$SPY

SPY的倒头肩形态因收盘跌破775.21颈线而面临失效风险;支撑位在764附近。

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Verified Investing发布 2026-10-08 · 4 段内容
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那么,让我们继续看标普500指数,正如我们在SPY日线图上所看到的。这个倒头肩形态面临崩塌的风险。看看今天价格的收盘位置,明显低于该水平。我们今天收于773.93,而这条颈线,各位,位于775.21。

So, let's move on to the S&P 500 index as we see it here on the SPY daily chart. The inverted head and shoulders pattern is at risk of collapse. Look where the price closed today, clearly below that level .

We closed today at 773.93, and this neckline, folks, is at 775.21.

现在,我仍然保留这个模型。我们曾多次出现这样的情况:出现一根看跌的测试K线,而第二天测试K线又回到该线上方。因此,我们将继续非常密切地关注此事。如果我们看到更多抛售压力,那么回补这个缺口就是我认为在约764处存在良好支撑的位置。

Pierce,如果你把这个水平延伸到之前的价格走势中,你会发现它也是此前枢轴高点的位置。所以,对于下行趋势而言,我们现在正处于764附近回补缺口的区域。

Now, I'm still keeping this model. We have had several occasions where we had one bearish test candle, and the next day the test candle came back above that line. Therefore, we will continue to monitor this matter very closely .

If we see more selling pressure, then bridging this gap is where I see good support here at around 764. Pierce , if you extend this level through the previous price action, you will find that it is also the location of previous pivot peaks.

So, for the downward trend, here we are near the gap filling at 764.

如果向上突破,这条颈线应予以关注。本质上,任何升至775上方及附近的走势都会让投资者重新回到近期乐观的状态,因为10年期债券的收益率也已下跌。

On a breakout to the upside, this neckline should be watched . Essentially , any rise above and around 775 brings investors back into a state of near-term optimism, as the yield on 10-year bonds has also fallen.

现在,让我们转到十分钟时间框架,这样你就能看到今天出现的剧烈波动。我们今天看到一个向下跳空缺口,在大约第一个小时里,我们回升以回补缺口并维持在这条虚线颈线上方。然后,正如你在这里看到的,我们再次回落,并试图重新攀升,就在那时那条消息出来了,看看标普500的那次大幅下跌,它在下午1:20把我们推到约770美元,之后我们以773结束交易。

即使在盘后时段,也出现了一波向上推动,更接近那条颈线。这概括了标普500指数发生的一切,盘中出现了大量剧烈波动。

Now, let's move to the ten-minute timeframe, so you can see the sharp fluctuations that occurred today. We saw a downward gap today, and for about the first hour , we were coming up to fill the gap and stay above this dotted neckline .

Then, as you can see here, we fell back down again , and tried to climb back up, and that's when that news came out , and look at that big drop in the S&P 500, which pushed us at 1:20 PM to around $770 before we finished the session at 773.

Even in the post-close period, there was a push towards the upside, getting closer to that neckline. This sums up everything that happened in the S&P 500 index with a lot of violent swings during the middle of the day.

观察点

价格相对775.21颈线的走势
突破775上方将恢复乐观情绪;进一步卖压将测试764支撑位
近期日线图
突破将削弱看跌崩塌的判断;维持在该水平下方则支撑该判断

这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断

Verified Investing 在这只股票上共 22 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-08看跌本条
那么,让我们继续看标普500指数,正如我们在SPY日线图上所看到的。这个倒头肩形态面临崩塌的风险。看看今天价格的收盘位置,明显低于该水平。我们今天收于773.93,而这条颈线,各位,位于775.21。
2026-10-07
那我们来看看图表,先从标普 500 开始。如你所见,过去一周的主题,各位,一直是头肩形态。而且大量反向头肩形态正在各个图表上冒出来。其中一个就在你面前的标普 500,也就是 SPY 日线周期上。今天的价格走势回落,早盘一直舒适地在那条颈线下方交易。你可以看到我们跳空低开,形成一个难看的熊旗,然后在 11:30 抛压缓解,把价格推升到那个跳空缺口之上,此后整个尾盘都横盘震荡。对 SPY 来说好消息是,它仍然维持着这个形态,而这个形态确实带有一个量度目标,一直指向这上方、略高于 800 美元的位置,即 800.92 美元。
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