标普500技术面建设性良好,中期略偏多,但因日线周期成熟,面临短期回调的可能。
逐段跳播
这是周线级别上的罗素指数指标。它遭受的技术面损伤远大于标普或纳斯达克指数。
This is the Russell indicator on the weekly timeframe. It has suffered far greater technical damage than the S&P or Nasdaq indices.
所以我们来看标普500指数,看看它在周线级别上有何不同。与罗素不同,标普更大的结构仍在构建之中。价格继续维持在近期高点附近,并保持在其重要的周线均线上方。所以,尽管我们看到市场表面之下出现下跌,周线标普指数并没有以同样的方式崩塌。这是这种分化的重要部分。
So we will turn to the S&P 500 index to see how it differs on the weekly timeframe. Unlike Russell, the larger S&P structure is still under construction. The price continues to maintain its levels near recent highs and above its important weekly moving averages .
So, while we saw a decline below the surface of the market, the weekly S&P index did not collapse in the same way. This is an important part of the variation.
这里我们唯一想提请你注意的是“反转侦察”指标。它现在非常平坦。所以不需要太多就能把它推回正面,但它目前已经转为负面。
The only thing we would like to draw your attention to here is the "Reversal Scout" indicator. It's very flat now. So it wouldn't take much to push him back towards positivity, but he has turned negative at the moment.
这是标普500的日线图。它今天仍在上涨,但随着美国国债收益率再次开始上升,它已从先前的高点回落。与罗素指数不同,这里没有出现重大的技术面损伤。我们看到它跌至支撑区的底部。该支撑区守住了,我们从中获得了反弹。
我们的“反射探测器”和“细带”中的动能都保持正面。
Here is the daily chart for the S&P 500. It is still rising today, but has retreated from its previous high as Treasury yields have begun to rise again. Unlike the Russell index, there was no major technical damage here.
We have seen this drop to the bottom of the support zone. That support zone held firm and we got a bounce from there. The momentum remains positive in both our "Reflection Detector" and the "Slim Tape".
我们现在面对的是一个已经走向成熟的日线周期。随着峰值时间临近,我们正接近那个下行阶段。因此,这里的问题与“罗素”指数的问题不同。我们并不预期标普指数会修复一个已经破损的结构。我们正在观察它能否继续上涨突破这些阻力位,还是会开始回落,在下一个日线周期开始之前给我们带来某种明显的调整。
What we have now is a daily cycle that has reached maturity. We are approaching that downward phase as the peak time approaches. Therefore, the question here is different from the question of the "Russell" index.
We do not expect the S &P index to fix a broken structure. We are watching to see if it can continue to rise above these resistance levels , or if it will start to pull back, giving us some sort of noticeable correction at this time before the next daily cycle begins .
标普500在技术面上仍具建设性,但在这些指标之下,我们看到罗素和道琼斯指数的恶化要严重得多。如果美国国债价格继续下跌、收益率再次上升,我们将关注这种压力是否像迄今为止那样仍集中在市场较疲弱的部分,还是会开始蔓延到标普和纳斯达克指数。
The S &P 500 remains technically constructive, but beneath these indicators, we have seen a much more significant deterioration in the Russell and Dow indices. If Treasury bond prices continue to fall and yields rise again, we will be watching to see whether this pressure remains concentrated in the weaker parts of the market as we have seen so far, or whether it will start to spread to the S&P and Nasdaq indices.
标普指数中期略微看涨,而在短期和近期,随着今天出现的反弹,则只是看涨。
The S&P index is slightly bullish in the medium term and only bullish in the short and near term with the rebound we saw today.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
Steve Miller 在这只股票上共 7 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。