$SPY · T3 Live · 2026-11-09
SPY 即便在 740 也已严重破位，前一周低点 732 为参考；在持有大量现金的情况下，说话者怀疑任何反弹都无法收复周五高点或重新测试 750，并预计在 742 附近被拒绝，形成指向 200 日线的熊旗，届时将会有麻烦。
逐段跳播
spies 涨了五，Q's 涨了三。
You have the spies up five. You have the Q's up three.
spies 需要——标普需要跌 5%。所以有人会说，那为什么不买 Q's 或 IWM 或这个那个？我说，因为那不是“街头流血”账户的流程。“街头流血”账户只投入与标普挂钩的标普 BCAP 基金，那是在 Bright House，而且只能在收盘时操作。
所以周四，因为我想让参与红狗的人都了解我的想法，我把 25%——不是三分之一——投了进去。我投在这里。收盘时在 200 日线，大约比高点低 6%。我们会算一下。结果呢？732 现在是你的低点。
那是你上周的参考点。732。问题是我们会有什么样的反弹？它能收复周五的高点吗？我们会重新测试 750 吗？那是另外两个点位。总的来说，走势非常坏。谢天谢地我们持有大量现金，我们再看。
现在 spies 是 740。所以今天，有些人可能会说：“嘿，红狗，我在做空 spies，涨了五，它不配涨五。”好吧，你可以在 742 上方做空。那是周五的高点，对吧？它有没有足够的动力涨过这个 742，因为那是这里的高点？
如果涨过了，那上面还有一点空间。所以我们看看它会不会在这里被拒绝，然后下次回到 200 日线时构筑一个熊旗。那会很麻烦。
Spies need to be S&P needs to be 5% off. So, like, well, why don't you put it in the Q's or the IWM or in this or that? I'm like, because that's not the process of the blood in the street account.
Blood in the street account only goes to work into an S&P BCAP fund that correlates to the S&P and that's at Bright House and it can only be done at the end of the day. So on Thursday from the trip because I like to keep everyone involved with Red Dog what I'm thinking.
I did put 25% not a third to work. I put it in here. Okay. On the close at the 200 day it was about 6% off the highs. We'll calculate that. So what do you know? 732 is now your low.
That's your la that's your point of reference from last week. 732. Question is what kind of bounce do we have? Okay. Will will it be able to take back Friday's high? Will we retest 750?
Those are the other two points right there. Okay. All in all though, um, very broken. Thank goodness we're in tons of cash and we'll see. Right now, the spies are 740. So, um, for today, some might be like, "Hey, Red Dog, I'm shorting the spies up five.
It doesn't deserve to be a five." Okay. Well, you could short verse 742. That's the high from Friday, right? Does it have enough power to get above this 742 because that's the high here or not?
And if it does, then there's a bit of room here. So, we'll see if it wants to get rejected here and build a bare flag next time it comes into the 200 day. You know, it's going to be trouble.
这个频道对 $SPY 的历次判断
T3 Live 在这只股票上共 11 条判断，这里只列相邻的几条。