$RSP · Steve Miller · 2026-11-07
RSP在大选后创下历史新高，随后失败；这看起来像双顶，因此动能应开始反转。随着周期低点被跌破，未来一两周的反弹很可能失败，而这次破位非常负面——与跌入12月、并可能延续至4月的走势一致。
逐段跳播
好，来看股市。我们会看一下标普500、纳斯达克、RSP 和 VIX 这几个指数。
Okay, the stock market. We will take a look at the S&P 500, Nasdaq, RSP, and VIX indices.
RSP 是这里绿色的那条线，也就是等权重指数。可以看到，这里 RSP 的周期线本周正指向新高，因为实际情况就是这样，而与此同时标普500却在往下走。
RSP is the green color here, and it is the equal weight. You can see that the RSP cycle line here is pointing to a new high this week, because that's what happened, while the S&P 500 was moving downwards.
这是等权重指数，我稍后会展示给你看。它告诉我的信息是，这很可能，而且你可以看到等权重指数或实际的周期正向上走到一个新的历史新高，然后再回落下来。
This is the Equal Weight Index, and I will show it to you in a minute. What that tells me is that it is very likely, and you can see the equal weight or the actual cycle moving upwards to a new record high and then falling back down.
这与那里 RSP 指标一致，就是周期的那条绿色弧线。因此，这暗示会下跌到12月，并且可能再次下跌到4月。那就是我们远远观望着的熊市，因为它正是与 RSP 指标相吻合的那个更大的主导形态。
This is consistent with the RSP indicator there, that green arc of the cycle. Therefore, this suggests a decline until December, and possibly again until April. There is that bear market that we are watching from afar, because it is that larger dominant pattern that aligns with the RSP indicator.
我们来看一下 RSP 指标。这里的 RSP 是等权重指数。它当时极其强劲。我们上周说过，我们认为，我是说看看这里这些漂亮的节奏，鉴于形势正向上成形、动能强劲，市场很可能会创出新的历史新高。
它在选举之后确实做到了。它达到了那个水平，然后就在那里出现了这次失败。
Let's take a look at the RSP indicator. RSP here is the isoweighted index. He was extremely strong. We said last week that we thought, I mean look at the great rhythms that are here, that it was likely, given that the situation was taking shape upwards and the momentum was strong, that we would see the market reach a new record high.
He actually did that after the election. He reached that level and then this failure happened there.
如果本周就这样收尾，这是一个不祥的形态。在我看来，这真的很像双顶。我们可以预期动能开始反转。当你跌破周期的低点，再看看这里剩下的全部时间，它就在警告你：如果股市试图在未来一两周上涨，很可能会失败。这是个很难看的局面。
This is a pattern of misfortune if it ends like this this week. This really looks like a double peak to me. We can expect the momentum to begin to reverse. When you break the low of the cycle and look at all the time left here, it warns you that if the stock market tries to rise in the next week or two, it is likely to fail. This is a bad thing to look at.
对这一切最敏感的是反转探测器，它目前仍为正面。因此，RSP 指标给了我们见顶信号。它在这里出现了破位，对我来说这非常负面，我会在交易中非常重视这一点，因为我会认为，当反弹到来时，它们都会失败。
The most sensitive to all of this is the reflection detector, which remains positive. Therefore, the RSP indicator gives us peak indicators. He has a breakdown here, and for me this is very negative, and I will make it very important in my trading because I will think that when the rallies come, they will fail.
这个频道对 $RSP 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 2 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。