$SPY

SPY 并不便宜:标普指数仅距高点 1%,而标普成分股平均下跌 18%,动量股下跌 50% 至 70%,动量指数处于历史低位。SPY 失守 821 日跌至 766,目前接近其 50 日均线 767;市场感觉已从高点下跌 10%,但实际上仅处于 50 日均线,显示出分化。

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《Scott Redler’s #630club - LIVE Premarket Stock Market Update》
T3 Live发布 2026-10-15 · 3 段内容
02:05/ —打开原视频

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3 段内容

随着 SPY 失守 821 日线

as the spies lost the 821 day

标普指数距高点只跌了 1%,而标普成分股平均下跌了 18%。动量指数处于历史低位。动量股平均下跌了 50% 到 70%。所以,你知道,没什么真正算得上便宜。指数也不便宜。

The S&P 1% off highs when the average S&P stock is down 18%. The momentum index at a historic low. You have the average momentum name down 50 to 70%. And you know, so nothing's really a bargain. And the indices aren't a bargain.

那么,你本可以看到什么?我知道昨天 CPI 出来了。我有那种奇怪的感觉。我想,数据要热。我实际上在数据出来前一分钟做空了 SPY,甚至不是因为别的,只是因为我还有几个剩余的多头仓位。

所以,VTF 希望看到了这一点并做了一些决定。然后你还有一些时间。事情发展得很快。你知道,你跌破了 775 和 773,这很重要。它甚至跌破了 771 附近。所以你在一次下挫中失守了 821 日线,一路跌到今天最低的 766。

今天 SPY 下跌 250。我们在 767。我们正好在这个区域。这是你的 50 日线。简直疯了。SPY,感觉像是距高点跌了 10%,而我们才刚到 50 日线。这就是你知道的,分化。你想用分化这个词,市场就是分化的,你知道。

So, what could you have seen? I know yesterday the CPI came out. I had that weird feeling. I'm like, it's going to be hot. And I actually put on a a spy short like one minute before, not even because I had like a few leftover long.

So, the VTF hopefully saw that and made some decisions. And then you had some time. Things went fast. You know, you broke 775 and 773, which was important. It even broke 771ish.

So you lost 821 day in one swoosh down to 766 for today. Today the spies are down 250. We're at 767. We're right up at this area. Here's your 50. Like it's crazy. The spy, it feels like we're down 10% off highs and we're only at the 50-day.

That's how you know um bifurcated. You want to use that word bifurcated the market is you know

这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断

T3 Live 在这只股票上共 5 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

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