$NVDA

NVDA 看涨论点:在历史高点附近盘整,暗示有望向上突破 240 阻力位、目标 245;期权价格低廉(IV 排名 0%)与技术形态提供支撑。

看涨他说的是几周内
《What Is A Call Option? A Live Nvidia Trade, Explained》
Verified Investing发布 2026-10-05 · 25 段内容
03:18/ —打开原视频

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25 段内容
3:1819:55

好,我现在来看 Nvidia,代码是 NVDA。就今天的价格走势而言,它刚刚触及历史高点,但没能突破。不过,我们已经非常接近了。而且看起来,随着这些更高的低点出现,我们看起来会继续盘整,为下一次上涨蓄势。

All right, so I'm looking at Nvidia. Ticker is NVDA. And with that price action up here just today kissed the all-time high, but wasn't able to push past it. With that though, we're getting really close.

And we're looking like we're with these higher lows here, it looks like we're going to we're continuing to consolidate for another move higher.

所以现在,我画一些技术分析,试图找出如果 Nvidia 继续上攻并创出新高,它会在价格发现过程中于何处遇到阻力。

So now with this, I'm drawing some tech some technical analysis to try and find out where Nvidia is going to find resistance in its price discovery should it continue to push up and make new all-time highs.

这来自 2020 年 6 月 20 日这个 2024 枢轴高点,它横穿过去,在 11 月中旬触及中间这两个枢轴的顶部,然后我们继续,在 5 月和 7 月也触及了这些顶部,我们略微刺穿了一点,但它刺穿后,第二天就收复了,并未确认,这强化了我这条阻力趋势线。

and this is from this June 20th 2020 24 pivot high right here and it's going across it hits the top of these two pivots here in the middle of November and then with that we're continuing we hit that tops here as well come May and July we pierced it a little bit past that but it pierces okay we reclaim the next day and did not confirm this strengthens my trend line for resistance

随着它继续延伸,这条趋势线,也就是这里白色的部分,正在到来,这将在 245 测试 Nvidia。应该会继续向上推进。

As this is continuing further, this trend line, this white part right here is coming in and this would test Nvidia at 245. Should have continued to push to the upside.

现在,我很喜欢使用斐波那契回撤位。这给我们提供了自然重复出现的支撑和阻力位。我们从这里的 8662 低点开始。我们看到价格升到这条红线,我们停住,然后继续走高。现在我看这里这条黄线,我们向上推进到这条线,现在我们就停在这条黄线上,然后继续向上推进。

我不打算,我只是想让你们在图表上继续走高时看看这个。看这里,从深蓝到浅蓝,我们在两者之间来回摆动。所以这些水平已经在充当支撑和阻力位了。

Now, with that, I love using Fibonacci retracement levels. Okay. This gives us natural reoccurring. This gives us natural support and resistance levels. And so we're just starting from this 8662 low here.

We're seeing price kind of come up to this red. We halt and then we get up higher. We now I'm looking at this yellow uh line right here. We're pushing up into this and now we're just sitting on this yellow line and then we continue to push up.

I'm not going to I just want you to kind of look at that as we continue to go up on these charts. So look here on the blue from the dark blue to the light blue. We're kind of going back and forth between the two.

So these levels are already acting as support and resistance levels as well.

所以,我做一个斐波那契扩展。这将是上方的斐波那契 113,位于 254.97。所以,我有这个从 2026 年 7 月 29 日低点开始的平行通道。正如我们在这里看到的,我想确保这些趋势线在每一侧都有三次触及。

这一条有两次。然后在这里,我们跌破了它,但很快又收复了。三、四、五、六。对这条来说,这是一个强劲的底部平行通道。如果我们看这里的顶部,也是。我知道这有点难看清,各位,但在 220、223,这条趋势线也有几次触及。

现在,你甚至可以用这个平行通道,中线,这条虚线也可能充当支撑和阻力。所以,我们有三条趋势线。

So with this I'm doing a Fibonacci extension. This would be the Fibonacci 113 to the upside. This is coming in at 254.97. So with that, I have this parallel channel from this July 29th, 2026 low.

And as we see here, I want to make sure these trend lines have three hits on each side. This one has two. Then right here, we broke below it, but then we reclaimed it quickly. Three, four, five, six.

This is a strong bottom parallel channel for this one. And if we look at the top right here, too. So, I know it's kind of hard to see, guys, but at 220 223, uh, this trend line also has several hits, too.

Now, you also could even use this parallel channel, the midline, this dash line could also be acting as support and resistance. So, we have three trend lines with this.

