今日焦点个股：ASML Holding 周三盘前上涨1.52%，此前该公司公布2026年第三季度每股收益14.88美元，营收134.2亿美元，而市场预期分别为1247美元和131.8亿美元。

Stocks in focus for today are ASML Holding was 1.52% higher in pre-market trading on Wednesday after it reported thirdarter 2026 earnings of $14.88 on revenue of $13.42 billion compared with estimates of $1247 and $13.18 billion respectively.

ASML，你们在看吗？顺便说一句，ASML 现在的交易——这只1700美元的股票只跌了8美元，报1708美元。这就像——这就像几乎没怎么动。

ASML, are you guys checking that out? By the way, ASML is trading It's only down trading eight for $1,700 stock to be at 1708. That is like a that's like a nothing move.

ASML 就是那只跌了32点的股票。我们说的不是 ASMR，说的是 ASML。有什么消息？ASML 超预期了，ASML Holding 收窄了营收指引。好。第四季度净销售额指引为142亿，毛利率基于……

净销售额。那他们在盈利上超预期了吗？股价正在走低，因为——好，昨天跌了。我们今天要看。所以，是超预期了。

ASML is the stock that's down 32 points. We're not talking about ASMR. Talking about ASML. What's the news? ASML um beat ASML holding narrows sales guidance. Okay. guides fourth quarter net sales to 14.2 billion with gross margin on seized net sales.

So did they beat on earnings? Shares are trading lower as okay that fell yesterday. We want today. So, it was a beat.

还记得我们刚开播时它只跌了大概5点吗？现在，它又跌了20点。

Remember when we came on it was only trading down like five points. Now, it's dropped another 20.

ASML 像 Apple 一样有垄断地位，跳空高开创新高。

ASML has Monopoly like Apple gapping their highs.

你怎么看 ASML 这波回落？你知道吗？我挺意外它没有跌得更多。我刚才在看——我把它调出来。我刚才从技术角度看那张图。我真希望这东西能一路砸到1600左右，也就是200日均线，那会是个绝佳的买入机会。

天哪，我是说，在其他一些股票表现成这样的情况下，它这算是扛住了。我觉得这本来一直是个财报行情。现在财报出来了。我们节目开始时它还在8，只跌了几个点。现在它又跌了20点，这其实无所谓，但这会不会像 Meta 那样？

会不会是那种财报后反转向上、走出30点行情的机会？

What do you think about uh ASML off? You know what? I'm surprised it's not down further. Um, I was just looking I'm going to bring it up over here. I was just looking at that chart here from a a technical standpoint.

Um, you know, I I I wish this thing had flushed out down to like 1600ish or so, which is the 200 day moving average, which would be a massive buy. Um, boy, I mean, I this is holding up in the face of what some of the other stocks are doing here.

I think this is what's been an earnings play. Now earnings are out. It was trading when we started the show at eight. It was only trading down a couple points. Now it dropped another 20 points which doesn't really matter for but could this be like a meta?

Could this be one where we get that earnings reversal goes positive, get a 30 point move?

绝对。绝对。我是说，你看的这张图，尤其是看过去六个月，也许有一些更低的低点、更低的高点，但天哪，这股票任何时候回调都是买入机会。而且我们是趋势交易者，对吧？我们跟随趋势。所以我会看这个，但我不会只是闭上眼睛说‘好，我就在这里买’。但在我看来，这像是那种反转的绝佳机会。

Tot absolutely. Absolutely. I mean, this this chart that you're looking at, especially if you look over the last six months, you know, maybe there's a little bit lower lows, lower highs, but boy, this has been a buy any selloff at any time.

And you know, we're trend traders, right? We we follow a trend. So, I'm going to look at this and I'm not just going to close my eyes and say, "Okay, I'm going to buy it here."

But this to me looks like a perfect opportunity for one of those reverses.

顺便说一句，纯粹事后诸葛亮，就像那本灰色体育年鉴一样，如果我们回头看，这单的预期波动是85美元。怎么样？而现在只有30。所以，如果你在这笔交易两边各选20 delta，我们可以用1600换750，我们还可以——我们可以用大概780美元换——哇，天哪。

你在那些价位卖一个铁鹰，可以轻松收到30美元。你就是大赚特赚，因为我们会立刻看到那种巨大的、巨大的波动率崩塌。所以你就是大赚特赚。

And by the way, just to go complete hindsight and, you know, like a gray sports almanac, if we want to look back on it, the expected move on this was $85. How about that? And it's it's right now only 30.

So, if you would have gone to the 20 delta on either side of this trade, um we could have gone 1,600 for 750 and we could have gone um we could have gone like$,780 for wow for Oh my god.

