$TLT

TLT 技术面疲弱,下行动能明显;因走势缓慢,被视为较差的交易工具。

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《Pro Trader Market Update LIVE with Derrick Oldensmith》
T3 Live发布 2026-10-06 · 4 段内容
02:29/ —打开原视频

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4 段内容

TLT,也就是我用来跟踪长端国债收益率曲线的那只首选 ETF,一直在被摧毁。利率一路飙升。

the TLT, which is the my kind of go-to uh ETF for the the long end of the the the Treasury yield curve, has been getting destroyed. Rates have been going through the roof.

所以 TLT 的走势图看起来糟透了。它看起来非常糟糕。这东西已经破位了。它下行动能很强。我本以为周四的低点会是这东西一个非常真实的低点。而在一波连日线图上的 ADMA 都没能完全触及的一天半反弹之后,我们已经在重新测试周四的低点了。这已经弱到不能再弱了。

So, so the TLT chart looks abysmal. It It looks terrible. Um, I mean, this thing has has broken down. It's got downside momentum. I thought that Thursday's low was going to be a very real low for this thing.

And we're already retesting Thursday's low after getting a day and a half bounceback that didn't even fully get to the ADMA on the daily chart. I mean, that that that's as weak as we can get.

我不喜欢交易 TLT,我把这话说在前头。我不喜欢交易债券。我只是觉得 TLT 本身不是一个好的交易标的。它走得太慢了。

Um, I don't like to trade the TLT. I'll throw that out there. I don't like to trade bonds. Um, I I just I find that TLT itself just it's not a great trading vehicle. It moves really slowly.

我认为在某些时点你可以寻找超跌反弹的多头机会。我自己没有做这笔交易,但周四我提出了这个建议。我说,这大概就是时候了,在第七天,第七天大幅跳空低开,你可以寻找类似 RDR 类型的交易,反向进场,寻找反弹到日线图 ADMA 的机会。

我认为你可以寻找这类交易。除此之外,我并不太想参与其中。

I think that at certain points you can look for extension snapback longs. I didn't take the trade myself, but on Thursday I I I called for it. I said, you know, this is probably probably the time here now on day uh seven, the day seven massive gap down where you can look for like an RDR type of trade and come in the other way and look for a snap back to the ADMA on the daily chart.

I think that you can look for those for trades. Um otherwise, I I don't really want to be involved in it.

这个频道对 $TLT 的历次判断

T3 Live 在这只股票上共 6 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-06看跌本条
TLT,也就是我用来跟踪长端国债收益率曲线的那只首选 ETF,一直在被摧毁。利率一路飙升。
方向翻转
2026-10-02看涨
所以,昨天,红狗做了一笔好交易。我也需要它。一直很难。我确实在这一天买了TLT。有人说,你知道,它非常超卖。然后人们就来指责我。我说,我只是说这是我第一次真正指出它非常超卖。它一直超卖,但我说,它非常超卖。然后,昨天,前一天,我说,现在它非常非常超卖。然后昨天,终于,大概10点左右,它看起来在形成一个底部下影线。所以,我在Alpha团队买了TLT。我们都买了。有些人买了看涨期权,这是一笔不错的交易。问题是,它能不能回到接近78的8日线?如果它能,那可能会帮助大盘。那意味着收益率在下降。计算机可能会买一些东西,那对这个情景会更好。
原话 09:50 ›
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