AMD 是一个极具吸引力的五年以上 AI 机会:即便 Nvidia 不失败,AMD 也能抢占更多 AI 需求,服务器 CPU、GPU 和 Helios 将提供助力。尽管在 12 个月上涨 180%、上月上涨约 25% 后估值已不便宜,但预期盈利翻倍使 PEG 低于 1。本人持有该股;预计 2027 年达到 1,000 美元;若股价下跌将加仓。
逐段跳播
第一只股票是 Advanced Micro Devices,交易代码 AMD。我相信,在未来五年乃至更长时间里,AMD 是整个 AI 行业中最有意思的公司和机会之一,因为 Nvidia 是 AI 处理器市场的主导者。
这一点毫无疑问。AI 计算市场可能会变得非常庞大,一旦 AMD 抓住额外需求中的相当大一部分份额,它就可能成为一家规模大得多的公司。AMD 不需要 Nvidia 失败就能提升自己的市场份额。
这就是为什么我认为 AMD 值得在你的名单上认真考虑。他们有图形处理器(GPU)。他们主导着中央处理器(CPU)市场。他们有网络软件,以及全规模的硬件能力“Helios”计算平台,可以与 Nvidia 这样的公司竞争。
The first stock is Advanced Micro Devices, known by the trading symbol AMD. I believe AMD is one of the most interesting companies and opportunities in the entire AI industry over the next five years and beyond, because Nvidia is the dominant player in the AI processor market .
There is no doubt about that. The AI computing market could grow so large that AMD could become a much bigger company once it captures a significant share of the additional demand.
AMD does not need Nvidia to fail in order to increase its market share. This is why I believe AMD deserves serious consideration on your list. They have graphics processing units (GPUs).
They dominate the central processing unit ( CPU) market. They have networking software and the full-scale hardware-capacity "Helios" computing platform to compete with companies like Nvidia.
如你所见,你右边“科技巨头”中的那只股票,也是名单最上面的那只,就是 AMD。
As you can see, the stock among the " tech giants" on your right, and at the top of the list, is AMD.
现在来看 Investing Pro,我们看到 AMD 股价在过去 12 个月里上涨了惊人的 180%,公司市值一度突破 1 万亿美元。但现在它稳定在略低的水平。未来五年,我认为这是一家有能力达到万亿美元市值的公司,并且到 2027 年将轻松达到每股 1,000 美元的价格。
Now turning to Investing Pro, we see that AMD shares have risen by an astonishing 180% over the past 12 months, and the company briefly touched a market capitalization exceeding $1 trillion.
But it is now settling at a slightly lower level . Over the next five years, this is a company that I believe is capable of reaching a trillion-dollar market capitalization, and will easily reach a price of $1,000 per share by 2027.
再次强调,这不是投资建议,我也不是说这只股票现在很便宜。这只股票已经大幅上涨,尤其是最近,仅上个月就上涨了约 25%。
Again, this is not financial advice, and I am not saying that this stock is a cheap deal right now. The stock has seen a significant rise, especially recently, having climbed by about 25% in the last month alone.
这里看一下分析师对未来几年的预期。预计明年盈利将再次翻倍,而展望 2027 年,该股目前的远期市盈率为 38.7 倍。从表面上看,仅凭这一点,这只股票并不便宜。但当我们把增长因素纳入考量,从这个角度看,该股的市盈率相对盈利增长比率(PEG)远低于 1,这让我觉得非常有意思。
Here's a look at analysts' estimates for the next few years. Earnings are expected to double again next year, and looking ahead to 2027, the stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 38.7 times.
Looking at the surface, the stock isn't cheap based on that alone. But when we bring the growth factor into the equation, from that perspective, the stock has a price-to-earnings-to-growth (PEG) ratio well below one, which is very interesting to me.
再次说明,这是一只我持有在自己投资组合中的股票。因此,我不必急于买入,但如果出现任何价格下跌,我会考虑加仓。以下是我对未来五年乃至更长时间看好 AMD 的逻辑。我预计人工智能市场的竞争将显著加剧。
Microsoft、Meta、Amazon 等公司以及其他大型云服务提供商不会愿意只依赖单一供应商。这就为 AMD 这样的公司创造了机会。但正如我之前提到的,AMD 不需要取代 Nvidia。
它只需要在一个持续增长的市场中成为一个可靠且可扩展的替代选择。
Again, this is a stock that I own in my portfolio. Therefore, I don't have to rush into buying , but if there is any price decline, I will look to increase my investments. Here is my thesis that makes me optimistic about AMD over the next five years and beyond.
I expect the artificial intelligence market to become significantly more competitive . Companies like Microsoft, Meta, Amazon, and other giant cloud service providers will not want to rely exclusively on a single provider.
This creates an opportunity for companies like AMD. But AMD does not need to replace Nvidia, as I mentioned earlier. It just needs to become a reliable and scalable alternative in a market that continues to grow.
另一个有时被忽视的机会是服务器的中央处理器(CPU)。并非每个工作负载都需要图形处理器(GPU)来处理人工智能。传统的中央处理器(CPU)在运行云基础设施和支持人工智能系统方面仍然发挥着关键作用。
AMD 在中央处理器领域的强劲表现,提供了另一种参与数据中心增长的方式。
Another opportunity that is sometimes overlooked is the central processing units (CPUs) of servers. Not every workload requires a graphics processing unit (GPU ) for artificial intelligence.
Traditional central processing units (CPUs) still play a crucial role in running cloud infrastructure and supporting artificial intelligence systems. AMD's strong activity in the field of central processing units provides another way to participate in the growth of data centers.
像“AMD”这样的标的,我们当然希望保持耐心,而不是仅仅因为过去一个月看到的走势就贸然进场。
This is certainly a name like " AMD" where we want to be patient rather than jump right in because of the movement they've seen in the last month alone.
最终,这五家公司都在不同程度上依赖于对人工智能基础设施的持续需求。因此,持有全部五只股票并不自动意味着你的投资已经分散。但在我回答之前,是的,这五只股票我都持有。我期待在这五个标的上建立更大的核心持仓。
Ultimately, and to varying degrees, all five companies depend on the continued demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure . Therefore, owning all five stocks does not automatically mean that you have diversified investments.
But before I answer, yes , I own all five shares. I will look forward to building larger centers in these five names.
AMD 提供了一个在人工智能计算领域站稳脚跟的极具吸引力的机会。
AMD presents a compelling opportunity to gain a foothold in the field of artificial intelligence computing .
这个频道对 $AMD 的历次判断
Mark Roussin, CPA 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。