You you sell an iron condor, you know, at those levels, you could have collected $30, no problem on this. you are just cleaning up because um you know we're going to see that massive massive V crush right away here. Um so you're you're just cleaning up.

你知道，我在看 ASML 这份报告，上面说他们的供应不会完全满足需求。所以也许这就是股价有点回落的原因，但也许整体上这是件好事。

You know I'm looking at this report in ASML and said that their supply is not going to fully meet demand. So maybe that's why the stock is off a little bit but maybe that's a good thing overall.

对。这对整个行业来说总体上不是件好事吗？需求预期如此强劲，而且这不仅仅是针对2026年。他们一直说到了2028年。

Right. Isn't that a good thing overall for for the industry here that that the projection of demand is so robust? And this is not just for 2026. They're going out all the way to 2028 on on what they said.

所以我认为，ASML 在这里已经为反转做好了准备。好。我们把它列为早盘候选。这个你得能接受它的风险回报比。因为说实话，会发生的情况是它一开盘，期权就会被跳空拉开，然后也许你能在1700上方抓到点什么。

1700那批当时在交易，收盘在40多。其实它们流动性有点差。我记得收盘在47到60之间。所以，假设你能在，比如说它低开，财报后你能以大约15美元抓到它们，你买一张。那么你承担的风险是1500美元。

那会是最低买入金额。如果你想，你大概可以买更多，但如果你抓到这个行情，你大概能赚三四千，如果你抓到这个行情的话，但你也可能就亏掉这1500，当它跳空下跌30点，你意识到今天彻底完蛋了。

So I uh I I think ASML, you know, is primed for a reversal here. All right. We're gonna we're gonna list this as a morning candidate. Now, this is one where you got to be okay with the riskreward.

Like, because honestly, what's going to happen is it opens, the options will be gapped out, then maybe you could grab something like above, 1700. Like, the the 1700s were trading, they closed between 40.

Actually, they're kind of illquid. I think they closed between 47 and 60. So, let's say you you could grab it at um let's say like it opens down and after earnings you could grab them for like $15 and you buy one.

So, you're risking 1,500. That would be the minimum buy in there. So, you could probably go higher if you want, but like if you get that move, you could probably make three, four grand if you get the move, but also you could just lose the 1500 when it takes a 30 point gap drop lower and you realize your crush for the day. though.

是的，我其实觉得，如果有人想非常激进，但同时又完全限定风险。是的，我觉得可以进场卖出一个下行看跌价差，再买入一个上行看涨价差。所以，你几乎可以，结构随你定。你可以做成收权利金。

也可以做成零成本。如果你把它当作价差来做，你知道你的风险是多少，对吧？你的风险完全限于这个价差。但这会给你带来潜力，如果我们在这里出现大幅反转，就能真正大赚一笔，而我不是那种追求全垒打的人。

我从来都不是，但它的风险是完全限定的。所以你知道，当市场开盘时，我，你知道，现在我们在哪，1680，刚刚从底部反弹上来。假设它就在这里开盘。你知道，你大概可以卖出1650、1640的看跌价差，买入1720、1730的看涨价差之类的。

你知道，大约在零成本附近。甚至可能还能收到一点权利金，对吧？你的风险是10美元。如果股票崩了，你的风险就是10美元，

Yeah, I I actually think in if someone wanted to get really aggressive, but but also completely risk defined here. Yeah, I think someone could go in and sell a downside put spread and buy an upside call spread.

So, so you have almost a you know, structure it how you want. You can do it for a credit. You could do it for zero dollars. If you're using it as a spread, you know what your risk is, right?

your your risk is completely limited to what that spread is. But that's going to give you the potential of if we get a big reversal here to really really you know knock it out of the park with and I'm not one to trade for home runs.

I never have been but it's completely risk defined. So you know you could when when market opens here I you know right now we're where are we 1680 that just bounced off the bottom here.

Let's say it opened right here. You know, you could probably sell like the 1650 1640 put spread by the 1720 1730 call spread or so. You know, somewhere right around zero. Maybe even get a credit for that, right?

