$NBIS

The speaker favors Nebius and would stick with it: demand exceeds supply, withheld capacity earns short-term premiums, gigawatts of Vera Rubin GPU capacity are expected by 2027, and its Yandex team, Nvidia backing and low-margin Microsoft/Meta deals helped it scale. He calls the approximately $40 to $45 billion valuation expensive on trailing revenue and flags funding, execution and timeline risk, while seeing Europe AI spending as a tailwind.

BullishHe framed it in years
“This AI Infrastructure Boom Could Be Just Getting Started!”
The Motley FoolPublished Oct 25 · 11 passages

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11 passages
6:3719:27

Has SpaceX become so big that it might capture a share of emerging cloud companies or smaller AI players such as Nebius, Korwef, Iron, Cipher, etc.?

They possess the same comprehensive vision as Korwef and OpenAI or Nebius and Anthropic.

But at the moment , if you listen to what Nebius says, she also believes that prices will not go down. There is still much more demand than they can supply. They do, of course, offer an auction system, so you can see what's happening in the market, and that helps them price their services better.

They deliberately do not sell their full capacity. They have said time and time again, we can sell our entire capacity at current prices. But we don't want that because we know we can charge extra fees for short-term contracts, which in turn helps them to grow much faster.

Today at the GTC conference in Berlin on Wednesday, the Chief Revenue Officer stated that they expect to have gigawatts of Vera Rubin GPU capacity operational by 2027. That's tens of billions of dollars that will come into play a year from now, in addition to everything they have today.

I'll mention the name I've known for a long time, which is "Nebeus". Oh, my God. It's shocking, I know. Nebius is now a company with a market capitalization of approximately $40 to $45 billion .

On paper, it looks expensive because the revenue they've generated over the past twelve months doesn't really reflect what the company will do , but as I said, it's very important to have a very good team, an engineering-based team.

They have been doing this work for many years. They were formerly Yandex, which used to be called "Russia's Google," and now they have transformed into this type of company, so they have the experience.

They have the necessary talents and technical knowledge, of course. They are very well associated with Nvidia. Nvidia has invested in that company. They did strike some good deals, I would say, with Microsoft and Meta, deals with low profit margins, but those deals allowed them, as we said, to move much faster, and raise capital at better rates than many other companies, and that is why they are now taking advantage of these high prices that they can charge.

Of course, execution is key again. When we talk about this massive expansion, there is a lot of spending and a lot of money that needs to be raised, and you have to stick to the timeline.

You have to adhere to the delivery time specified for your customers, but things are going well so far. Up to this point, they are doing exactly what they are supposed to do . They are also headquartered in Europe, so I think they are well-positioned if Europe starts spending more on AI infrastructure; they are perfectly qualified to benefit from that.

They are, of course, growing very well in the United States, in the Middle East, and in other parts of the world. But yes, I would still choose Nephews here.

I know that SpaceX, I mean SpaceX builds rockets and then takes them back. So , of course they know how to build things, which is a huge advantage, especially in building these data centers.

Therefore, I will stick to my choice of Nepheus.

Yes, yes. I mean, I don't own shares in this company, but I admire it . As I mentioned, they didn't give you a single reason to bet against them. Good. I believe that SemiAnalysis also placed them in the Platinum category.

So, this really highlights their software solutions, their ability to build, and their ease of use.

If there's one thing, Neo, you'd like clarification on in their earnings results. So, one thing, perhaps not an explanation, but just something you'd like to know more about or hear during the earnings announcement, what would that be for Nepheus?

I think if we could get more details on how things are going, the issue of funding will always remain a big question until it is resolved. They have already given us some hints about how they are handling it, which I think is good.

Perhaps if we get more details, perhaps details of the profit margins for some of the larger deals might help. But ultimately, if I see that the underlying business is getting better and better , I don't really need to scrutinize and say, "Oh, that's the profit margin for that deal, and that's..."

No, if the overall profile of the business is consistently improving , that suits me perfectly . But yes, if you are going to say that we expect to get gigawatts of capacity, or add gigawatts of capacity every year, then perhaps you should tell the market exactly how that will happen. 30% of business transactions, 50% of advance payments, and so on.

Typically, when you hear about any new production, you will find that two names are always mentioned in the list: Coreweave and Nebius.

Watchpoints

funding details and overall business profile in Nebius earnings results

What this channel has said about $NBIS

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