看好CME:它已突破自3月330高点以来的下跌趋势,目前位于50日、20日和200日均线上方,RSI走高,周线MACD上穿零轴,未来几个月可能进一步上涨;周三公布的第三季度业绩预计将显示,在强劲交易和波动率推动下,营收和每股收益实现两位数增长。
逐段跳播
你的下一个选择是CME Group,它今天小幅下跌,但年初至今上涨。尽管过去一年它相比市场略有落后,但过去52周仍然是正收益。
Your next choice is CME Group, which is down slightly today, but has risen year-to-date. Although it has lagged slightly compared to the market over the past year , it has still been positive over the past 52 weeks.
我非常喜欢CME,他们的财报将在周三发布。所以,这是一种基于收益的交易。我喜欢CME有两个原因。从技术角度看,你会看到50日和200日移动平均线正在收敛,如果50日均线上穿200日均线,那就是金叉,表明非常看涨或上行的趋势。
此外,CME不断创下一个又一个成交量纪录。所以,我真的很喜欢他们的工作。我喜欢这里的观点。所以,我想做的是卖出本周305行权价的看涨期权,由于财报,那里的权利金要高得多。同时我买入11月20日、大约一个月后到期的300看涨期权,价格在4到450的区间。
所以,你可以这样看,“我买入一个月后的300看涨期权,卖出本周的305看涨期权,以收回部分成本。”
I really like CME and their earnings report will be released on Wednesday. So, it is a type of income- based trading. I like CME for two reasons. From a technical perspective, you will see the 50-day and 200- day moving averages converging , and if the 50-day average rises above the 200-day average, it is a golden cross, indicating a very bullish or upward trend.
Moreover, CME continues to set volume record after volume record. So, I really like their work. I like the view here. So, what I want to do is sell this week's 305 strike call , and the premium there is much higher because of the earnings.
And I am buying 300 calls for November 20th, about a month later, which is priced in the range of 4 to 450. So, you can look at it this way, "I'm buying 300 calls a month from now and selling 305 calls this week to recoup some of the cost."
是的,当然。说实话,这张图不仅日线好看,周线也好看。我们先从日线图说起。显然,这只股票曾涨到接近330美元的水平。那大概是3月份,但自那之后,该股的高点和低点都在下移。正如Scott谈到的基本面,对这只股票来说,基本面比技术面更重要。
它们一直能够守住自己的位置。7月份我们看到了某种V型底部的回升,并且成功突破了一个关键阻力区。从330那个高点,我们画出了一条下降趋势线。你会看到我们已经突破了那个阻力位,并在最近两三个交易日里走高。
这是一个非常好的信号。下一个阻力区是305,之后是315。如果出现下跌,就要看255这个位置。RSI持续抬高底部,这是看涨信号。MACD的12 EMA位于26 EMA之上,这也是看涨信号。
Scott说得对,我们当时有50日、20日和200日移动平均线形成的绝佳组合。过去两三周里,我们已经站到了所有这些均线之上,所以是看涨的。如果看周线图,你可以更乐观一些。周线图仍然显示看涨趋势,正在从V型底部回升。
那个V型底部正好出现在200周移动平均线处,这是一条重要的移动平均线。你看,去年7月,2024年7月,我们看到价格回升到那个水平,现在又开始小幅上行了。周线MACD应该会让你感到一些乐观,因为12 EMA刚刚上穿零轴。
26 EMA很可能会在未来一周内上穿零轴。这又给了你一个看涨信号,可能在未来几个月带来更多利润。这看起来是一张非常看涨的图,Marvin。
Yes, of course. And honestly, this is a chart that looks good not only on a daily basis, but also on a weekly basis. We will start with the daily chart first. Apparently, the stock managed to reach near the $330 level.
That was around March, but since that particular time the stock has seen downward highs and lows. As Scott talked about fundamentals, fundamentals are more important than technicals in this stock.
They have been able to hold their own. In July we saw a kind of V-bottom recovery and we were able to break out of a key area of resistance. From that peak at 330, we found a downward trend line.
You will see that we have broken through that resistance level and moved up in the last two or three trading sessions. This is a really good sign. You are looking at the 305 level as your next resistance area , followed by 315.
If there is a decline, you will look at the 255 level. The RSI is continuously making higher lows , which is bullish. The MACD 12 EMA is above the 26 EMA, which is also bullish.
And Scott is right , we had a great combination of the 50-day, 20-day and 200-day moving averages. We have been able to rise above all of them in the last two-three weeks , so it is bullish.
If we move to the weekly chart , you can be a little more optimistic there. The weekly chart is still showing the bullish trend, which is recovering from the 'V' bottom. That 'V' bottom occurred right at the 200- week moving average , which is an important moving average.
You see, last July, July 2024, we saw a kind of recovery back to that level and now we're starting to move up a little bit again. The weekly MACD should give you some optimism , as the 12 EMA has just crossed the zero line.
The 26 EMA will likely cross that zero line within the next week. This gives you another bullish signal, which could lead to additional profits in the next few months. This looks like a very bullish chart , Marvin.
好,现在对第三季度的预期非常高,由于CME交易活跃、波动性大,市场预期营收和每股收益都将实现两位数增长。我们将在周三拿到这些业绩。
Okay, now the expectations for the third quarter are very high, expecting double-digit revenue growth and EPS growth due to strong trading and volatility for CME. We will get those results on Wednesday.