，变得稍微大一些。波动变得更响，就像喇叭一样。现在，我把概率写下来了。它非常接近抛硬币，所以我不太看重这个。我们喜欢看到多因素共振的形态，这样概率才能达到80%到85%。
这种形态几乎不比抛硬币好多少。现在，这个概率，再说一次，非常非常接近50/50，所以不要把所有筹码都押在这波走势上，但当你确实落入喇叭形态时，它很可能会下跌。再说一次，这非常非常接近抛硬币，所以不要给它太大权重，因为我实际上在这里持的是买入仓位。
我不确定，各位，我还不准备在这波走势中做空。所以我认为，如你所知，我们可能会在黄金图表上迎来一次不错的反弹。我做的是什么黄金交易？它们不是现货市场上的贵金属。我不会去当铺买一个倒霉人的戒指，然后两个月后金价稍微高一点时再出现。
这不是我们这里做的那种交易。是IAU。这是iShares Gold Trust。这本质上是一只黄金交易所交易基金。我们今天进了一个买入仓位，所以如你所知，我为这个仓位买了一些期权，到期日大约在30到40天后，也就是11月。
I'm in a gold deal, I made a gold deal, and I took a very small position in a silver deal. Now, I'm going to tell you exactly what my strategy is, guys. So, let's move on and turn to the gold chart .
Now, we have a " speaker" pattern starting to take shape here. So, the speaker pattern, as you know, you can see it expanding and becoming slightly larger. The movements get louder, just like a loudspeaker.
Now, I have written the probability. It's very close to tossing a coin, so, you know, I don't attach much importance to this. We like to see multi- factor settings so that we can reach a probability of 80-85%.
This style is hardly better than flipping a coin. Now, the probability is, and again, this is very, very close to 50/50, so don't bet everything you have on this move, but when you do fall into the speaker pattern, it is likely to go down .
Now, again, this is very, very close to a coin toss, so don't put too much weight on it because I'm actually in a buying position here. I'm not sure, and I'm not ready to short sell in this move just yet, guys.
And so I think, as you know, we may get a nice, good bounce on the gold chart. What gold deal am I making ? They are not precious metals , you know, on the spot market. I don't go to a pawn shop to buy an unlucky man's ring, then show up two months later when the price of gold is a little higher .
This is not the kind of deal we make here. It's the IAU. This is the iShares Gold Trust. This is essentially a gold exchange-traded fund. We entered into a buy position today, so as you know, I got some options for this position with a future date of about 30 to 40 days, i.e., in November.