CRM 正在盘整，趋势略微向上，上涨空间更大，跑赢下跌的大盘。值得买入但不容易：突破近期高点 245 将构成良好买点；50 日均线是支撑，50 周均线是下跌时的第一支撑。
逐段跳播
我们先从Salesforce说起。来谈谈软件板块。今天一些软件公司出现大涨，包括Salesforce。但从交易这只股票的角度，你怎么看Salesforce？
Let's start with Salesforce. Let's talk about software. Some software companies are experiencing a surge today, including Salesforce. But how do you view Salesforce in terms of trading this stock?
要么是有一些股票保持坚挺，也就是逆势而行的股票，因为在市场下跌当天的主流观点认为，如果市场回升，像CRM这类股票会涨得更多，因为我们现在是在一个下跌2.5%的市场里上涨2.5%。
所以，我对这个走势印象深刻；它已经低迷了很长时间，现在似乎正在重拾光彩。
Either there are stocks that are holding steady, i.e., stocks that go against the general trend, because the prevailing ideas on the day of the market down suggest that if the market recovers, we will see stocks like CRM stocks rise even more, because, you know, we are currently up 2.5% in a market that is down 2.5%.
So, I'm impressed with this program; you know, it's suffered for a long time, and it seems to be regaining its luster.
是的，这只股票是受SaaS曲线影响最大的股票之一。我的意思是，如果回顾1月到5月，我们会发现大幅下跌，但如果从夏天往后看，情况就完全不同了。
Yes, this stock was among those most affected by the SaaS curve. I mean, if we look back from January to May, we find a sharp decline, but the situation is completely different if we look back from the summer onwards.
那么，KG，给我们讲讲你在技术分析上看到了什么。我们似乎在10月触及了一个峰值，但也许我们正在回到那个趋势上？
So , KG, explain to us what you see in technical analysis. It seems we reached a peak in October, but perhaps we're going back on that trend?
是的，我认为从图表来看，Salesforce股票现在实际上正处于盘整阶段，你说得完全对。这只股票上涨了2.7%，而标普500指数下跌超过1%。
Yes, I think this is actually a consolidation phase for Salesforce stock right now, looking at the chart, and you're absolutely right . The stock is up 2.7%, while the S&P 500 index is down more than 1%.
去年这个时候，该股股价大约在260美元，但如你所见，它当时已经运行在200日移动平均线下方。我们在12月到1月初之间曾短暂上穿该均线，随后出现了“头肩顶”形态，接着我们看到股价大幅下跌，创出更低的低点和更高的高点。
At this time last year, the stock was trading at around $260, but as you can see, it was already trading below its 200-day moving average . We briefly passed through it between December and early January, and a "head and shoulders" pattern emerged, then we saw a sharp decline, recording lower lows and higher highs.
我们在6月前后到达了一个转折点，当时买方在140水平附近强势入场，自那以后我们一直在录得更高的低点。我们看到股价小幅上涨，并尝试重新测试255至270这一价格区间。我们在这里看到了盘整和轻微回调，但我们正依赖50日移动平均线（黄色线）作为关键支撑区域。
我们曾将20日移动平均线视为阻力区。我们最近突破了这条移动平均线，并看到了盘整和重新测试的尝试。因此，我认为当前趋势略微向上。
We reached a turning point around June, when buyers came in strong at around the 140 level, and since then we have been recording higher lows. We saw a slight rise and an attempt to retest this price range between 255 and 270.
We saw consolidation and a slight pullback here, but we are relying on the 50-day moving average (in yellow) as a key support area. We were relying on the 20-day moving average as a resistance zone.
We recently broke through this moving average, and we saw consolidation and an attempt to retest. Therefore, I think the current trend is slightly upward.
尝试重新测试我们现有的这个主要价格缺口，缺口大约15美元，位于255至270或275之间，然后有可能突破。相对强弱指数（RSI）突破了其一系列较低的高点。MACD指标及其12日指数移动平均线位于26日指数移动平均线上方，并且也位于零线上方。这是一个积极信号。
An attempt to retest this major price gap we have, which is about $15, between 255 and 270 or 275, and then the possibility of a breakout. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) breaks its series of lower peaks.
The MACD indicator with its 12-day exponential moving average is above the 26-day exponential moving average, and it is also above the zero line. This is a positive sign.
看长期周线图，我们再次看到我们处于盘整阶段，也就是所谓的杯柄形态，我们正在测试主要颈线或非常接近该颈线。我们需要突破三年周线图上的成交量控制点，但最终趋势仍有些向上，我们还有更多上涨空间。如果下跌，50周移动平均线将是第一个支撑区域。
Looking at the long-term weekly chart, we again see that we are in a consolidation phase, or what is known as the cup and handle pattern, where we are testing the main neckline or getting very close to it.
We need to get past the control point for trading volume on the three-year weekly chart , but ultimately, the trend is still somewhat upward , and we have more room to rise. If we decline, the 50-week moving average will be the first support zone.
好的，Mike，我想就你的具体交易回复你，但我也想指出，KG本周在一些图表上逆势而行，他在这里同意你的看法。所以你走在正确的轨道上，到目前为止三笔交易中赢了一笔。我们看看它能保持得如何。但你会建议如何交易Salesforce的股票？
Okay, Mike, I want to get back to you about your specific trade, but I'd also like to point out that KG has been going against the grain on some charts this week, and he agrees with you here.
So you are on the right track, having won one out of three deals so far. We'll see how it holds up. But how would you recommend trading Salesforce shares?
是的，我仍然想买入这只股票，但我认为买入并不容易。如果我们能突破其近期高点245，那么这将是买入看涨期权的好时机，因为隐含波动率非常低。买入价在10月30日至11月13日之间比较为260。
因此，这不会是一个很高的价格。可以以2.50美元买入。根据我的计算，如果价格升至260，这将给我们带来约4.50美元的回报，大约为1.8比1。
Yes, I still want to buy this stock, but I don't think it's easy to buy. If we can break above its recent highs at 245, then this would be a good time to buy call options, as the implied volatility is very low.
The purchase price is compared between October 30 and November 13 at 260. Therefore, it will not be a very high price. It can be purchased for $2.50. According to my calculations, if the price rises to 260 , that will give us a return of about $4.50 , which is approximately 1.8 to 1.
好的。现在，正如我们提到的，Salesforce的股票逆大盘趋势而行，上涨2.5%，交易价为247.87。
Okay. Now, as we mentioned, Salesforce shares are bucking the general market trend, rising by 2.5% and trading at 247.87.
这个频道对 $CRM 的历次判断
Schwab Network 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。