$ASML

ASML

ASML Holding N.V. NY Registered Shares

本窗口内的全部观点与内容

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09-28
《Google Has Fallen Behind》
$ASML看涨
ASML 凭借可靠的装机量收入以及降低的中国风险(销售占比从 50% 降至 14%)拥有强劲前景,尽管估值偏高仍值得继续持有。

在亚马逊之后,ASML是我的下一个最大持仓。这个仓位增长成了一笔巨大的持仓。这是一个12.6万美元的仓位,其中9.3万美元是收益。ASML的未来非常非常好。我们有装机基础管理,这是一条非常可靠的持续收入线,随着它们安装更多机器而持续增长。

我们这里有地域分布。现在,这看起来有点疯狂,但它显示了某些东西。当我们看例如中国,当我们看ASML在中国的销售,仅中国,你可以看到在2023年和2024年左右,大约50%的总销售额在中国,这让投资者认为这里有大量集中风险。

如果有法规可能令ASML投资者担忧,那么,确实有法规。中国的销售占比已经下降。更多销售流向了美国等地。更多流向了韩国。更多流向了台湾。中国在整体组合中占比越来越小,这降低了未来投资的风险,因为如果你认为中国对ASML有风险,那么今天风险更小了。

它从50%降到了14%。所以对它的敞口就是更少了。因此,尽管估值更高,我继续持有这个。

After Amazon, we have ASML is my next largest. This one grew into a massive position. It's a $126,000 position, 93,000 of that being gains. ASML has a very, very good future. We have the install base management, which is a very reliable continual line of revenue continuing to grow as they have more machines installed.

We have the geographic mix here. Now, this looks a little crazy, but it shows something here. When we look at for example China, when we look at ASML sales in China, just China, you can see that in around 2023 and 2024, a huge portion around 50% of their total sales were in China, which led investors to believe that there's a lot of concentrated risk here.

If there's regulations that could that could concern the ESML investor, well, there has been regulations. The sales percentage in China has gone down. More of it has gone to places like the United States.

More of it has gone to South Korea. more of it has gone to Taiwan. China has made up an increasingly smaller portion of the overall mix which derisks the investment in the future because if you believe that China is risky for ASML, well, it's less risky today.

It's gone from 50% down to 14. So there's simply less exposure to it. So despite the higher valuation, I'm continuing to hold this one.

更早的记录
09-27
The Motley Fool发布 2026-09-27
《3 Incredible Stocks to Buy and Hold for Years!!》
$ASML未站边
ASML 处于垄断地位,需求强劲且订单储备充足,但面临半导体资本开支周期和中国出口限制的风险。

今天我要谈的第一只股票是 ASML。这不是一个大众熟知的名字。这是一家总部位于荷兰的公司,于1984年从飞利浦分拆出来。

The first stock I will talk about today is ASML. This is not a name known to the general public. This is a Netherlands-based company that spun out of Philips in 1984.

ASML 是做什么的?他们制造用于生产世界上最先进计算机芯片的机器。这些是极紫外光刻系统,也称为 EUV 系统。它使用一种极难产生的光波长,将电路图案蚀刻到硅芯片上,其精细程度足以用于高端芯片。

因此,仅仅制造一台这样的系统,就需要用激光以每秒约5万次的频率轰击熔融锡液滴,然后让这束光经过以极高精度设计的镜面反射,使镜面上最大的缺陷仍然小于一毫米。

What does ASML do? They make the machines used to manufacture the most advanced computer chips in the world. These are extreme ultraviolet lithography systems, also known as EUV systems.

It uses a wavelength of light that is extremely difficult to produce to etch circuit patterns onto silicon chips that are small enough for high-end chips. Therefore, building just one of these systems requires bombarding droplets of molten tin with a laser about 50,000 times per second, then reflecting that light through mirrors designed with extreme precision so that the largest defect in them is still smaller than a millimeter.

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