这个平行通道的中部,X 标记的位置,也位于 245。所以现在 245 算是我主要的墙,我不确定 Nvidia 是否会越过它。

The middle of this parallel channel, X marks the spots, that's coming in at 245 as well. So right now 245 is kind of my main kind of wall where I'm not sure if Nvidia is going to go past it.

当然。我们上方还有另一个目标位在 250497。那是额外的阻力。

Sure. We have another target up here at 250497. That's extra resistance.

我为什么不直接买 100 股 Nvidia 呢?好,Tabby,23 236 乘以 100 大约是多少?如果你直接买 100 股 Nvidia,就是这么多钱。

why don't I just buy 100 shares of Nvidia? Okay. Well, Tabby, how much is 23 236 time 100 roughly? That's how much if you bought 100 shares of Nvidia outright.

所以现在,Nvidia,标的资产在盘中交易时报 23683。假设行权价现在是 235。如果 Nvidia 在 236,既然我们越过了它,我们就处于价内。

So, right now, Nvidia, the underlying is at 23683 trading right now intraday market. Say the strike price was at 235 right now. If Nvidia is at 236 since we're crossing that we are in the money.

现在,我把 Nvidia 的期权链调出来了。

So, now I have the Nvidia chain popped up.

现在我看的是 Nvidia 10 月 16 日、2016 的期权链。这是 11 天后到期。

Um so right now I'm looking at the October 16th, 2016 uh chain for Nvidia. This is 11 days out.

然后我们看这里的这些行权价。这些就是我说的那些目标位,现在,Nvidia 在 236.84。那么基于这个 235 行权价,各位,这是价内还是价外?对 236 来说会是价内。正确。

是的。做得好。因为标的资产高于行权价。所以我们处于价内。

Then we're looking at these strikes here. These are kind of those targets that I was saying where right now, so right now, Nvidia is at 236.84. So based on this 235 strike, guys, is this in the money or out of the money?

For that 236 would be in the money. Correct. Yes. Nice job. Because the underlying is above the strike price. So we are in the money.

那 240 行权价呢?我们是价内还是价外?我们看看。240。哦,我们完全是价内。对。因为如果我们之前在 235,然后到 240。所以,我们还没进入期权合约。所以,慢一点。没关系,各位。

没关系,各位。所以,我们会是价外。正确。是的。那是因为 Nvidia 还没超过 240。

What about the 240 strike? Are we in the money or out of the money? Let's see. The 240. Oh, we are totally in the money. Um, right. Because if we were at 235, then going to 240.

So, we're not in an option contract yet. So, slow down. It's okay, guys. It's all right, guys. So, we'd be out of the money. Correct. Yes. So, that's because Nvidia is not past 240 yet.

如果我们确实找到一个形态,而 Nvidia 突破 240,那么是的,我们就赚钱了。那时我们就赚钱了。我真的很想为这波 Nvidia 行情找一个看涨期权合约。是的,它现在有点在这个历史高点附近盘整。

上方有阻力位。我觉得我们可以找到一个期权合约,从而利用这种突破。

If we do find a setup and Nvidia gets past 240, then yes, then we're in the money. Then we're in the money. I really want to find a call contract for this Nvidia playout. Yes, it's kind of consolidating near this all-time high.

We have resistance levels to the upside. I think we find an options contract and we could take advantage of this kind of breakout.

所以,第一,这只是今天的零日期权。这里有一堵非常非常大的墙。今天在 237.5 这个行权价上有 227,000 份新合约。另外在 240 还有 160,000 人。这是一堵大墙。

不过,仅仅因为这里有一堵大的看涨墙,或者说一堵大的看涨期权墙,这并不意味着看涨。这可能是卖方。每一次冲进这个价位都被卖压接住了。

So, one, this is just z this is the zero day option for today. There's a huge huge wall right here. There's 227,000 new contracts in today at this 237.5 strike. And there's another 160,000 people at the 240.

This is a big wall. Now, just this because there's a big bullish wall this or a big wall on of calls. This doesn't mean bullish. This could be sellers. Every push into this level is getting sold into.

所以我希望你,你可以把这堵墙看作阻力。一旦这个阻力被反复冲击,并且有足够的成交量穿过它,那就是它可能突破的时候。然后我们就会看向上方的阻力位。

So I want you to though, you can think of this wall kind of as resistance. Once this resistance is hammered on and enough volume gets through it, that is when it could break. And now we'll look to our resistance levels to the upside.

