$MRVL

看好 MRVL 未来五年:数据中心收入约占总收入 79%,同比增长 46%。FY2028 收入接近 200 亿美元、FY2029 定制芯片收入接近 120 亿美元,取决于产品、需求、制造和部署。我预计两年内达到 400 美元;今年利润增长 48%、未来两年超过 70%,颇具吸引力。

看涨他说的是几年内
《5 BEST AI Stocks for the Next 5 Years》
Mark Roussin, CPA发布 2026-10-13 · 11 段内容
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11 段内容
11:0323:32

现在,Broadcom只是定制AI芯片领域的领先公司之一,但还有另一家公司正试图在同一机会中抢占大得多的份额。我刚刚做了一些非常有趣的长期预测,第三只股票是Marvell Technology,交易代码MRVL。

这是未来五年最值得关注的AI公司之一,因为Marvel正在经历重大转型。历史上,投资者一直将Marvell与用于网络、存储和通信等领域的各类半导体产品联系在一起。但如今,该公司的增长越来越由人工智能数据中心驱动。这里有两个巨大的机会。定制AI芯片和高速连接。

Now, Broadcom is just one of the leading companies in the field of custom AI chips, but there is another company trying to capture a much larger share of the same opportunity. I have just made some very interesting long-term projections, and stock number three is Marvell Technology, trading symbol MRVL.

This is one of the most interesting AI companies to watch over the next five years, as Marvel is going through a major transition. Historically, investors have associated Marvell with a diverse range of semiconductor products used in areas such as networking, storage, and communications.

But today, the company's growth is increasingly driven by artificial intelligence data centers. There are two tremendous opportunities here. Custom AI silicon and high-speed connectivity.

这可能看起来与“Broadcom”相似,因为两者存在一些重叠。但关于“Marvel”,我觉得特别有意思的是:根据其2027财年第二季度最新的财报,Marvell报告总收入为27亿美元。

这是37%的同比增长。其数据中心收入达到22亿美元。这是46%的同比增长。数据中心收入占公司当季总收入的近79%。现在,看看这个。Marvel大约80%的收入来自数据中心。数据中心板块的增长快于整体业务。

这告诉我,Marvel正越来越依赖并越来越暴露于AI基础设施所带来的机会。我认为这可能为公司带来可观的收益。

This may seem similar to "Broadcom", because there is some overlap. But here's what I find particularly interesting with regard to " Marvel". Based on its most recent earnings in the second fiscal quarter of 2027, Marvell reported total revenue of $2.7 billion.

That was a 37% year-on- year growth. Its data center revenues reached $2.2 billion. That was a 46% year-on- year growth. Data center revenues accounted for nearly 79% of the company's total quarterly revenue.

Now , look at that. Approximately 80% of Marvel's revenue comes from data centers. The data center sector is growing faster than the business as a whole. This tells me that Marvel is becoming increasingly reliant on and more exposed to the opportunity presented by AI infrastructure.

I believe that could create significant gains for the company.

但关于“Marvel”,我觉得特别有意思的是:根据其2027财年第二季度最新的财报,Marvell报告总收入为27亿美元。这是37%的同比增长。其数据中心收入达到22亿美元。这是46%的同比增长。数据中心收入占公司当季总收入的近79%。

But here's what I find particularly interesting with regard to " Marvel". Based on its most recent earnings in the second fiscal quarter of 2027, Marvell reported total revenue of $2.7 billion.

That was a 37% year-on-year growth. Its data center revenues reached $2.2 billion. That was a 46% year-on-year growth. Data center revenues accounted for nearly 79% of the company's total quarterly revenue.

就在上周,Marvell在最近的投资者日上将其2028财年的收入预测上调至近200亿美元。该公司还预计,定制芯片收入将在2029财年达到近120亿美元。管理层还提出了一个延伸至2031财年的更雄心勃勃的长期收入机会。

这些预测令人印象深刻、令人鼓舞,但它们取决于产品开发、客户需求、制造产能和实际部署能否成功。不过,我认为这个机会的规模值得考虑。

Just last week , Marvell raised its revenue forecast for fiscal year 2028 to nearly $20 billion during its recent investor day. The company also projected that custom chip revenue would reach nearly $12 billion in fiscal year 2029.

Management has identified a more ambitious long-term revenue opportunity extending into fiscal year 2031. These projections are impressive and encouraging, but they depend on the success of product development, customer demand, manufacturing capacity, and actual deployments.

However, I believe the size of the opportunity is worth considering.

