AMZN 是一项长期买入标的,其通过 AWS 增长、稳定的电商业务以及自有芯片从 AI 中受益。
逐段跳播
我现在愿意用一千美元买入的股票是 Amazon。我认为 Amazon 是一只能够持续很久的股票。它属于那种无论有没有人工智能都能受益的公司。人工智能为它提供了许多不同的增长途径。
基础设施方面的工作会继续累积,我们稍后会快速看一下这些数字。得益于人工智能,顾客的购物方式将彻底改变,而 Amazon 拥有非常庞大的店面,能够向这些顾客销售。其背后的技术正日益先进。
The stock I would buy for a thousand dollars right now is Amazon. I think Amazon is a stock that will last a very long time. It is one of those companies that can benefit with or without artificial intelligence.
I mean, artificial intelligence gives it many different ways to grow. Infrastructure work can continue to add up, and we'll take a quick look at those numbers. The way customers shop will change completely thanks to artificial intelligence, and Amazon has a very large storefront to be able to sell to these customers.
The technology behind it is becoming more advanced day by day.
那么,如果我们快速看一下 Amazon 上一季度、也就是 2026 年第二季度的财务引擎,营收达到了 2000 亿美元。是的,2000 亿美元,同比增长 20%。
So, if we take a quick look at Amazon’s financial engine in the last quarter, the second quarter of 2026, revenues reached $200 billion. Yes, $200 billion, an increase of 20% year-on-year.
目前,我关注最多的板块是 AWS 板块,因为我非常喜欢它。AWS 营收达到约 420 亿美元,同比增长约 37%。AWS 的营业利润达到 166 亿美元。尽管 AWS 仅占销售额的约 21%,却贡献了约 60% 的营业利润。
对我来说,这就是我如此关注 AWS 人工智能基础设施的原因。它已经为 Amazon 贡献了相当大一部分营业利润,我相信随着人工智能浪潮的持续演进,这一增长将继续加速并改善。
Right now, the sector I follow the most is the AWS sector because I love it so much. AWS revenues reached approximately $42 billion, an increase of approximately 37% year-over-year.
AWS's operating income reached $16.6 billion. Although AWS accounts for only about 21% of sales, it contributes about 60% of operating income. For me, this is why I pay so much attention to AI infrastructure at AWS.
It already generates a significant portion of Amazon's operating profits, and I believe this growth will continue to accelerate and improve as the AI wave continues to evolve.
对我来说,Amazon 令人兴奋之处在于,它有一项我不会称之为乏味的业务,但在电商方面,我看不到那里会发生太多颠覆。我们看到这一方面随着全球和本地销售而变得更加强劲。
For me, the excitement of Amazon is that it has a business that I wouldn't describe as boring, but on the e-commerce side, I don't see much disruption happening there. We see this aspect growing stronger with sales worldwide and locally.
现在,人工智能解决方案继续增长。在我们今天录制这期节目时,我们看到 Amazon 宣布提高其图形处理单元(GPU)的价格。受影响的不仅是较新的图形处理单元,较旧的也一样,对吧?
那些单元很可能已经由 Amazon 全额付清了。因此,在当前的人工智能浪潮下,拥有算力已成为一个巨大的现金流来源。
Now, artificial intelligence solutions continue to grow. As we record this episode today, we saw that Amazon announced an increase in the prices of its graphics processing units (GPUs).
It's not just the newer graphics processing units that are affected, but the older ones too, right? Those units are likely to have already been fully paid for by Amazon. Therefore, with the current wave of artificial intelligence, having computing capabilities has become a huge source of cash flow.
尽管我们作为投资者现在看到自由现金流在下降,但这是因为他们正在花更多钱建设越来越多的 AI 数据中心。但那些较旧的数据中心已经在为他们产生正的自由现金流。
Although we as investors are now seeing that free cash flow is decreasing, this is because they are spending more money to build more and more AI data centers. But those older data centers are already generating positive free cash flow for them.
管理层报告称,AWS 的订单簿中约有 4960 亿美元,是的,半万亿美元。这代表着我们未来几年可以预期看到的未来工作。随着我们继续看到 AI 创新,我相信你也在跟进,对吧?我们有来自 OpenAI 的新解决方案,也有来自 Anthropic 的新解决方案。
随着这些解决方案不断增长,企业继续在其商业模式中落地人工智能。这些模型公司需要更多算力,我预计在可预见的未来,订单簿将继续实现环比增长。
The administration reported that there was approximately $496 billion, yes, half a trillion dollars in the AWS order book. This represents the future work that we can expect to see in the next few years.
As we continue to see AI innovations, I'm sure you're keeping up with it, aren't you? We have new solutions from OpenAI, and we have new solutions from Anthropic. As these solutions continue to grow, companies continue to implement artificial intelligence within their business models.
These model companies need more computing power, and I expect we will continue to see sequential growth in the order book for the foreseeable future.
当你继续看到他们如何为其 AI 芯片构建基础设施时,这个机会就变得有趣了,对吧?他们不仅购买 Nvidia 芯片,还自行设计芯片。Amazon 过去曾说过,如果他们的业务是基于设计和销售芯片,按典型的市场估值,他们会是一家数十亿美元的公司。
Amazon 有自己的 CPU、自己的网络解决方案和自己的 AI 芯片,他们表示 AI 和芯片的年增长率预计将超过约 250 亿美元,对吧?半导体板块中许多这类公司的市盈率和市销率往往超过 10。
所以,你说的是 2000 亿到 3000 亿美元的业务。
The opportunity becomes interesting when you continue to see how they have built the infrastructure for their AI chips, doesn't it? They not only buy Nvidia chips, but they also design their own chips.
Amazon has spoken in the past about how, if their business were based on designing and selling chips, they would be a multi-billion dollar company based on typical market valuations.
Amazon has its own CPUs, its own networking solutions, and its own AI chips, and they have stated that the annual growth rate for AI and chips is expected to exceed approximately $25 billion, right?
The price-to-earnings and price-to-sales ratios of many of these companies often exceed 10 in the semiconductor sector. So, you're talking about a $200 to $300 billion business there.
所以,对我来说,Amazon 是一个不会受到人工智能负面影响的赢家,而是一家能够从中大获裨益的公司,也是一家我愿意长期持有的公司。
So, for me, Amazon is a winner that will not be negatively affected by artificial intelligence, but rather a company that can benefit greatly from it, and a company I feel comfortable keeping for a very long time.
这个频道对 $AMZN 的历次判断
The Motley Fool 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。