TLT 此前在 4 小时图上转好并走高，但失守 80 关口。在 80 下方，预计将测试 77-80 附近的旧支撑（成交量水平显示如此）；在 80 上方，买方会更加积极。可能在反弹前下探至 77。
逐段跳播
现在，我们快速看一下 TLT，因为 TLT 是，这有点奇怪。我们看一下 TLT 的3日图。所以，它突然很奇怪地开始上涨。如果我们认为利率会上升，我不知道为什么人们还在买债券。这说不通。
然后它就一直维持在高位，维持在高位，最后债券在尾盘遭到抛售，这意味着利率可能会走高。呃，TLT 是追踪债券走势的一个很好的方式，我想我们说过，债券的临界点仍然是，我认为，市场上最重要的事情。
Now, let's look at the TLT real quick because that was TLT was this is like a a weird Let's look at the 3-day chart of the TLT. So, all of a sudden, it weirdly started going up.
I don't know why people were buying bonds if we think interest rates are going to rise. It didn't make sense. And then it stayed up, stayed up, and then eventually bonds sold off at the end of the day, which meant that interest rates could go higher.
Um, TLT is a great way to track what the bonds are doing, which I I think we've said that the tipping point in bonds remains, I think, the most important thing in the market.
那么，这套分析对 TLT 适用吗？你能给我们做同样的分析吗？好，那么 TLT 处于收盘形态之下，对吧？而且我们知道。
Now does that analysis work on TLT? Can you give us the same kind of analysis? Okay, so TLT is under the closing formation, right? And we know.
TLT 的情况如何？它昨天在高点开盘，收在接近低点的位置，在盘前的 GlobeEx 事件中反弹，现在正在回落。所以，这告诉我们这里是生死关头。如果这些往下转，下一条线就在这里，78到80。
What are for the TLT? It opened at the high yesterday, closed near the low, bounced in the pre-market in the GlobeEx event, and now is fading. So, this is telling us it's a do or die here.
If these rotate down, the next line is down here at 78 to 80.
不过总的来说，这一只正在转向。它在抬升。我们可以在4小时图上看到，我们有过这一波一路向上的大幅走势。它失守了80。那条80，那条80的线我已经看了很久了。问题是，当这么多人一直在逢低买入、逢低买入、逢低买入，尤其是他们在第一层支撑位买入时，当价格回到他们的盈亏平衡点时，他们就会割肉离场。
所以那次上冲，我们看到的是所有人又在回落。那么问题就是，更高的低点在哪里？对我来说，我会看成交量最大的事件在哪里。那就在下面很远的77。它会不会在反弹之前先跌回那里？是的，绝对会。
昨天，它有一根非常凌厉的下跌K线。这里这根4小时K线非常重要。所以在我看来，只要这个价格走势维持在80以下，它就会回去测试旧支撑。成交量水平给了我们这个信息。所以80是今天的底线。
在它之上，买家会变得更激进。在它之下，卖家会变得更激进。
So, in general though, this one is turning around. It is lifting. We can see on a 4hour chart, we had this great big move all the way up. It lost that 80. I've had that 80 that 80 line I've been looking at for a really long time.
The problem is when so many people have been buying the dip and buying the dip and buying the dip, especially when they did it at the first level of support, they're going to cut and run when it comes back in their break even.
And so that press up, what we've got is everybody fading again. And so the question is where is the higher low? And for me, I'm going to look at where the biggest volume event is.
And that's way down here at 77. Could it move back down there before bouncing? Yes, absolutely. Yesterday, it had a very sharp selling candle. This 4hour candle here is really important.
So in my mind, as long as this price action stays under 80, it's going back to test old support. The volume levels give us that. So 80 is that line in the sand today. Above it, buyers are going to get more aggressive.
Below it, sellers are going to get more aggressive.
我们现在把它设定为开盘在7978。顺便说一下，最后一笔交易，它昨天收盘时钉在80，这很不寻常。就像钉在整数关口附近。
And we have it set to open right now at 7978. The last trade, by the way, it pinned at 80 on the close yesterday, which is unusual. Like on the number around number.
我们讲了 TLT，讲了 Netflix，讲了，我们讨论了 Balanteer，呃，我们有 Coree，我认为这很重要，但你在开盘时会关注什么？
We we went over TLT, we went over Netflix, we went over we discussed Balanteer, um we have Coree, I think is important, but what what are you going to be watching on the open?