$CRWV

CRWV 两周内从 90 跌到 60;在当前行情下,说话者不会在此价位买入该股,称其为锚定/核心市场故事,且无意持有。相比持股,他更愿意卖出低于市价的看跌期权,因为权利金丰厚、可提供约 25% 的缓冲,或者选择 15% 的债券。

看跌
《The Drift w/ Adam Mesh & Tom Sosnoff | October 21, 2026》
Benzinga发布 2026-10-21 · 15 段内容
16:28/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

15 段内容
16:2821:51

市场可能在 Coreweave 不涨的情况下上涨。而且我认为,如果 Cororeweave 继续下跌,就会拖累市场。我觉得这是目前驱动市场的头号事件。

market could rally without Coreweave. And I think if Cororeweave continues to fall, it's going to pull down the market. I think this is the number one story driving the market right now.

在过去两周里从90多跌到了60。这就是那种我自然会卖出看跌期权的股票,只是不相信它们会倒闭,但我不会做得太激进。

came down from 90 and change to 60 over the last two weeks. this is the kind of stock that that I would naturally sell puts in, just not believing that they're going out of business, but I wouldn't go crazy.

那么,你会把10万美元投入收益率15%的债券吗?10万美元投入收益率15%的债券。是的。

Well, would you put $100,000 into the bonds at 15%. $100,000 in bonds at 15%. Yeah.

我会不会把10万美元投入收益率15%的债券?答案很可能是会。我不会,因为就像他们说的,得不偿失。我就是不想去应付这件事。我觉得我反而更希望它破产,因为那会制造混乱和机会。

would I put $100,000 at um 15%. The answer is probably yes. I I I wouldn't cuz the juice isn't worth the squeeze, as they say. I I just don't want to deal with it. Like I think it would be I'd be more rooting for it to go bankrupt like because that would create chaos and opportunity.

是的。而且我不认为我的投资组合是围绕 Coreweave 转的,它还有别的因素。我觉得这个行业没有 Coreweave 也能存活。我只是总是很好奇想看看下一个像雷曼兄弟那样的事件。

Yeah. And I don't think my portfolio revolves around coreweave or it's its other things. Like I think the industry could survive without coreweave. I I'm just always curious to see the next like Lehman Brothers.

是的。15%这个数字非常有意思,因为它是无风险利率的三倍。所以答案是,我会不会,我猜我在15%的收益率下很可能会。再低我就不会了,但这是无风险利率的三倍。

Yeah. I mean the 15% number is super interesting because it's three times risk-free rates. You know, um so the answer is would I would I and I'm guessing I probably would at 15%.

I wouldn't any lower, but three times risk-free rates.

是的,我得想想,我很可能会,只是,是的,我得想想我会的。而且分析师们两边都有声音。肯定有人下调评级,也有人进来说“不,这是买入机会,没问题。”这里确实存在一个市场,人们在这个市场上站到了对立面。

Yeah, I have to think I probably would just on just just, you know, I mean, yeah, I have to think I would. And the uh just, you know, the analysts are like coming out on both sides.

This is definitely like some people come down and downgrade it. Some people come in and say, "No, this is a buy. It's fine." Like there's really a market in this where people are taking opposite sides of

我会说,我过去交易过 Coreweave,但可能没怎么交易过,我甚至不知道2026年除了少数几次可能是财报相关的操作之外,我有没有怎么交易过。

I would say and I have traded coreweave in the past but I haven't traded it probably I don't I don't even know if I've traded much in 2026 other than a few maybe earnings plays or something like that.

我会说,我在这里最喜欢的交易会是我最倾向于在市价下方卖出看跌期权,比如在预期波动幅度附近,因为我觉得权利金很丰厚,但我真的在考虑那个债券交易,因为我有点觉得那对我来说是一笔有意思的交易,

Um, I would say I would be my favorite trade in here would be I'd be most inclined to sell puts below the market like like like at the expected move, Um, because I think the premium is rich, but I'm really thinking about that bond trade because I kind of feel like that's an interesting trade for me,

对吧?因为我会放贷,我会在15%左右的区间做私人信贷之类的事情。而且我不认为它们,我不认为这些贷款比 Coreweave 的贷款更差。这么说吧,我也不认为它们比 Coreweave 的贷款更好。

right? you know, because I I do loan like I will loan money, you know, private credit type things in that 15% range. And I don't think they're any I I don't think they're worse loans than like I don't think they're better loans than coreweave. Let's put it that way.

就像我做过的那样,我想,我该这么说,我做过更糟的。对。不,我是说,这个争论一直在持续,就是他们不断投入、为增长做准备。但他们的供应是不是过剩了,然后需求跟不上?还有他们借钱的成本,就是……

Like I've done I guess the way I should say I've done worse, Right. No, I I mean and the debate goes on and on about like they keep spending and preparing for growth. Um, but do they are they kind of overs supplied and then the demand won't meet that?

Um, and also just the cost that they're borrowing at like there's just

当然。而且无风不起浪,我是说,这种盘面走势,这不是那种我会在这里买入股票的盘面走势。这么说吧。这只股票对我没有吸引力。卖出看跌期权倒有意思,因为它给你相当大的缓冲,有14个,14个点,在一只60美元的股票上,这差不多是25%的波动空间。

Sure. And where there's smoke, you know, I mean this tape action, this is not the type of tape action like I would never buy the stock here. Let's put it that way. the stock has no interest to me.

Selling puts is interesting because it gives you, you know, a pretty big cushion of, you know, 14, you know, 14 handles in there, which is which is almost on a $60 stock, it's, you know, 25% move.

所以从这个意义上说,本质上和债券是一回事,因为区别就在于买股票,买股票就像是你现在押注这个拳手赢下比赛。卖出看跌期权或者买债券,则是说他只是不会被打倒。他能自己站住一会儿。

So is the same thing as essentially the bonds in that sense because it's the difference between buying a stock, buying the stock is like you're you're now betting on the fighter to win the fight. selling the puts or buying the bond is saying he just won't get knocked out.

He he he'll be able to stand on his feet for a little bit.

对。看跌期权,看跌期权的原因是,债券你得持有很长时间。看跌期权就像,看跌期权会到期。我最喜欢看跌期权。但我确实认为这只股票,甚至不是为了交易这只具体的股票,应该在你的关注范围内,因为我认为

Yeah. Well, the puts the reason the puts are a little the bonds you have to hold for a long time. The puts are like the puts expire. I like the puts the best. But I do think this stock, not even to trade this specific stock, um should be on your radar because I think

现在确实是了。现在肯定是了。我认为没有它上涨,我们就无法反弹。现在市场上悬着的是太大的一个故事。我认为它是一个锚,我今天早上一直在看它。它试图反弹,结果被拉了下来,而且市场指数涨了一点,但我确实认为它是这个市场的锚。

it is it is now. It is now for sure. I don't think we can rally without this going. It's too big a story that's hanging on the market now. I think it's an anchor and I watched it this morning.

It tried to rally, it got pulled down, and you know, I mean, the market cues are up a little bit, but I I do think it's an anchor on this on this market.

这个频道对 $CRWV 的历次判断

Benzinga 在这只股票上共 4 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

跨洋听风