META 全部观点

We have so much to talk about, including Meta launching their highly anticipated AI agents. And kick things off with Meta Platform. Start of the week at 6:17. Still doing better over at Meta. Up nearly 5% finished week close to 6:47.

This comes as they came out with their new AI agent that they're calling Muse. and they are going to be rolling this out to users as we speak. My understanding is it does have some native capabilities inside of the Meta platforms.

And so if you're trying to do more with your Instagram account other than post pictures of your family, which is a perfectly acceptable thing to do, but if you're trying to attract clients or business or respond to messages, apparently this AI agent has some capabilities there.

leveraging its early buzz as it faces new competition from giants like Meta.

Meta's got about a percent and a half here.

It's been an especially good week for Meta which is leading after their Muse AI uh agent. You you have you still have Meta?

Right. Um, this has been a pretty pivotal couple of weeks for that stock. No, I think so. And I think it's been interesting to see how strong it's actually turned out. But like, you know what I come back to on Meta?

I always just come back to the numbers. And they're still generating huge amounts of cash now. Yeah, they're going to spend that. So, they're they went from 5 or 7% free cash flow down to zero, but it's for all the right reasons.

Still only trades at 20 times. It's down like 2% on the year, so it hasn't had some big run. And, you know, they're going to try and sell these paid subscriptions for Muse. I don't really know Muse.

I don't know if that's going to work well or not. We'll need to see. But they they just keep doing things efficiently, which is what I worried about all along. They keep doing they keep being at the forefront of the curve in terms of what's coming.

And you kind of need to just give them credit for getting it right and and not not being

And the first stock that we need to talk about and has a lot of updates coming out is Meta. So, let me show you what has been happening with Meta and why the stock is up roughly 19% from its lows just over the past month.

Now, you've probably heard what is going on with Meta and why the stock is rallying. But just in case you haven't, it's largely because Meta launched its Meta Muse Aentic app.

Meta now betting on making AI feel safe for the regular person. On Tuesday, Meta launched Muse, spelled mus, a personal AI agent that can shop for you, respond to your emails, book your flights, remind you about your tea times, everything you could possibly imagine on doing, all through a conversational app interface like iMessage.

It's Meta's biggest swing yet at turning roughly $130 billion in AI spending this year into something that the average consumer will actually use and help them get a little bit of return on that $130 billion investment.

We got some great news for Meta stock investors as the company announced a new AI product that sent the share price up by more than 6% on the day of the announcement.

I'll review what that new product was, how Wall Street is reacting, how I changed my estimates for the company's fair value, and my updated ranking for Meta as a buy, hold, or sell.

They're expecting that the companies that are building these data centers, Amazon, Microsoft, Alphabet, Meta Platforms, Oracle, that they'll build a bunch of these data centers like they're doing right now.

But once once they're finished with this initial buildout that they'll stop that they won't build more that then the only demand for Nvidia's products will be replacing those units that were put into these data centers over these several years.

which is, you know, where where Meta's uh agentic AI is uh is currently targeting. but obviously, you know, the launch of Muse um has improved uh Meta's potential in terms of just trying to diversify their revenue uh from purely ad-based to hopefully some subscription side, uh especially on the on the WhatsApp uh app.

So, Meta up about 66 pips.

Kevin, what did you say are Meta's next targets and breakout points? Yeah. Uh, well, there are a couple. There's a trend line and there's a horizontal at the eights. So, if you zoom out Oh, wow.

Look at that. Pre-market rejection at the diagonal. The horizontal is up here at um I guess it's it's it's a diagonal and the and then the horizontal and the eights. So, right here is the horizontal and the eights.

I'm pretty sure this is a fib. It's 82624. Once we get through this line, that's where I think we break out. I am actually blown away. And and you know, I haven't changed this, but look at this.

Literally, in the pre-market, and you could even say right here, just a few minutes ago, we rejected this line in the pre-market to the what? To what penny? The line is it's not showing me what my Oh, it's a diagonal, so I can't really tell.

