AMZN 全部观点

Now, the third stock is Amazon, right? Amazon's stock is now priced at $250, and since the beginning of the year, it has risen by 13%. We talked a lot about this stock when it was in the $200 range , and also in the $210 and $220 range .

For me, Amazon's future price-to-earnings ratio is definitely more expensive than other competitors, at 27, but compared to its historical averages, it's cheap. It's very, very cheap .

So those are some names. Finally, the one that's frustrating everyone. Uh but I am very bullish the company. I don't have a position right now. It's been messy. I did mention this morning it looked like it would wake up is Amazon.

I think given last quarter's numbers, given how it's lagged the past five years, uh, as long as, you know, Jeff Bezos doesn't get in our way and keeps selling, I think that stock is still going higher and we'll be 300.

In today's video, we will discuss the new lawsuit filed by the Federal Trade Commission ( FTC) against Amazon, specifically regarding their advertising platform, where the commission is seeking compensation of up to $20 billion.

Here you can see all the holdings within QMVP, most notably Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Broadcom, Nvidia, Google, and Meta. Okay, let's now delve into the video and start talking about the Federal Trade Commission's ( FTC) lawsuit against Amazon, what the reasons for this lawsuit are, what mistakes the commission claims Amazon made, in addition to Amazon's response that it published on its website .

the first stock I'm going to highlight as a great buying opportunity is Amazon. I've calculated a fair value for this stock at $314 per share and the current market price is $261.

Given that difference, I calculate roughly 20% upside over the next 12 to 18 months for Amazon stock. The company's most recently completed quarter was excellent, reporting accelerating growth in its AWS segment with expanding margins approaching 40%.

Let's focus on the one-year chart for Amazon. The stock is down around 10% since hitting its all-time [music] high on August the 4th. This obviously has [music] to do with some of the new challenges it's facing.

And obviously, we're watching the FTC alongside bipartisan coalition of state attorneys obviously taking aim here. I mean, we're seeing a reaction to the downside for Amazon similar to the reaction we saw yesterday near the close when this information first broke that this lawsuit would be being filed.

Amazon got sued by the FTC. The wire feed tells us that Amazon's FT or the FTC's uh claim fundamentally misunderstands how advertisers operate and that the FTC's own complaint sites no evidence of consumer price increases.

You could see Amazon did get hammered initially all the way down to 257 from 261, just a little more than a 3% decline.

In the Max 7, there's one player that I see is going above and beyond the amount of money being spent. And I'm not talking just purely about the CapEx number, but the kind of commentary that management has given about where they believe AI is going.

If there is one company that has given me that true confidence that they truly see as AI as a revolutionary tech and there is no other option but investing in AI and it's Amazon.

Moving on to Amazon started the week at 261. Shares caught a bid late in the week, up nearly 1.8% 8% to finish the week at 266.

AWS and Nvidia striking a strategic partnership for $2 million 2 million additional GPUs. It's going to cost way more than $2 million. 2 million Nvidia GPUs is billions of dollars.

This is on top of the 1 million GPUs that Amazon agreed to buy starting in 2026.

Amazon now I have had it here at a 7% return but I am the one that was discussing Amazon at 90 as a buy value. Now it's much different.

Microsoft, Apple, Amazon, Google, they're all slightly lower this morning.

particularly when you are talking about companies like Google and Microsoft and Amazon that have a long history of making capital investments into things that people go why are you doing that that's never going to make money and then it turns around and it makes billions of dollars in revenue right

Baupost added 20% to their Amazon stake, which is right at the top of their portfolio, now occupying 16%. So, it is ripping clear in that number one spot.

But, interestingly this quarter, I also want to point out that Bill Ackman, who we spoke about last quarter for buying Amazon, well, he's actually pulled back. He's reduced his Amazon stake by 25%.

If you own Amazon, some of the smartest investors on the planet are loading up on this stock while the insiders who run the company are cashing out billions. The stock just hit an all-time high, pulled back, and now it's sitting in what investors are calling no man's land.

So, who's right? The billionaires buying or the executive selling? Today, we're going to have three bull cases and three bare cases, and then we're going to run the numbers ourselves and find out what Amazon is really worth.

Amazon, which is also a very big position. Now, when we look at these top three positions, I just want to show you how close together they are. Google's 13.8%, Mastercard's 13.3, and Amazon's 12.8.

So they're almost evenly weighted and then whatever direction they trade, whatever one has a good week or a good month, that one will leaprog to the top place position. So far, Google has held its own for quite some time, but Amazon has been working its way up more recently.

Amazon is a $191,000 position, $67,000 of that being gains. Now, when I look at Amazon, the buyin target for this one is at $200 per share. If Amazon reaches $200 first, then this company's getting the $10,000.

Amazon is my largest investment, and right now, on a price-to-operating-cash-flow basis, it looks cheap, but it may not be as cheap as I think

Amazon's operating thesis remains strong, but the stock price already discounts substantial execution. Growth in AWS, advertising, and AI-related growth. These are the things that I'm a big fan of myself.

The balance sheet is robust, while free cash flow is more sensitive to capital expenditures than the headline operating cash flow suggests. So, that right there makes me think instead of just looking at it on a price to operating cash flow basis, I need to now start thinking about free cash flow with Amazon because of their big investment cycle. So, that right there is interesting to me.