$SPY State Street SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust

Value Investing with Sven Carlin, Ph.D.发布 2026-10-02

《S&P 500 Intrinsic Value》

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标普500指数被用作通用的投资基准。但它的内在价值是多少？

The S&P 500 index is used as a general investment benchmark. But what is its intrinsic value?

我们在寻找低风险、高回报的投资，从这个角度看，我们要处理的就是标普500指数。不过，回到接近历史高点的标普500指数，让我们深入探讨一下它的内在价值。

We are looking for low-risk, high-return investments, and from this perspective, we will be dealing with the S&P 500 index. However, returning to the S&P 500 index, which is close to its record highs, let's delve into its intrinsic value.

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Verified Investing发布 2026-10-01

《Yields Hit Banks as Head & Shoulders Patterns Trigger》

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SPY日线图显示探底长下影线及盘中回升；短期阻力位在766.79。

那么，让我们来看标普 500，这里是 SPY 这只 ETF 的日线图。各位，如果只看这一根日线蜡烛，它看起来不像图表上的探底长下影线吗？我知道探底长下影线的规则，它需要出现在图表的底部。

我们这边有很多蜡烛，但从低点反弹的盘中回升多么漂亮。我们看看上一次出现这样一根蜡烛时发生了什么，伙计。我们跳空高开并一路走高。所以，这是一次相当强劲的、幅度不算很大的市场上行推动，但就市场情绪而言，这是当天一个不错的收尾，回升到了我们现在的位置。

这让我在短期内、明天把 76679 视为阻力位。

So, let's jump into the S&P 500 where we see the daily chart here on the SPY uh ETF. Now, we see if you just isolate this one daily candle, guys. Doesn't that look like a bottoming tail on the chart?

Now, I know the rules of bottoming tales. It needs to occur at the bottom of the chart. We've got plenty of candles over here, but what a nice intraday recovery from the lows. And we see what happened last time we put in a candle like that, man.

We gapped up and rallied up higher. So, this was a really robust u not very big push higher in the markets, but as far as the sentiment, this was a good finish on the day recovering back where we are.

That makes me look near-term tomorrow at 76679 as the resistance.

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