$BRK.B · The Motley Fool · 2026-10-30
伯克希尔的并购交易让它重新有了一点看点,股价上涨也可能吸引投资者;但说话者认为,伯克希尔在收购后会把公司管坏、利润率下降,被伯克希尔收购的Costco会被毁掉。他希望Greg Abel把3700亿美元现金中的1000亿美元投入运营公司,不过他认可伯克希尔不干预运营者。
逐段跳播
Berkshire 正在收购 Costco。谁会说不呢?是的,Charlie Munger 的继承人和后代都会掀起一场公关风暴。等一下。父亲花了很多年试图说服 Warren Buffett 买 Costco、多买 Costco,而众所周知 Warren Buffett 犹豫了,在我看来,他错过了一个最好的投资机会。
他的,也就是 Charlie Munger 的,继承人会反对这件事。除此之外,我认为这不算一笔坏交易,是一笔扩大业务范围的好交易。如今 Berkshire 要让自己的业务转型已经非常困难。
我们听说过他们在新管理层下做的一些非常有趣的收购,但我怀疑其中任何一笔是否真能带来那种利润。另一方面,Berkshire 又变得有点令人兴奋了。比如,它的股价上涨了。这看起来像一家活跃的公司。
所以,也许做交易是能吸引投资者的东西。有一种感觉是,Warren 在愿意做交易方面有点松懈。所以,我认为这个想法相当不错。Jason,你怎么看?完全不是。Tony James 不会让这件事发生。
COSCO 的董事长已经当了近 10 年董事长,从八十年代起就在董事会里。如果说 Cosco 有什么如此神奇的地方,那就是他们的管理能力。他们真的是了不起、了不起的董事,不是吗?
他们了解自己的业务。他们了解自己的客户。而问题是,如果你看看 Berkshire 在收购任何业务之后的状态,他们就会变成糟糕的管理者。利润率下降。现金流很好,但是的。而所有这些现金流最终都落到 Berkshire 的资产负债表上。
是的。我希望 Greg Abel 能从那 3700 亿美元现金中拿出 1000 亿美元,送回给运营公司,说:“伙计们,你们可以现代化,可以改进,可以修好一些东西。”让我们把我们的形象找回来。
我知道。Dairy Queen 现在有一个 AI 人物,你开车经过得来速时可以和它说话。它只有 30% 的时候会出错,你知道。这,这是一种进步。Costco 会被毁掉——我知道这是异端邪说,但如果 Berkshire 拥有 Costco,
Berkshire is buying Costco. Who would say no? Yes, Charlie Munger's heirs and descendants will all create a public relations storm. One minute. Dad spent a lot of his life trying to convince Warren Buffett to buy Costco, to buy more of Costco, and famously Warren Buffett balked and missed out on one of his best investment opportunities in my opinion.
His, that is, Charlie Munger's, heirs will object to this. Other than that, I think it's not a bad deal, a good deal to expand the scope of the business. It has become very difficult for Berkshire to turn its business around these days.
We've heard about some really interesting purchases they've made under new management , but I question whether any of it will really bring in that kind of profit. On the other hand, Berkshire is getting a little exciting again.
For example, its share price has increased. This seems like an active company. So, maybe making deals is something that will attract investors. There is a sense that Warren was a little slack in his willingness to make deals.
So, I think this idea is pretty good. Jason, what do you think? Not at all. Tony James won't let this happen. The chairman of COSCO has been the chairman for almost 10 years , and has been with the board since the eighties.
If there's one thing about Cosco that's so magical, it's their management skills. They are really amazing, amazing directors, aren't they ? They know their business. They know their customers.
And the problem is, if you look at the state of Berkshire after they buy any business, they become bad managers. The profit rate decreases. Great cash flow, but yeah. And all that cash flow ultimately ends up on Berkshire's balance sheet.
Yes. And I wish Greg Abel would take $ 100 billion of that $370 billion in cash and send it back to the operating companies and say, "Guys, you can modernize, you can improve, you can fix things."
Let's get our profile back. I know. Dairy Queen now has an AI person you talk to when you go through the drive-thru. They only make mistakes 30 percent of the time, you know. This is this is an improvement.
Costco will be destroyed —I know it's heresy, but if Berkshire owns Costco,
如今 Berkshire 要让自己的业务转型已经非常困难。我们听说过他们在新管理层下做的一些非常有趣的收购,但我怀疑其中任何一笔是否真能带来那种利润。另一方面,Berkshire 又变得有点令人兴奋了。
比如,它的股价上涨了。这看起来像一家活跃的公司。所以,也许做交易是能吸引投资者的东西。有一种感觉是,Warren 在愿意做交易方面有点松懈。所以,我认为这个想法相当不错。
It has become very difficult for Berkshire to turn its business around these days. We've heard about some really interesting purchases they've made under new management, but I question whether any of it will really bring in that kind of profit.
On the other hand, Berkshire is getting a little exciting again. For example, its share price has increased. This seems like an active company. So, maybe making deals is something that will attract investors.
There is a sense that Warren was a little slack in his willingness to make deals. So, I think this idea is pretty good.
而问题是,如果你看看 Berkshire 在收购任何业务之后的状态,他们就会变成糟糕的管理者。利润率下降。现金流很好,但是的。而所有这些现金流最终都落到 Berkshire 的资产负债表上。
是的。我希望 Greg Abel 能从那 3700 亿美元现金中拿出 1000 亿美元,送回给运营公司,说:“伙计们,你们可以现代化,可以改进,可以修好一些东西。”让我们把我们的形象找回来。
And the problem is, if you look at the state of Berkshire after they buy any business, they become bad managers. The profit rate decreases. Great cash flow, but yeah. And all that cash flow ultimately ends up on Berkshire's balance sheet.
Yes. And I wish Greg Abel would take $100 billion of that $370 billion in cash and send it back to the operating companies and say, "Guys, you can modernize, you can improve, you can fix things." Let's get our profile back.
如果 Berkshire 拥有 Costco,它会被毁掉。它会变得像 Dairy Queen 一样。嘿,Berkshire,直接买股票就行了。也许这是个好举措。
if Berkshire owns Costco, it will be destroyed. It's going to be like Dairy Queen. Hey Berkshire, just buy the stock. Perhaps this is a good move.
关于 Berkshire 最后说一句。我的意思是,这件事的反面是,他们让运营者做运营者。也许他们没有按应该的方式投资,或者没有就资本应该如何配置给出明确指示,但我喜欢这样一个事实:他们收购企业之后,基本上让企业自己管自己。但他们给的钱不够。
One last word about Berkshire. I mean, the flip side of that is they let operators be operators. Maybe they don't invest as they should or give clear instructions on how capital should be allocated, but I like the fact that they leave businesses pretty much to themselves after they buy them. But they don't pay them enough.
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