$SMCI · Steve Miller · 2026-10-31
SMCI 困于有限的交易区间内，且倾向下跌，因为动量为负、周期形态也偏负面；说话者寻找机会时略偏向做空，11月3日的财报应会带来较高的隐含波动率。它可能需要到年底才具备投资价值，他认为届时它可能变得可投资。
逐段跳播
这是 SMCI 这只股票。这只股票已经公布了财报，其表现极其波动。我想让你看看这里的这些周线周期形态，它们当然指的是12月。虽然它跌破支撑位，但它试图在这里守住，而这是日线图。
所以，在这里他们提高了预期，股票上涨了，但财报要到11月3日才会发布。你可以看到这里的周期形态和那里的大幅上涨。当你看到这个时，动能转为负，而在我看来，你可以在这里进行区间交易。
所以，对于这类股票，当我看到这种走势时，我要找的是一个价格区间，因为这可能是那种你可以使用“跨式”或“宽跨式”策略的股票，如果你是期权交易者的话。那就是那里的区间，你可以看到它当时处于区间的中间。
Here's the stock, SMCI. This stock has announced its earnings, and its performance has been extremely volatile. I want you to look here at these weekly cycle patterns, which of course refer to the month of December.
While it falls below the support level, it tries to hold here, and this is the daily chart. So, here they raised expectations and the stock rose, but the earnings report will not be released until November 3rd.
You can see the periodic pattern here and that large rise there. When you look at this, the momentum turns negative, and it seems to me that you can trade within a range here. So, with this type of stock, when I see this type of movement, what I'm looking for is a price range, because this could be one of those stocks where you can use "staddle" or "strangle" strategies if you're an options trader.
That's the range there, and you can see that it's in the middle of the range at that point.
我会寻找一个略微偏向做空的机会，因为动能是负的，而且周期形态看起来也是负的。但你有这次大幅反弹，而且我们即将迎来财报，所以你很可能获得较高的隐含波动率。在我看来，这只股票可能需要时间，直到年底才会变得适合投资者，我相信到那时它可能变得值得投资。
这是 SMCI（Super Micro）股票，目前在我看来，它处于一个有限的交易区间，并有下跌倾向；这是目前对它最准确的描述。所以，这就是“SMCI”股票。
I will look for an opportunity with a slight bias towards short selling because the momentum is negative, and the cycle patterns look negative. But you have this big bounce, and we have the earnings coming up, so you're likely to get high implied volatility.
To me, it seems that this stock may need time until the end of the year to become suitable for investors, and I believe it may become investable by then . This is SMCI ( Super Micro) stock, and it currently appears to me to be in a limited trading range with a tendency towards a decline; this is the most accurate description of it at the moment. So, this is the " SMCI" stock.
这个频道对 $SMCI 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 3 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。