$RSP · Steve Miller · 2026-11-06
RSP在创出新高后看起来像双顶，出现吞没形态，且日线跌破时间周期的低点；动能应会下降，未来一两周的反弹很可能失败——非常负面。该指标仅出现两天、信号偏慢，目前仍为正面，但难以上升。
逐段跳播
我们来看看RSP指标。这里的RSP是等权重指数。这个指标此前极其强劲。我们上周说过，我们认为——看看这里惊人的节奏——鉴于形势正在向上成形、动能强劲，我们很可能会看到市场走向新的历史高点。
大选之后它确实做到了。它涨到了那里，然后在那一点上经历了这次失败。
Let's take a look at the RSP indicator. RSP here is the isoweighted index. This was extremely powerful. We said last week that we believed—look at the amazing rhythms here—that given the situation was taking shape upwards and the momentum was strong, we were likely to see the market heading towards a new record high.
He actually did that after the election. He got there and then experienced this failure at that point.
如果本周就这样收尾，这就是一个“吞没”形态。在我看来，这真的很像双顶形态。我们可以预期动能将开始减弱。而当我查看日线图时，你可以看到这次精准的跌破。我的意思是，它到达了这个新的历史高位，而这个巨大的吞没形态吞没了五个交易日，然后跌破了时间周期的低点。
This is an "engulfing" pattern if the week ends like this. This really looks to me like a double top pattern. We can expect the momentum to start to decline. And when I look at the daily chart, you can see this precise breakdown.
I mean, where you have this new record level that it has reached, and this massive engulfing pattern that engulfs five trading days and then breaks the low of the time cycle.
当你跌破时间周期的最低点，再看看这里剩下的全部时间，它在警告你：如果股市试图在未来一两周上涨，很可能会失败。
When you break the lowest point of the time cycle and look at all the time remaining here, it warns you that if the stock market tries to rise in the next week or two, it is likely to fail.
无论如何，你可以看到，这个指标此前一直在引导你让期权仓位偏向买入。这一点目前还没有改变。记住，这才过了两天。这个指标发出信号比较慢。这个指标仍然偏正面，尽管它很难上升，而且我刚刚开始看到一根健康K线出现转向，但没有出现交叉。
In any case, you can see that this was guiding you here to keep your options positions tilted towards buying. That hasn't changed yet. Remember, this is only two days old. This indicator is slow to give signals.
This indicator remains positive, although it is difficult for it to rise, and I have just begun to see a turn in a healthy bar without a crossover.
所以，RSP指标给了我们见顶的迹象。这里出现了一次崩塌，对我来说这非常负面，我会在交易中非常依赖这一点，因为我认为反弹会失败。
So, the RSP indicator gives us indications of the top. There has been a collapse here, and for me that is very negative, and I will rely on that a lot in my trading because I think the rallies will fail.
这个频道对 $RSP 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。