Your risk is 10 bucks. If if the stock falls out of bed, your risk is 10 bucks,

是的。所以，你这么做，按当前价格是冒1620的风险去赚1380，但这会变。是的。这只是，你知道，我不会裸做。我不会在那上面裸卖看跌、裸买看涨。那样的话，你知道，你的风险就是无限大，一路到零。

但你可以用价差来做，而且你知道，现在市场就是这种表现，出现这些大幅反转，就像你说的，那完全不会让我意外。很有意思的是，这只股票刚刚，我知道这是盘前，所以你知道流动性有点差，虽然现在交易量还挺大。

挺有意思的是它刚刚从1665左右那个位置反弹上来。所以等几分钟后市场开盘时，我会关注的就是那个位置。

Yeah. So, you do that, you're risking 1620 to make 1380 at the current, but it's going to change. Yeah. Well, it's it's just something, you know, I wouldn't do it naked. I wouldn't sell a put, buy a call naked on that.

Um then then, you know, your risk is is out of the world down to zero. But you can do it with spreads and um you know the way the market is is acting these days with these big reversals uh like you have said it that would not surprise me at all.

Um real interesting that that the stock just and I know it's pre-market so it's you know a little bit illquid not right now even though it's trading pretty heavy. Pretty pretty interesting that it just bounced off that kind of 1665ish level.

So that's something I would watch for when the markets open in in a few minutes is that level there.

ASML 开盘前走低。这就是我要找我的金属式行情的那只。

ASML trading lower into the open. That's the one I'm going to look at for my metalike move.

ASML 欧盟准备解除对中国公司的制裁，以拯救 ASML 供应商。

ASML EU set to lift sanction Chinese firm to save ASML supplier.

Sandisk、ASML 下跌3%。

Sandisk ASML down 3%.

我认为 ASML 就是我想关注的那只。它整个上午都在跟大盘较劲。我就先把它准备好。我现在就盼着出现一波抛售，也许这些价差能稍微收窄一点，让我进场。

I think ASML is the one I want to watch. It's been kind of fighting the tape all morning. And I'm just going to get it ready. And I'm going to hope right now that we that we get a selloff and that maybe these um these spreads tighten a little bit to let me in.

如果我能买到1700，我的目标价是15美元以下。我不知道能不能拿到，但我确实认为我们能走出一波强力行情。也许这波强力行情能把它推到1750。

And if I could buy the 1,700 for my goal would be under 15 bucks. I don't know if I'm going to get that, but I I do think we can make a power move. And maybe the power move takes it to 1750.

所以，我觉得如果有办法赚钱的话。期权上10个点的宽价差会太大。他们就会直接把它拉上去，这有点让人沮丧。

So, I I think if there's a way to make money. Um the 10point wide gap on the options is going to be too big. And it they're just going to bring it right up, which is kind of frustrating.

我不会去追。如果他们现在就想把它拉涨到转正，那也行。我需要这些期权出现一次下跌。我们会看看。我不知道他们会不会让我进场。10美元的宽价差。你要是去试，就是被宰。

I'm not going to chase. If they want to power it up to positivity right now, that's fine. I need one down move in these options. Uh, we'll see. I don't know if they're going to let me in. $10 wide contrast.

It's just you're just getting ripped off if you try.

你知道，也许我们能做的是卖出1640、买入1630。我不知道。我不知道他们会不会让我们进场。这些期权价差太宽了。价差太宽，进不去。这才是对的那只。它确实从670涨到了700。

You know, maybe what we could do is maybe we could sell the 16 40 and buy the 1630, you know. I don't know. I don't know if they're going to let us in. These options are just too wide.

Spread's too wide to get in. This was the right one. It did go from670 to,700.

所以，如果你是做股票的，你本可以买入它赚30个点，但我不知道谁会去交易1700美元一股的股票。它会转正的。我并不觉得难受，你知道，就错失机会而言，因为期权价差有10美元宽。

Um, so if you're a stock trader, you could have bought it and made 30 points, but I don't know who's trading $1,700 worth of a stock. It's going to go positive. I'm not feeling bad, you know, in terms of missed opportunity because the options are $10 wide.

但我们的眼光是准的。我们看到了这个板块，你知道，我们看到了 Meta 那35点的波动。我们今早的目标是找到能在盘前涨30点的标的。我们做到了。ASML 一分钟涨了30点。一分钟涨了30点。

当时是1660多，冲到1700。我们在一分钟内抓到了30点的波动。

But like our eyes were in the right place. We're seeing the field, you know, we we saw the meta 35 point move. Our goal this morning was to find something that could go up 30 points pre-market.

We did it. ASML 30 points in one minute. 30 points in one minute. It was 1660 something. Hit 1700. We got a 30point move in one minute.

也许我们当时就该只交易10股股票。赚个300块。我不知道。但我不是——我当时跟 Scott 聊过。我的计划本来是交易期权，但它们价差有10美元宽，而且没有成交量。没人进得去。而且，交易 Blues Point，想出来会更糟。

Maybe we should have just traded 10 shares of stock. Made 300 bucks. I don't know. But I'm not I was like I talked about it with Scott. Like my plan would have been to trade the options, but they were $10 wide on no volume.

