$WDAY

Workday 值得长期买入;其在企业中的稳固地位与增长指标表明,市场因缺乏根据的 AI 颠覆担忧而低估了它。

看涨他说的是几年内
《3 Stocks to Buy Before It's Too Late! (October 2026) 🎃》
Ale's World of Stocks发布 2026-10-02 · 18 段内容
14:36/ —打开原视频

逐段跳播

18 段内容
14:3620:35

好了,各位。现在这把我们带到本月万圣节特辑的第三支也是最后一支箭头。与其他股票不同,这只股票不派发股息,但它仍然是一项高风险投资,投资者因人工智能的崛起及其可能对他们造成的影响而对其感到恐慌。

这就是围绕它的担忧的本质。但我实际上认为,投资者或华尔街未来也会在这只股票上被证明是错的,这只股票就是云软件巨头 Workday。交易代码是 WDAY。

Okay, guys. This now brings us to the third and final arrow in this month's Halloween special. Unlike other stocks, this stock does not distribute dividends, but it is still a high-risk investment, and investors have panicked about it due to the rise of artificial intelligence and how it could affect them.

This is the essence of the concerns surrounding it. But I actually think that investors or Wall Street will prove to be wrong about this stock as well in the future, and this stock is the cloud software giant, Workday. The trading symbol is WDAY.

与其他股票不同,这只股票不派发股息,但它仍然是一项高风险投资,由于人工智能的崛起及其可能带来的影响,投资者对它感到恐慌。这正是围绕它的担忧的核心所在。

Unlike other stocks, this stock does not distribute dividends , but it is still a high- risk investment, and investors have panicked about it due to the rise of artificial intelligence and how it could affect them.

This is the essence of the concerns surrounding it.

另一只我在今年股价大幅抛售后首次开始买入的股票。起初,Workday 的股价因强劲的业绩而飙升,我们稍后会讨论这一点。业务层面非常非常好的表现。但一旦对 AI 颠覆的担忧开始渗透到所有软件公司,Workday 的股价就开始大幅下跌,目前较峰值已下跌约 40%,即使最近在有报道称私募股权巨头 Silver Lake 正就一项数十亿美元的收购交易认真洽谈可能将 Workday 私有化之后出现反弹。

Another stock I started buying for the first time ever this year after massive sell-offs in its price. Initially, Workday's stock was soaring thanks to a strong performance, which we will discuss shortly.

Very, very good performance on a business level. But once concerns about AI disruption began to seep into all software companies, WorkDay's stock began to decline sharply and is now down about 40% from its peak, even after a recent rebound following reports that private equity giant Silver Lake is in serious talks to potentially take WorkDay private in a multi-billion dollar acquisition deal.

我的大部分股票就是在那一波反弹之前买入的,当消息出来时,说实话,我微微一笑。不是因为股价终于上涨,而是因为我觉得这多少印证了我一直以来对这家公司的看法。事实是,公开市场被恐慌蒙蔽得太厉害,以至于严重低估了 Workday 的价值。

在很大程度上,事实上,它已经到了这样一个地步:一家资金非常充裕的私募股权公司开始关注它并说:“嘿,我们为什么不介入,抓住这个机会,收购这只股票呢?我们应该收购这家公司,因为市场没有认识到它的价值。

他们压低了价格和评级。我们可以以低廉的价格买入。”

I bought most of my shares just before that bounce, and when the news came out, I must be honest, I put on a small smile. Not because the stock price was finally rising, but because I feel it kind of confirms what I've been saying about this company all along.

The fact is that public markets were so blinded by panic that they greatly undervalued the works of "Workday". To a large extent, in fact, it reached a point where a highly solvent private equity firm started looking at it and saying, "Hey, why don't we step in, take advantage of the opportunity, and acquire this stock?"

We should acquire this company because the market does not appreciate its value. They lowered the price and the rating. We can buy it at a cheap price.

事实是,公开市场被恐慌蒙蔽得太厉害,以至于严重低估了Workday的价值。事实上,在很大程度上,事情已经到了这样一个地步:一家资金极为充裕的私募股权公司开始关注它,并说:“我们为什么不介入,抓住这个机会,收购这只股票呢?

我们应该收购这家公司,因为市场没有认识到它的价值。他们下调了价格和评级。我们可以以低廉的价格买入。”

The fact is that public markets were so blinded by panic that they greatly undervalued the works of " Workday". To a large extent, in fact, it reached a point where a highly solvent private equity firm started looking at it and saying, "Hey, why don't we step in, take advantage of the opportunity, and acquire this stock?"

We should acquire this company because the market does not appreciate its value. They lowered the price and the rating . We can buy it at a cheap price.

但无论这笔收购是否达成,我仍然认为这里的核心业务非常适合长期投资。如果你不在企业界工作,你可能不会意识到 Workday 有多重要。它是人力资源、薪酬、员工福利、财务管理等领域隐藏的支柱。这确实适用于最大的机构

But whether the acquisition goes through or not, I still think the core business here is great for long-term investment. If you don't work in the corporate world, you may not realize how important "Workday" is.

It serves as the hidden backbone of human resources, payroll, employee benefits, financial management, and more. This really applies to the largest institutions on

如果你不在企业界工作,你可能不会意识到Workday有多么重要。它是人力资源、薪酬、员工福利、财务管理等诸多领域的隐形支柱。

If you don't work in the corporate world, you may not realize how important " Workday" is. It serves as the hidden backbone of human resources, payroll, employee benefits, financial management, and more.

这确实适用于地球上最大的机构。事实上,超过65%的《财富》500强企业和超过75%的美国前50强企业都通过Workday平台运行其日常运营,平台上有超过8000万名合同工,每年产生约1.4万亿笔交易。

This really applies to the largest institutions on Earth. In fact, more than 65% of Fortune 500 companies and more than 75% of America's top 50 companies run their day-to-day operations through the Workday platform, with more than 80 million contract workers on the platform, generating about 1.4 trillion transactions annually.