Um, we basically rejected it. I'd say within a penny. It's It's really hard for me to tell where that is right now cuz the diagonal you won't get perfect pricing, but that's actually insane because that has been a diagonal downtrend line that we've been watching.

And my thesis is Meta has to break through this diagonal downtrend line. I'm now going to upgrade it, by the way, to a green line because that's insane that we um we hit like that.

it's funny how stocks wake up all of a sudden, you know, boom, you know, meta, which we'll get into after a year range.

someone's like, "Oh my god, Meta out of nowhere. What could you have seen with Meta?" I'm like, "Well, you know, Meta did do a red dog reversal here." So remember this reversal day where you had an inside range, went below, came back above.

That was one signal that you had a low, a higher low, one more higher low, and then you remember they came out with news and it at first it would kept getting rejected into the 50-day and then it finally took it out and now lo and behold, you're back at 660 and I think it was upgraded today.

So Meta is probably up again today. It's up eight. So out of nowhere, you get this move from 567 to 100 points.

All right, next up into Meta, some stocks in the news, guys. Now, this is big. Meta announced yesterday that they rolled out Muse. You may be saying, "What is Muse?" Well, Muse is an AI agent platform and service on Meta.

You may also say, "Well, what is that?" Well, basically what it is is an assistant that you can program and tell to reply to emails, navigate websites, make uh verified purchases.

You could even use say Instagram Instagram and other apps to forward that recipe on Instagram in through Meta and through Muse and put that straight on your grocery list.

Happy Wednesday everybody who also called for Meta Green Day. So Meta also on the gap up list here today as that is trading higher.

let's look at that meta uh uh movement because I I saw that they had news uh they released uh a personal AI called Manis or Muse, I'm sorry. Muse is the other thing. Uh Muse.

I also believe that the " Meta" news is affecting some of these technology stocks.

Okay, let's get back to Meta's news. Meta shares are seeing a rise here in the pre-trading phase. Yes, this is an interesting release because we saw OpenAI also launch a prototype over the weekend.

Now Meta is launching its own "Muse" model. This model is described as a personal and private artificial intelligence agent , so to speak . This is something that was developed by their head of artificial intelligence, Alexander Wang.

This is very interesting because we were expecting a product launch from him in relation to Meta. Therefore, this is an important development here. This model is now available for free, in addition to subscription levels up to $100 per month.

But this model is supposed to make your daily activities a little easier. You must give him permission to perform certain actions. You must unsubscribe so that the model does not learn from your interactions.

But again, this is a step in the right direction for Meta.

yes um you know when you look at Meta, when you look at uh Nvidia, when you look at um Google or Alphabet, whatever you want to use for it, they generate an amazing amount of cash flow from their business, their core businesses.

But what's interesting is that those businesses are no longer capital-like businesses. um to the extent that they're now spending there's no free cash flow at Meta anymore.

In fact, Vestra recently signed 20-year power purchase agreements with both Meta and Amazon. So, Meta and Amazon are working to secure long-term energy agreements with Vestra, which will provide the company with stable and growing cash flows over the coming decades.

But this next point is very important to understand, because Vistara’s guidance does not include Cogentrex’s recently announced acquisition and power purchase agreement with Meta, which the company estimates will generate about $700 million more in earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization combined.

Meta is looking to spend up to $145 billion on AI capital expenditures this year. For the first stock, I want to move to Meta Platforms. I think this is one of my favorite stocks this year.

The arrow was punished , and that was justified. I think the market always finds reasons for that, and there are many of them. I mean, many could argue that this company's increased capital expenditure is one of the reasons for its punishment, wouldn't they ?

We have seen capital expenditures reach approximately $130 billion to $145 billion for this year. The second thing is that, unfortunately, there are a lot of those legal issues that occur with Meta.

We've had a few updates in the past few weeks that suggest things may not be as bad as the market thinks. But the market is still a little scared here and there. I mean, in their most recent second-quarter earnings , legal costs caused the company to lose money or not achieve its expected earnings per share.

This is a story that will continue to be repeated over and over again. Therefore, there are those risks related to legal proceedings and capital expenditures.