NVDA — All updates

First one here on Nvidia. We talked about Nvidia yesterday. Nvidia isn't so expensive, but the crowded AI trade could unwind quickly and that is the warning of a fund manager.

More doom and gloom. We'll see. Nvidia ticker NVDA. Their stock edged higher in Tuesday's pre-market trading after falling 3.36% yesterday on Monday. The previous session's decline came as leaders at major artificial intelligence companies including anthropic and open AI called for a slower pace of advanced AI development over safety concerns.

The debate raised fears that slower AI development could eventually weigh on demand for chips and data center hardware.

Nvidia is bouncing today. Nasty selloff the last few days. It did fill a key gap that I discussed in the the game plan yesterday. I did play it in the live day trading room as a bounce play. Worked out beautifully for a day trade.

Nvidia, Palantir, Reddit, etc. My plan is to be a long-term holder of those names. For example, I have Nvidia that's up almost 500% and I haven't taken any profits and selling shares would actually mean that I'd be letting go of shares that I would just want to rebuy today.

That's my Nvidias, my Microsofts, my AMDs, my Teslas, my Amazons, all that stuff. I don't plan to sell those shares. I believe in those companies for a very, very long time.

Jensen Wang Nvidia CEO spoke at Goldman Sachs conference on Thursday and said that he did not find um that researchers claims credible.

I think that this morning's market reaction might well be a smaller version of the Deep Seek response from early 2025 where Nvidia and a lot of other companies went down um on the introduction of this new Chinese model that kind of um scared people and concerned people initially and then you know a month or two later we all realize oh okay we were kind of freaking out about pretty close to nothing

Nvidia CEO Jensen Hong said that the size of the AI market will reach 3 trillion to 4 trillion by 2030. I'm going to discuss why that's a realistic forecast and give you the details on what it could mean for Nvidia stock investors and AI stock investors more broadly.

So Jensen Huang reiterated his expectation that the size of the AI market will reach 3 to four trillion by 2030 during the talk at the Goldman Sachs Communicopia Tech Conference on Thursday.

But on the other side, he's betting big against the AI boom, shorting Chip and AI names like Micron, Oracle, Palunteer, and Nvidia, with his total bets against stocks now topping 21% of his portfolio.

And finally, the strangest bet of them all, Nvidia. Because Bur is somehow betting both ways at the exact same time. He is short Nvidia while also owning Nvidia call options. How on earth does that make sense?

Well, right before Nvidia's earnings, he bought some call options. Basically, a small bet the stock will go up, but he flat out called them a hedge like insurance. Then, less than a day later, he sold half of them, saying they' done their job.

He stays bearish for the long run, but admitted that there was little standing in the way of further stock appreciation in the short term.

Nvidia and Micron are two of the companies benefiting most from the huge increase in spending on creating data centers. Micron's revenue increased by more than 4 x in its most recently completed quarter from the same time last year, while Nvidia's revenues have soared to approach $303 billion.

You heard it from Nvidia directly. It's like dude we'd be at a we'd be at a double if it weren't for the constraints. So their constraint so like literally if we're at 100%. And we're like we're going to slow down to the tune of 30%. we would literally be at where constraints are for Nvidia.

This past week, we had a lot of great insight and updates from the biggest AI company itself, Nvidia. And I believe they continue continue to change the AI ecosystem.

Jensen also shared some information earlier this week. Retweeted that the H100 is a three-year-old training chip. Its rental price is up 22% on the month to $328 an hour.

They've got they're purposely going exclusive with Nvidia so they could get more chip allocation especially for orbital compute blah blah blah.

And that just reiterates to me, man, Nvidia feels cheap. And I've been complaining about Nvidia feeling chip uh cheap under the 227 line for what I feel like is months now.

Coreweave delivered fantastic news for Nvidia stock investors, suggesting that demand versus supply still remains in the favor of the sellers.

Boy, that's great news to hear if you're an Nvidia shareholder or if you're a Coreweave stock investor.

So Nvidia serves as the backbone, the primary supplier and main financial guarantor for Coree's ever expansive Neocloud operation. These data centers that coreweave operates are using components provided by Nvidia and then even beyond supplying 100% of the advanced GPUs powering Coreweave's data centers. So it's exclusive relationship with Coreeave.

Nvidia to keep on the growth will invest 99 billion into other businesses so that the businesses have the backing of Nvidia can borrow more money because it's backed by Nvidia and buy more of Nvidia chips.

Without this, Nvidia would not grow as fast and perhaps the whole house of AI cards would revert.

So, you have the quote circular financing of Nvidia and Broadcom where they're more or less pulling money off of their balance sheet or using their balance sheet to go borrow more money, but they're not selling equity stakes in those companies. That's one form of circular financing.

Goldman Sachs and others are going to join to buy Nvidia uh chips

Nvidia uh 80 bips.

Oh, Nvidia.

certainly we have a strong relationship with Nvidia in fact we came out and talked about the fact that we're you know Nvidia exclusive And u uh you know we that strong relationship we hope certainly will translate into you know good allocation from a compute perspective because that's the piece that we don't um control but having a great partner like that is I think hugely important.

And then here's Nvidia. Here's the first, oh my goodness, the juicy one. I mean, there's a lot of juicy trades, but here's the first one. So I said that I bought 165 leap call on Nvidia for September 2026.

We know that Nvidia right now is like around $220 per share or so. And I said I see it going to $200 in 2026. And that's where I'll start, you know, thinking about taking profit.

I've already more than doubled my money on Nvidia stock. I bought my shares in 2025 around April after Liberation Day tariff announcements sent the share price crashing to around $93.

So my cost basis is in the low 90s. Today it's over $220 $225 a share. More than double my money.

Top 10 include Nvidia,

yes, I own like tens of thousands of dollars of Nvidia. It's not six figures yet like Amazon, but like I've got a ton of Nvidia stock.

And just to give you one one or two quick examples of what I'm talking about when we look at you know let's call it uh Nvidia for example up on fastgraphs.com which is a great way to see historically speaking uh is a company overvalued or undervalued you can see Nvidia stock is going parabolic like it's had for the last you know call it three or four years here but their profits are also going parabolic alongside of it right fundamentally speaking profits are going up but stock price is going up they're both moving in tandem there.