可以说,对这些巨头机构而言,迁移到这里的成本极其高昂,这进一步强化了它们的做法;一旦一家拥有,我不知道,大约5万名员工的大公司花了数年时间把它的薪酬、税务合规、内部预算、员工记录以及所有数据迁移到Workday,突然把这一切都抛弃、转而投向一家未经证实的AI初创公司的想法——而这正是预期的下行风险——似乎不合逻辑。在我看来,这极不可能发生。

The costs of relocating here are, if I may say so, extremely high for these giant institutions, which adds even more strength to their approach; Once a large company with, I don't know, around 50,000 employees has spent years migrating its payroll, tax compliance, internal budgets, employee records, and all its data to Warkdie, the idea of suddenly getting rid of all that to switch to an unproven AI startup —and this is the expected downside—seems illogical. In my opinion, this is highly unlikely .

这就是为什么Workday始终保持着令人印象深刻的97%的总收入留存率,因为一旦他们获得一个客户,这个客户往往会长期留在他们这里。他们从不会转向其他竞争对手。

This is why WorkDee consistently maintains an impressive gross revenue retention rate of 97%, because once they acquire a customer, that customer tends to stay with them for the long term. They never move on to another competitor .

此外,Workday本身已经在把人工智能整合进它所做的每一件事中。最终,他们基本上会提供任何其他竞争对手所能提供的一切。那么,当你完全可以继续使用Workday时,为什么要转向一个未经证实、不可靠的名字呢?

In addition, Warcade itself is already integrating artificial intelligence into everything it does. Ultimately, they will essentially offer everything that any other competitor can offer.

So why would you switch to an unproven and unreliable name when you can simply continue using "Warcade"?

更不用说,Workday不仅仅是一个数据库,它还有一个权限与合规层。因此,如果任何人工智能想要访问一家公司的财务数据,它必须通过一个安全的Workday工作流来实现。换句话说,他们实际上拥有所有这些人工智能流程都必须经过的安全操作系统。

Not to mention that Warcade is not just a database, it also has a permissions and compliance layer. Therefore, if any artificial intelligence wants to access a company's financial data, it must do so through a secure "workd" workflow.

In other words, they actually possess the secure operating system that all these artificial intelligence processes must pass through .

所以,那些初创公司也必须把这一切都搭建起来。因此,你可以看出为什么使用Workday的AI产品而不是其他产品似乎是合乎逻辑的。

So, those startups will have to build all of that too. Thus, you can see why it seems logical to use WorkDee's AI offerings rather than others.

你可以看到这一切已经反映在他们的财务报表中。我们正在看到初步迹象。事实上,尽管这只股票受到严重冲击,Workday的业务并没有萎缩,恰恰相反。

And you can see all of this already reflected in their financial statements. We are seeing initial signs of that. In fact, despite the stock being badly affected, Warkede's business is not shrinking, quite the opposite.

事实上,他们的订阅收入在上个季度增长了约14%,而他们12个月的订阅积压订单也跃升了超过14%,达到超过90亿美元,他们的总积压订单现在超过270亿美元。

In fact, their subscription revenue grew by about 14% in the last quarter, while their 12-month subscription backlog jumped by more than 14% as well, to more than $9 billion , and their total backlog now stands at more than $27 billion.

更好的是,他们的AI变现也开始起飞,代理AI产品的年度经常性收入同比增长超过200%。已有超过5500家企业客户在积极使用Workday的AI代理。所以,他们已经在用了。

Even better, their AI monetization is also starting to take off , with annual recurring revenue from proxy AI offerings up by more than 200% year-over-year. There are over 5,500 enterprise customers already actively working with Workday's AI proxies. So, they are already using it .

然而,由于价格较低,这只股票目前的交易价格比该板块便宜约30%,而分析师仍预计其财务表现在未来几年将实现巨大增长。

However, due to the lower price, the stock is now trading at about 30% cheaper than the sector, while analysts still expect tremendous growth in the coming years for its financial performance.

所以,对我来说,我把它看作一个随时可以买入的期权。而且我认为近期的收购传闻在某种程度上为我证实了这一点。这里可能有价值可以获取,而今年市场一直忽视了这一点,也许对这只股票的反应过度,导致它跌得太狠。这是我个人对此事的感受。

So, for me, I see it as an option to buy at any time. And I think the recent acquisition rumors somewhat confirm that for me. There is probably value to be gained here, which the general market has been overlooking this year, and perhaps there has been an overreaction to the stock that has caused it to fall too far. This is my personal feeling about the matter.

这个频道对 $WDAY 的历次判断

Ale's World of Stocks 在这只股票上共 2 条判断,这里只列相邻的几条。

2026-10-02看涨本条
好了,各位。现在这把我们带到本月万圣节特辑的第三支也是最后一支箭头。与其他股票不同,这只股票不派发股息,但它仍然是一项高风险投资,投资者因人工智能的崛起及其可能对他们造成的影响而对其感到恐慌。这就是围绕它的担忧的本质。但我实际上认为,投资者或华尔街未来也会在这只股票上被证明是错的,这只股票就是云软件巨头 Workday。交易代码是 WDAY。
2026-09-22看涨
就连 IBM、Oracle 这样的股票,以及 ServiceNow 和 WorkDay 这类自身使用人工智能的大型软件公司,也正在被使用。但这些是服务于《财富》500 强名单的公司。它们与政府有着牢固的关系和纽带。我只是相信,从长远来看,它们也会开始越来越多地从这一切中受益。
原话 12:16 ›
看完整历史 ›
美股听风