Nobody's getting in. And yeah, to trade Blues Point getting out would be even worse.

你知道，但看看这个。你可以看出来这真是——现在我们在这只股票上抓到了40点的波动，各位。

Uh you know, but look at that. We you could tell this was such a now we got a 40point move in this stock guys.

这一个，这一个，这一个本来会很难进场。你知道，这一个本来会很难进场。也许吧，我不知道。我只是试着在1255买它，因为我知道它就是要往这儿走。

This one this one this one would have been hard to get in. You know this one would have been hard to get in. Maybe I don't know. I just try to buy him at 1255 cuz I know it's going to just go here.

我刚买了 aund。我忍不住。我买了一张合约。我买得太贵了。1390，就因为我想交易它。我本该更激进一些。但我想，我不能就这么坐在这儿看着它涨得更高，你知道，而且它还是负的。

I just bought aund. I I couldn't help it. I bought one contract. I'm way overpaid for it. 1390 just cuz I wanted to trade it. I should have been more aggressive. But I'm like, I can't just sit here and watch this run even higher, you know, and it's negative.

但我知道它会强势上攻转正。我们看看它接下来会怎么走。哇。那是6点的下跌。

But that I knew it was going to power up move through positive. We'll see what it does right here. Um, wow. That was a six point down move.

看看。我现在只是猜，1715。看看它会不会再一次突破转正。会。对，来了。当天转正。看，它就是流动性太差，太难交易了。我们看看。

Let's see. I'm just guessing at this point 1715. Let's see if it goes through the positive one more time. Does. Yep, there it goes. positive on the day. See, it's just too illquid, too hard to trade. We'll see.

ASMount。哦，来了。又涨了一波。又涨了一波。来了。来了。冲上去。冲上去。不行。太难交易了。它确实太难交易了。我是在哪儿买的？1390。多糟糕的价格。

ASMount. Oh, there we go. One more wave up. One more wave up. There we go. There we go. Power through. Power through. Nope. Too hard to trade it. It is too hard to trade it. Where'd I get it? 1390. What a terrible price.

就这样。这只股票之前有一波不错的上涨转正。我只能这么跟你说。看看我能不能把这笔浪费的交易平掉。它就是流动性太差。交易这些东西需要流动性，你知道。

That's it. Was a nice front up the positive for the stock. Tell you that much. Let's see if I can get out this waste of a trade. It's just too illquid. You need liquidity in these things to trade them, you know.

但它确实会动。它确实会动。在动。这就是我们能要求的全部了。能动的东西，但我想出来。让我出来。好吧。ASML 就是个糟糕的主意，因为期权不让你出来，正如你所想的那样。

But it does move. It does move. moving. That's all we could ask for. Something that moves, but I want out. Let me get out. All right. ASML was just a terrible idea because the options won't let you out, which is what you thought.

哦，我把 ASML 卖了。我立刻就后悔了。立刻就后悔了。40块。看着吧，那会有多糟。1430卖的。本来还能再赚200。我不想再交易它了。没关系。我不再交易这个了。它会涨到18。

它现在就要涨到1800。我要是拿着它，大概能赚8000美元。但无所谓，对吧？

Oh, I sold ASML. Um, and instantly regret that. Instantly regret that. 40 bucks. Watch how bad that's going to be. Sold it for 1430. Could have just made another 200. I didn't want to trade it anymore.

That's fine. I'm not trading this again. It's going to go to 18. It's going to go to 1,800 right now. And I probably would have made $8,000 holding this. But whatever, right?

也许有更便宜的期权。也许有更便宜的期权。就是进不去。看看。这真的是唯一在动的东西。

Maybe there's a cheaper option. Maybe there's a cheaper option. Just can't get into them. Um Let's see. This really is the only thing moving.

好吧。现在我有1790的看涨期权。所以如果它现在往上走，我对这个更放心。好。而且这次我拿到的价格好一点。所以，我们挺满意。

All right. Now I have the 1790 call. So if this makes a move up now, I'm more comfortable with this. Okay. And I got it a little bit better price this time. So, we're happy.

这一笔我只是想打平，平掉。目标是找到那种如果我们在交易这些大盘股时能波动50点或100点的标的。

Um, this one I'm just trying to beat. flatten. you know, the goal is to find something that can move 50 or 100 points if we're trading one of these bigger names.

