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$ORCL

Drawbridge Finance on $ORCL (Nov 9, 2026)

AI summary · Drawbridge Finance

ORCL is slowly downtrending below an around-143 point of control, with the 200-day moving average as resistance; a double bottom is only potential if it bounces or supports at the current level. Still, P/E 14, A+ profitability, 1.57% short interest and fair value 154, 24% above, make the speaker want some potential bullishness on ORCL.

Bullish
“Watch This If You're Worried About An AI Bubble”
Drawbridge FinancePublished Nov 9 · 3 passages

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3 passages

I usually like to start with the chart. We're the 200 day moving average is on a downtrend. Point of control is around 143. Stocks trading at 124. Uh paid a dividend recently. We have earnings upcoming.

Last earnings was a beat and we saw the stock drop down after that. Interesting that it touched on the downside. So 200 day moving average is actually uh working as resistance, not support in this case.

And so Oracle [snorts] has been slowly kind of downtrending for the last little while.

Now, I don't trade Oracle typically. And that might be because um it's been above its 200 day moving average. Now, when I look at these stocks, like because I'm a range trader, I don't love stocks that are going like up and down.

I feel like these types of plays become more directional in nature. And what I would prefer is stocks like Nvidia and things that are actually in a in a sideways range for a while.

And maybe that's actually happening here with Oracle. We can see that there's been a a time frame uh back from February of this year, even back as far as January, where this aside from this time frame in April where the stock ran up, it actually has been trading mostly sideways.

And that's why we see that large point of control here. Uh and we're currently below that. So, this would be step one. I would look at this chart and I would say, "Okay, here that's where we are."

I might draw some levels on here. Um, we're getting down to a potential double bottom if we if we see a bounce or support off of this level down here.

So, I can mark in a Let me just mark a horizontal line there. So, the white one gets drawn in. That's point of control. And then 200 day moving average coming down. So, what I would look for is next I would do some analysis.

And I and I cheat. So I'm going to show you my cheats. I'm going to go over here. I'm going to go to seeking Alpha. I I cheat by paying for it. It's not really a cheat. You can you can do the math yourself.

But this is one of the things that uh that I do. So valuation calculated value here. Um what is going on? I'm in the wrong key. Val be a little more clear here. Okay. What what am I doing?

Valuation B. There we go. Uh, also looking at this minus 51% this year. This is this is way down there. Price to earnings ratio. We talked about this earlier. 14. The stock is on sale when we see a price to earnings when we're paying $14.

Now, is it always that a low price to earnings ratio means that it's a great buy? Not necessarily. One of the things we have to look at is whether or not it's profitable. Well, this has got an A+ profitability.

We also have a short interest of only 1.57%. So to me, looking basic just on Seeking Alpha alone, we have a low valuation. We have a low price to earnings ratio, which means we're not paying very much.

We have very little short interest. Uh and we have high high probab profitability. This to me feels like a stock that I would want to have some potential bullishness on. Now, let's do a cross check.

We're going to use a different service. We're going to use investing.com and we're going to look at for fair market value. Now, fair market value is 154, which is 24% above. So, to me, when I look at this type of thing, I see a a a correlation between two different paid services.

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