Steve Miller 对 $RSP 的判断变化

Steve Miller 自 2026-11-06 起在 2 个视频里谈过 $RSP，最近一次（2026-11-07）为看跌。

2026-11-07看跌

《US Stock Market - S&P 500 SPX & NDX | Price Projections & Cycle Timing》

AI 摘要 · RSP在大选后创下历史新高，随后失败；这看起来像双顶，因此动能应开始反转。随着周期低点被跌破，未来一两周的反弹很可能失败，而这次破位非常负面——与跌入12月、并可能延续至4月的走势一致。

好，来看股市。我们会看一下标普500、纳斯达克、RSP 和 VIX 这几个指数。

Okay, the stock market. We will take a look at the S&P 500, Nasdaq, RSP, and VIX indices.

RSP 是这里绿色的那条线，也就是等权重指数。可以看到，这里 RSP 的周期线本周正指向新高，因为实际情况就是这样，而与此同时标普500却在往下走。

RSP is the green color here, and it is the equal weight. You can see that the RSP cycle line here is pointing to a new high this week, because that's what happened, while the S&P 500 was moving downwards.

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2026-11-06看跌

《askSlim Market Week 11/6/26 - Analysis of Financial Markets》

AI 摘要 · RSP在创出新高后看起来像双顶，出现吞没形态，且日线跌破时间周期的低点；动能应会下降，未来一两周的反弹很可能失败——非常负面。该指标仅出现两天、信号偏慢，目前仍为正面，但难以上升。

我们来看看RSP指标。这里的RSP是等权重指数。这个指标此前极其强劲。我们上周说过，我们认为——看看这里惊人的节奏——鉴于形势正在向上成形、动能强劲，我们很可能会看到市场走向新的历史高点。

大选之后它确实做到了。它涨到了那里，然后在那一点上经历了这次失败。

Let's take a look at the RSP indicator. RSP here is the isoweighted index. This was extremely powerful. We said last week that we believed—look at the amazing rhythms here—that given the situation was taking shape upwards and the momentum was strong, we were likely to see the market heading towards a new record high.

He actually did that after the election. He got there and then experienced this failure at that point.

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