正如我所说,我看的不是周线,但我想让你们真正记住我们现在在 Nvidia 上看到的这堵巨大的墙。所以,我在看这个 11 天后到期的合约。我现在看的是 240 到 245 之间的一个行权价,因为根据我的图表分析,我们在 245 有一个多因素形态。

我为什么要冒险去买一张 260、254 的便宜彩票呢?那不是我的论点。不。所以,我没有错失恐惧。我不追涨。我坚持自己的打法。

as I said, I'm not looking at a weekly though, but I wanted you guys to really get down that huge wall that we're looking at right now in Nvidia. So, I'm looking at this 11 days out contract.

I'm looking at a strike between 240 and 245 right now cuz based on my charting, you know, we had a multiffactor setup at the 245. Why am I just going to go on a limb get a cheap lottery ticket for one at 260 254?

That's not my thesis. No. So, I don't have fear missing out. I don't chase. I stick to the game.

所以,话虽如此,我不喜欢 11 天后到期。我真的希望我的交易有更多时间喘息。所以,我现在看的是这个 11 月 20 日、26 的期权链。

So, with that, I don't like 11 days out though. I really want my trade to have a little more time to breathe. So, I'm looking at this November 20th 26 chain right here.

这里的买价,或者说,这里的买价和卖价在 8.25 到 8.35,我大概会为这份合约支付 8.30。哦,那要乘以 100。所以大约是 830 美元。这仍然比直接买它便宜。23,000 美元。是的,便宜得多。

The bid right here at or excuse me, with the bid and ask right here at 8.25 to 835, I'd roughly play pay830 for this contract. Oh, and that's times 100. So about 830 bucks. That's still cheaper than buying it outright. $23,000. Yeah, much cheaper.

这份合约的 delta 是 0.426。我非常喜欢这种对价格变化的敞口敏感度,而且成交量也在确认。而且这份合约有充足的流动性。那么,这会是 245 的行权价。

Um, this has a delta of 0.426. I really like this exposure sensitivity should price change and volume is confirming. Um, and there's it has plenty of liquidity for this contract. Now, this would be a 245 strike.

因此,IV rank 位于 0%。但话虽如此,我想说的基本上是,Nvidia 的看涨期权是今年有史以来最便宜的。

And with that, IV rank is sitting at 0%. but with that, pretty much what I'm saying is Nvidia calls are the cheapest they've ever been this year.

所以,Tabby,你和我想的一样吗?是的,我说我们就做吧。我说我们就做吧。我们上吧,各位。我们做 Nvidia 245 行权价的看涨期权,就这样。

So, Tabby, you thinking what I'm thinking? Yeah, I say we take it. I say we take it. Let's get it, guys. We have the 245 strike on Nvidia a call and that's it.

好,所以我们对这笔 Nvidia 交易投赞成票,11 月 20 日是我们的时间框架,大约 245 是我们瞄准的价格,我们每份合约只需支付 860 美元,而不是那 23,000 美元。

所以图表显示它正在逼近历史新高。这就是我们这么做的原因。再说一次,我们的目标是 245、255,但我们最终落在 245。我们还了解了看跌看涨比率,以及看涨期权是一种看涨操作。而且 Ivy 今年一直是最便宜的,这太疯狂了。

All right, so we are going with a yes for this trade on Nvidia for November 20th is our time frame for about $245 is is the price that we're try aiming for and we only have to pay 860 bucks per that contract instead of that 23,000.

Um so the chart was showing pressing record highs. That's why we are going for this. And again, our targets were 245, 255, but we landed on that 245. And we learned about that put call ratio and how a call is a bullish move.

And Ivy has been cheapest all year for this, which is insane.

这就是我们的确认。是的。然后我们看看。这个赌注是,当大坝决堤时,价格将发现到 245。而大坝就是那堵由巨额合约构成的 240 墙。但正如我们所见,一旦它们最终被突破,一旦这些墙被反复冲击几次,它们最终确实会向上突破。

That's our confirmation. Yes. And then let's see. The bet is when the dam breaks the price discovery to 245. And the dam is that 240 wall of a huge contract. But as we see, once they eventually get broke, once these walls are kind of hit on several times, they do end up breaking to the upside.

观察点

价格突破240行权价墙
突破240并触及245
在11月20日到期前市场价格走势
若突破则支持看涨逻辑;若未能突破240墙则削弱该逻辑

这个频道对 $NVDA 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 14 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-05看涨本条
好,我现在来看 Nvidia,代码是 NVDA。
方向翻转
2026-10-02看跌
纳斯达克100指数再次受到Nvidia等股票的拖累,而Nvidia今天表现非常强劲,该指数已经触及了双顶。
原话 05:53 ›
方向翻转
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