但我希望现在能看到ASML发力上涨。好。是的，我们在1790那批期权上以10美元进场。顺便说一句，考虑到它现在交易在1725，这已经是非常价外了。不过，这些财报事件就是这么疯狂。

but I would like to see this ASML power up right now. All right. Yeah, we got in at 10 bucks on the 1790s. That's very far out of the money, by the way, considering it's trading at 1725. But, you know, these earnings events are wild.

ASML。52周高点是多少？52周高点是1999。想象一下它开始往那个位置回升。那会很令人兴奋。我是说，10月5日它还在1869。所以，这确实可能往任何方向走。

ASML. What's a 52 week? 52 week is 1999. Imagine it starts to make a move back there. That would be exciting. I mean, it was 1869 October 5th. So, you know, this could go anywhere for sure.

知道最多只可能亏1000美元，我持有得很安心。这我能接受，因为我确实认为如果它动起来、而我也愿意持有，我一小时就能赚45000美元。这就是风险回报。

I'm comfortable being in it knowing the most I could lose is $1,000. you know that I'm okay with because I do think if it moves and I was willing to hold it, I can make $45,000 in an hour. You know, that's the riskreward.

可能不会。我不会让你们跟着我做这笔交易。我们已经触及1733了。我就喜欢它这样到处乱窜的样子。只能猜它会往哪边走。

Probably not going to. I wouldn't follow me into this trade. We already hit 1733. I love the way it's just just moving all over the place. Just trying to guess which side it moves to.

ASML回落了。不好，现在当天转跌了。

ASML coming off. No good negative on the day now.

ASML又跌回712。No bueno。给不懂西班牙语的各位解释一下，就是不好的意思。你们在看什么？你在看什么？我确实喜欢ASML的故事。就是他们无法满足供应这个整体逻辑。这是个有吸引力的故事。

ASML back down to 712. No bueno. That means no good for those of you who don't speak Spanish. What are you guys watching? What are you watching? I do like the story in ASML. You know, the whole idea that that they can't meet supply. It's an attractive story.

但在这两只股票之间，在Mic Ground和ASML之间，我认为其中一只能有不错的上涨。交易一只900美元的股票和一只1700美元的股票。这就是期权的妙处，对吧？

But between these two stocks, between Mic Ground and ASML, I think one of them can make a good push. Trading a $900 stock and a $1,700 stock. That's the beauty of options, right?

我们尽到了本分。我们判断对了一次大行情，叫他们出局。我们只是没法交易它，因为期权不在。我们需要流动性好的期权。

Well, we did our job. We called one um we called one big move correct and asked them out. We just couldn't trade it because the options weren't there. We need the liquid options.

好。Micron也止损了。挺有意思的。好吧，这两只股票今天亏了漂亮的1000美元。一点都不好玩。看看我们能不能扛住并扳回来。

All right. And there goes Micron for the loss. That was fun. Okay, nice $1,000 loss on the day these two stocks. No fun. See if we can hang on and make a comeback.

ASML看起来确实处在一个拐点上。我们看看它能不能回升。

ASML does seem like it's at an inflection point. We'll see if that could come back up.

好。想再加仓ASML。成交了。好。我们看看。现在我们真的进场了。我们成交在多少？920。我不打算贪心。我把价格设在10。160美元。1020。哦不。

All right. Trying to get more ASML. Got it. All right. We'll see. Now we're really in it. What we got at? 920. I'm not going to be greedy with that. I'll set a price at 10. 160 bucks. 1020. Oh no.

ASML走低。

ASML coming lower.

哦，等一下。等一下，各位。我这笔ASML交易刚刚显出一丝生机。那些920的买单，呃，让我看看今天能不能卖出点什么赚一笔。我接受1045卖出。不行。再看看。好。好。ASML 1020。不行。那10美元怎么样？不行。

Oh, hold the phone. Hold the phone, guys. My ASML trade just shows a sign of life. Those 920 buys are uh let's see see if I could sell something for a win today. I'll take a 1045 sale.

Nope. We'll see. Okay. Okay. ASML 1020. No. How about 10 bucks? Nope.

还有，呃，让我看看，ASML和ALP。至于ASML，我是说，它今天在这里试图往上冲。我觉得它目前看起来并不是特别好。所以，我不太确定它会不会顺势大涨。看起来它还要进一步回落。所以，Tess，我不确定此刻我会不会去追这个。

And uh and let's see, ASML and ALP. And as ASML, I mean, it's uh trying to pop up here today. I don't think it looks particularly great at the moment. So, I'm not so sure it gets ripping.

It looks like it's going to pull back more. So, I don't know if I'd be chasing that right there at the moment, Tess.

逐段跳播