回到InvestingPro,我们可以看到Marvell的股价在过去12个月里表现惊人,上涨超过200%,公司目前的市值为2410亿美元,这实际上使其成为今天名单上第二小的公司。

前两家公司的引人注目之处在于,它们的市值正接近或超过一万亿美元。在我看来,仍有很大的上行空间,但机会属于像Marvel这样具有巨大上涨潜力的公司。

Well, going back to InvestingPro, we can see that Marvell's stock has performed amazingly over the past 12 months, rising by more than 200%, and the company currently has a market capitalization of $241 billion, which actually makes it the second smallest company on today's list.

What's remarkable about the first two companies is that their market capitalization is approaching or exceeding one trillion dollars. There is still a lot of upside to go in my opinion, but the opportunity is for a company like Marvel with huge upside potential.

回到InvestingPro,我们可以看到投资模型目前对该股的估值为280美元,与当前股价大致相当。但分析师的12个月目标价更接近每股340美元,这给我们带来了相当可观的涨幅。

Returning to InvestingPro, we can see that the investment models currently value the stock at $280, which is roughly equivalent to the stock's current trading price. But the analysts' 12-month target price is closer to $340 per share, giving us a decent-sized gain.

像“AMD”这样的标的,我们当然希望保持耐心,而不是贸然入场,因为仅在过去一个月里它就出现了那样的走势。事实上,我相信这只股票将在未来两年内达到400美元,让我解释一下原因。正如你在屏幕上看到的,预计今年利润将增长48%。

明年增长更快,将超过70%,而且不只是某一年,我们预计未来两年每年都将增长70%。这确实令人印象深刻。因此,用明年的预测来看,市盈率为37.8倍。但对于一只未来两年每年增长70%的股票来说,我对这个市盈率相对盈利增长比率(PEG)感到满意。

This is certainly a name like " AMD" where we want to be patient rather than jump right in because of the movement they've seen in the last month alone. In fact, I believe this stock will reach $400 over the next two years, and let me explain why .

As you can see on your screen, profits are expected to grow by 48% this year. It is growing faster next year to exceed 70%, and not just in one year, but we expect 70% growth in each of the next two years.

That's truly impressive. Therefore, using next year's forecast, we are looking at a price-to-earnings ratio of 37.8 times. But for a stock that's growing 70% in each of the next two years, I'm impressed with that price-to-growth (PEG) ratio.

让我列举几个理由,说明为什么未来五年我更看好Marvell,因为大型云公司越来越希望芯片专门为其工作负载而设计,这与我们谈到的Broadcom非常相似,两者都帮助企业开发定制芯片。

但Marvell还涉足支持这些系统所需的网络和通信技术。换句话说,该公司既能从数据处理中受益,也能从数据传输中受益。这一点很重要,因为随着AI集群规模扩大,这些处理器之间的通信变得更具挑战性。

Let me go through a few reasons why I prefer Marvell for the next five years , because large cloud companies increasingly want chips that are specifically designed for their workloads, which is very similar to what we talked about with Broadcom, as both help companies develop custom chips.

But Marvell is also involved in the networking and communication technologies required to support those systems. In other words, the company can benefit from both data processing and transmission.

This is important because as AI clusters grow in size, communication between those processors becomes more challenging.

Marvell还通过收购Celestial AI等方式,扩展了其在光通信方面的能力。随着数据中心寻求更高效的方式连接大量加速器,这可能变得尤为重要。

Marvell has also expanded its capabilities in optical communication, including through its acquisition of Celestial AI. This could become particularly important as data centers seek more efficient ways to connect massive numbers of accelerators.

Marvel和Creedo都涉足通信技术。归根结底,这五家公司都在不同程度上依赖于对人工智能基础设施的持续需求。因此,同时持有这五只股票并不自动意味着你的投资已经分散。但在我回答之前,是的,这五只股票我都持有。我期待在这五个标的上建立更大的仓位。

Both Marvel and Creedo have exposure to communication technologies. Ultimately, and to varying degrees, all five companies depend on the continued demand for artificial intelligence infrastructure .

Therefore, owning all five stocks does not automatically mean that you have diversified investments. But before I answer, yes , I own all five shares. I will look forward to building larger centers in these five names.

Marvel 为定制芯片和通信技术的增长提供了显著的敞口。

Marvel provides significant exposure to the growth of custom silicon and communication technologies.

观察点

Marvell 的实际营收对比其上调后的 2028 财年近 200 亿美元预测,以及定制芯片营收对比 2029 财年近 120 亿美元
达到或超过 2028 财年近 200 亿美元营收和 2029 财年近 120 亿美元定制芯片目标
2028-2029 财年Marvell 财报
支撑看涨至 400 美元的两年期观点

这个频道对 $MRVL 的历次判断

Mark Roussin, CPA 在这只股票上共 3 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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