MPLX 是一个看多持仓:基于费用的能源输送、加工与储存业务使其现金流对大宗商品价格的依赖更低,比石油生产商更可预测。每股可分配现金流稳定并覆盖分派,管理层目标到 2027 年实现 12.5% 的分派增长;其收益率为 7.6%。
逐段跳播
我首先要看的是一家能源股,MPLX。有意思的是,我以前多次说过,我不太喜欢能源股,因为未来的现金流严重依赖大宗商品价格,但MPLX非常不同。
Well, the first place I'll look is an energy stock, MPLX. Now, here's an interesting thing. I've said many times before that I'm not a big fan of energy stocks because future cash flows are so heavily dependent on commodity prices, but MPLX is very different.
那么,MPLX有什么与众不同之处?事实上,MPLX通过输送、加工和储存能源来赚取费用,所以它的现金流对大宗商品价格的依赖远低于石油生产商。这让收入来源的可预测性高得多。
So, what sets MPLX apart? In fact, MPLX earns fees for transferring, processing, and storing energy, so its cash flow is much less dependent on commodity prices than oil producers.
This makes the source of income much more predictable.
所以,当我们谈论像MPLX这样的MLP时,我们需要关注的主要指标是每股可分配现金流,因为他们的股息或分派就是从那里支付的。同样,你可以看到它非常稳定,如果他们依赖产品价格,这是不可能的。
你还可以看到,它非常轻松且充分地覆盖了这些分派,而且未来的增长预计相当不错。
So, when we talk about MLPs like MPLX, the main metric we need to look at is distributable cash flow per share, because that's where their dividends or distributions are paid out.
Again, you can see it's very stable, which wouldn't be possible if they were dependent on the price of the product. You can also see that it is covering those distributions very easily and well, and the growth is expected to be quite good in the future.
真正令人惊讶的是,我们看到管理层实际上把到2027年的分派增长目标定在12.5%。他们在2026年将分派提高了约12.5%。他们计划在2027年也这样做。对于一只已经收益率约7.58%的股票来说,这是惊人的分派增长。
And what's really surprising is that we see management actually targeting a distribution growth of 12.5% through 2027. So, they increased distribution by about 12.5% in 2026. They plan to do so in 2027 as well.
So, that's an incredible amount of distribution growth for a stock that's already yielding about 7.58%
一如既往,完全透明地说,这是我今年早些时候加仓到自己投资组合的一只股票。当时它的收益率约为8.5%,而2026年至今股价增长非常好,再加上出色的初始股息率和非凡的股息增长。这是一个极其罕见的机会,而且尽管收益率仍有7.6%,他们仍在以健康的速度增长分派。
and as always, with complete transparency, this is a stock that I added to my portfolio earlier this year. At the time, it was yielding about 8.5% and it has seen very nice share price growth so far in 2026, coupled with an excellent initial dividend yield and extraordinary dividend growth.
This was an incredibly rare opportunity and they are still growing distributions at a healthy rate, even though the yield is still 7.6%.
观察点
这个频道对 $MPLX 的历次判断
Dividendology 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。